Long Trade on ETHFI (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 591.28 ETHFI at 0.437$ per unit. Take profit: 0.446 (1.99 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4237 (3.11 %)
Long Trade on ETHFI (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 591.28 ETHFI at 0.437$ per unit. Take profit: 0.446 (1.99 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4237 (3.11 %)
Position
Entry 0.4373$
Qty 591.2786 ETHFI
Size 258.5425$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.446 (+1.99%)
TP $ 5.14$
SL 0.4237 (-3.11%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 0.64
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9017
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.46×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.87×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.13×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 14/08 13:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 14/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 14/08 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7236 | r1h: -0.067% · r4h: 0.471% · r1d: 6.48% · r3d: 16.88% · ema21_slope: 0.1637% · dist_ema21: 0.563% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6820 | rs_1h: -0.417% · rs_4h: -0.262% · rs_1d: 6.39% · rs_3d: 17.32% · beta_24h: 0.023 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2038 | rvol_20: 0.42× · zscore_50: -0.341 · trend: -30.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4120 | ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 75.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.879% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.183% | 0.1R | -0.894% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.902% | 0.9R | -1.018% | 0.3R | 2.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +5.225% | 1.7R | -1.018% | 0.3R | 5.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.225% | 1.7R | -1.018% | 0.3R | 5.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.225% | 1.7R | -1.018% | 0.3R | 5.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 30% | mid | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.60 | bear_high | -5.66% | +0.58 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.37 | bear_medium | -1.57% | +0.87 | 14/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.27 | range_low | -0.71% | +0.06 | 14/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near 0.4ATR | near 0.2ATR | 0.11 | range_low | +0.10% | -0.03 | 14/08 12:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 2.794×ATR | p0 | +1.047×ATR | p62 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 18b | — | 4.868×ATR | p76 | +1.549×ATR | p76 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 1.146×ATR | p2 | +0.295×ATR | p18 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.644×ATR | p6 | -0.001×ATR | p1 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4373 | 0.4237 | 0.446 | 0.64 | 0.6043 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4237 - 0.4373 = -0.0136
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4373 - 0.446 = -0.0087
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0087 / -0.0136 = 0.6397
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 258.5425 | 100 | 591.2786 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0136 = -588.24
Taille de position USD = -588.24 x 0.4373 = -257.24
Donc, tu peux acheter -588.24 avec un stoploss a 0.4237
Avec un position size USD de -257.24$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -588.24 x -0.0136 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -588.24 x -0.0087 = 5.12
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.12$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.99 % | 5.14 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.11 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 5.14 $ | 1.99 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0176 % | 32.72 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4373 | 0.4237 | 0.446 | 0.64 | 0.6043 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4237 - 0.4373 = -0.0136
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4373 - 0.446 = -0.0087
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0087 / -0.0136 = 0.6397
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.183% | 0.1R | -0.894% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.902% | 0.9R | -1.018% | 0.3R | 2.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +5.225% | 1.7R | -1.018% | 0.3R | 5.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.225% | 1.7R | -1.018% | 0.3R | 5.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.225% | 1.7R | -1.018% | 0.3R | 5.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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