Long Trade on LINK (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 38.79 LINK at 8.976$ per unit. Take profit: 9.4915 (5.74 %) & Stop Loss: 8.7697 (2.3 %)
14 Aug 2026 at 14:49:32
hyperliquid
LINK
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
14 Aug 2026 14:49
→ 22:10
· 7 hours
Position
Entry 8.9759$
Qty 38.7896 LINK
Size 348.1712$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 9.4915 (+5.74%)
TP $ 20$
SL 8.7697 (-2.3%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+5.74%
/ +20$
MAE -0.62%
MFE +8.58%
3.7R
expires
15 Aug 02:49
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 69420)
#1 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 14:00
score du 14/08/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6787
Quality Score
0.712
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
7.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 14:45
14/08 14:45
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#1 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.30 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.30 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -1.46×ATR |
| 1d | near | -2.16×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 14/08 14:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 14/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1) 14/08 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.7124
Score SMA
0.5446
Rank
#1
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6787
Rank Norm SMA
0.7516
Calculé le
14/08/2026 14:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5935 | r1h: 0.773% · r4h: 1.193% · r1d: 2.01% · r3d: 4.09% · ema21_slope: 0.0213% · dist_ema21: 1.312% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6095 | rs_1h: 0.805% · rs_4h: 0.470% · rs_1d: 2.07% · rs_3d: 4.84% · beta_24h: 0.839 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 6.38× · zscore_50: 6.090 · trend: 182.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5466 | ADX: 15.9 (weak) · Chop: 48.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.733% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.297%
(0.2062)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.257% | 0.1R | -0.618% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.257% | 0.1R | -0.618% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.257% | 0.1R | -0.618% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +8.283% | 3.6R | -0.618% | 0.3R | 13.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +8.575% | 3.7R | -0.618% | 0.3R | 13.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.575% | 3.7R | -0.618% | 0.3R | 13.9× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.83
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 31% | late | — | near -2.2ATR | 0.85 | bear_high | -5.26% | +0.67 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near -1.5ATR | 0.81 | bear_medium | -1.54% | +0.43 | 14/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | weak | fading | expansion | bull_medium_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.64 | bear_low | -1.04% | +0.24 | 14/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bull_medium_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.24% | +0.10 | 14/08 14:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 3.459×ATR | p20 | +1.718×ATR | p86 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 2.344×ATR | p17 | +1.435×ATR | p76 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 3.184×ATR | p74 | +1.986×ATR | p93 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 1.832×ATR | p0 | +1.979×ATR | p88 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.9879
- reason: up_bo width=2.97×ATR dur=32b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)|ob:obi_moderate(+0.05)
- stop_price: 8.76965893
- tp_price: 9.49150268
- atr:
- score: 0.86789690919937
- expires_at: 2026-08-15T06:49:24.376664
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.86789690919937
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.3683
- obi_top10 : 0.1415
- micro_price : 8.92476754
- spread_pct : 0.011206
- mid_price : 8.9245
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.3651
- obi_top5_std : 0.002
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7049
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
8.8781
- balance_zone_bottom:
8.6749
- balance_zone_mid:
8.7765
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786618800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786730400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9703
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
32
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8679
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786726800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
8.8781
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9062
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.4296
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
10
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
3
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.06841073 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
32
inside_close_ratio
0.9062
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.4296
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:49 | 8.97590000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:55 | 8.97590000 | 0% |
| 3 | 15:02 | 8.97590000 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7049ms
Confidence avant OB :
87%
→
99%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.368
avg 0.365
± 0.002
OBI Top 10
0.142
Microstructure
Mid Price
8.9245
Micro Price
8.9248
Spread
0.0112%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.9759 | 8.7697 | 9.4915 | 2.5 | 11.348 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 8.9759
- Stop Loss: 8.7697
- Take Profit: 9.4915
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.7697 - 8.9759 = -0.2062
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.9759 - 9.4915 = -0.5156
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.5156 / -0.2062 = 2.5005
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 348.1712 | 100 | 38.7896 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.2062
Taille de position = 8 / -0.2062 = -38.8
Taille de position USD = -38.8 x 8.9759 = -348.26
Donc, tu peux acheter -38.8 avec un stoploss a 8.7697
Avec un position size USD de -348.26$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -38.8 x -0.2062 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -38.8 x -0.5156 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
- Taille de position -38.8
- Taille de position USD -348.26
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.01
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5005
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.74 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.3 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20 $ | 5.74 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6183 % | 26.91 % | 14 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.9759 | 8.7697 | 9.4915 | 2.5 | 11.348 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 8.9759
- Stop Loss: 8.7697
- Take Profit: 9.4915
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.7697 - 8.9759 = -0.2062
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.9759 - 9.4915 = -0.5156
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.5156 / -0.2062 = 2.5005
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.297%
(0.2062)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.257% | 0.1R | -0.618% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.257% | 0.1R | -0.618% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.257% | 0.1R | -0.618% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +8.283% | 3.6R | -0.618% | 0.3R | 13.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +8.575% | 3.7R | -0.618% | 0.3R | 13.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.575% | 3.7R | -0.618% | 0.3R | 13.9× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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