Short Trade on BTC (BosPullback)
With 0.02 BTC at 62853$ per unit. Take profit: 61867.4932 (1.57 %) & Stop Loss: 63247.2027 (0.63 %)
Short Trade on BTC (BosPullback)
With 0.02 BTC at 62853$ per unit. Take profit: 61867.4932 (1.57 %) & Stop Loss: 63247.2027 (0.63 %)
Position
Entry 62853$
Qty 0.02029 BTC
Size 1275.5467$ (margin 100$) (leverage 13)
Risk Setup
TP 61867.4932 (+1.57%)
TP $ 20$
SL 63247.2027 (-0.63%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6815
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.52×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.05×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.84×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 14/08 15:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_low 15m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+2) 14/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 14/08 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4809 | r1h: -0.051% · r4h: 0.559% · r1d: -0.54% · r3d: -0.61% · ema21_slope: -0.0498% · dist_ema21: -0.149% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2358 | rvol_20: 0.55× · zscore_50: -0.645 · trend: 3.47% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6272 | ADX: 25.9 (trend) · Chop: 49.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.373% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.053% | 0.1R | -0.255% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.053% | 0.1R | -0.255% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.119% | 0.2R | -0.255% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.119% | 0.2R | -0.458% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.119% | 0.2R | -0.514% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.119% | 0.2R | -0.514% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | — | — | — | — | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | — | — | — | — | 14/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_low |
48%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14/08 15:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 24b | — | 2.897×ATR | p14 | -0.822×ATR | p48 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 13b | — | 3.292×ATR | p45 | -1.001×ATR | p55 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.843×ATR | p17 | -0.39×ATR | p25 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 2.804×ATR | p52 | -0.453×ATR | p27 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63224
147
0.2678
0.6494
0.4059
0.2318
0.5483
0.622
0.4609
0.3439
0.2895
0.4131
0.6055
0.1118
-0.0354
-0.0656
0
-0.7514
-1.9845
0.35
0.65
-1
5
1
0.5365
0.5708
5.0422
0.55
0.622
3.1362
-1.9845
0.5798
0.2212
0.42
-0.0583
0.4678
0.3687
0.7907
0.1118
-11.9667
1.5061
1
0
1
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[price] => 63650
[kind] => high
[label] =>
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[price] => 63395
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[label] => HL
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[time] => 2026-08-14 08:30:00
[price] => 62680
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-14 08:45:00
[price] => 62922
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-14 10:00:00
[price] => 62727
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
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(
[time] => 2026-08-14 10:30:00
[price] => 62936
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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Array
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[price] => 62581
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[label] => LL
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62523
63224
63224
62523
62936
62523
62729.5
0.7643
63650
63298
63474
0.7173
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:06 | 62853.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:12 | 62848.00000000 | -0.008% |
| 3 | 15:18 | 62836.00000000 | -0.027% |
| 4 | 15:24 | 62820.00000000 | -0.053% |
| 5 | 15:48 | 62939.00000000 | +0.137% |
| 6 | 15:54 | 62944.00000000 | +0.145% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62853 | 63247.2027 | 61867.4932 | 2.5 | 76222 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 63247.2027 - 62853 = 394.2027
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 62853 - 61867.4932 = 985.5068
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 985.5068 / 394.2027 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1275.5467 | 100 | 0.02029 | 13.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 394.2027 = 0.02
Taille de position USD = 0.02 x 62853 = 1257.06
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.02 avec un stoploss a 63247.2027
Avec un position size USD de 1257.06$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.02 x 394.2027 = 7.88
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.88$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.02 x 985.5068 = 19.71
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.71$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.57 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.63 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.63 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7557 % | 120.49 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62853 | 63247.2027 | 61867.4932 | 2.5 | 76222 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 63247.2027 - 62853 = 394.2027
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 62853 - 61867.4932 = 985.5068
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 985.5068 / 394.2027 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.053% | 0.1R | -0.255% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.053% | 0.1R | -0.255% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.119% | 0.2R | -0.255% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.119% | 0.2R | -0.458% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.119% | 0.2R | -0.514% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.119% | 0.2R | -0.514% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
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