Short Trade on DOGE (BosPullback)
With 14739.75 DOGE at 0.0696$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06822 (1.95 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07012 (0.78 %)
Short Trade on DOGE (BosPullback)
With 14739.75 DOGE at 0.0696$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06822 (1.95 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07012 (0.78 %)
Position
Entry 0.06958$
Qty 14739.7513 DOGE
Size 1025.5329$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06822 (+1.95%)
TP $ 20.05$
SL 0.07012 (-0.78%)
SL $ 7.96$
RR 2.52
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4082
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.36×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.44×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 14/08 15:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 14/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 14/08 14:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4848 | r1h: 0.003% · r4h: 0.564% · r1d: -0.26% · r3d: -1.34% · ema21_slope: -0.0349% · dist_ema21: 0.073% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4999 | rs_1h: 0.054% · rs_4h: 0.005% · rs_1d: 0.28% · rs_3d: -0.72% · beta_24h: 0.883 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1830 | rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -0.536 · trend: -35.93% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4801 | ADX: 16.6 (weak) · Chop: 57.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.409% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.425% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.425% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.431% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.147% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.345% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 32% | mid | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -5.26% | -0.06 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | normal | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.74 | bear_medium | -1.54% | +0.10 | 14/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.64 | bear_low | -1.04% | +0.05 | 14/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | — | range_low | -0.24% | +0.01 | 14/08 14:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 41b | — | 4.373×ATR | p50 | -0.4×ATR | p18 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 1.363×ATR | p0 | -0.466×ATR | p35 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 2.228×ATR | p41 | +0.175×ATR | p14 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.629×ATR | p0 | +0.611×ATR | p33 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.07009
147
0.3033
0.5675
0.3681
0.268
0.45
0.7712
0.3697
0.3854
0.3479
0.2531
0.5929
0.1767
0.0101
-0.0425
0
-0.5407
-1.6102
0.5
0.5
-1
7
1
0.4641
0.4881
3.8839
0.55
0.7712
2.9953
-1.6102
0.4756
0.1544
0.16
-0.0643
0.5523
0.372
0.6597
0.1767
-13.6639
2.9327
1
0
1
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0.069207
0.07009
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0.0694295
0.8476
0.070801
0.07008
0.0704405
0.6961
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:07 | 0.06957600 | -0.006% |
| 2 | 15:13 | 0.06963500 | +0.079% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06958 | 0.07012 | 0.06822 | 2.52 | 0.08147 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07012 - 0.06958 = 0.00054
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06958 - 0.06822 = 0.00136
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00136 / 0.00054 = 2.5185
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1025.5329 | 100 | 14739.7513 | 10.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00054 = 14814.81
Taille de position USD = 14814.81 x 0.06958 = 1030.81
Donc, tu peux acheter 14814.81 avec un stoploss a 0.07012
Avec un position size USD de 1030.81$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 14814.81 x 0.00054 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 14814.81 x 0.00136 = 20.15
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.15$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.95 % | 20.05 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.78 % | 7.96 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.96 $ | -0.78 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7775 % | 100.18 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06958 | 0.07012 | 0.06822 | 2.52 | 0.08147 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07012 - 0.06958 = 0.00054
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06958 - 0.06822 = 0.00136
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00136 / 0.00054 = 2.5185
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.425% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.425% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.431% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.147% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.345% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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