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Long Trade on 2Z

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14 Aug 2026 at 18:00:13 hyperliquid

Long Trade on 2Z (momentum_pullback_v1)

With 6250 2Z at 0.0522$ per unit. Take profit: 0.05356 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.05097 (2.45 %)

2Z LONG momentum_pullback_v1 hyperliquid 14 Aug 2026 18:00 → 18:15 · 14 minutes

Position

Entry 0.05225$

Qty 6250 2Z

Size 326.5438$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.05356 (+2.51%)

TP $ 8.19$

SL 0.05097 (-2.45%)

SL $ 8$

RR 1.02

Status win PnL +2.51% / +8.19$ MAE -6.31% MFE +2.71% 1.1R expires 15 Aug 06:00

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 69589)
#9 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7967

Quality Score
0.580
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 17:47

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#9 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-7 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.45 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#9 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-7 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.45 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 3.70×ATR
4h clear 2.30×ATR
1d clear 3.39×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1)

14/08 17:00

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (-3)

13/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2)

14/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : range_high (0)

14/08 17:00

Score : -5 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational bear transition — -1
Tactical bear expansion — -1
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.80
Transition risk : 0.20
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.63
Snapshot évalué : 14/08 18:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.5804
Score SMA
0.5172
Rank
#9 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7967
Rank Norm SMA
0.4783
Calculé le
14/08/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6105 r1h: 0.678% · r4h: -0.656% · r1d: 5.98% · r3d: -1.64% · ema21_slope: 0.1589% · dist_ema21: -1.905%
Force Relative 25% 0.6057 rs_1h: 0.748% · rs_4h: -0.328% · rs_1d: 6.75% · rs_3d: -0.37% · beta_24h: -3.234
Volume 20% 0.1603 rvol_20: 0.06× · zscore_50: -0.596 · trend: -55.64%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7582 ADX: 37.9 (trend) · Chop: 45.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.943% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.450% (0.0013)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.706% 1.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +2.706% 1.1R -0.754% 0.3R 3.6× 24
4h +2.706% 1.1R -1.420% 0.6R 1.9× 48
8h +2.706% 1.1R -5.204% 2.1R 0.5× 96
12h ★ +2.706% 1.1R -6.308% 2.6R 0.4× 144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.52
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
43%
noisy_chop 36% early — — 0.53 bear_high -5.26% -0.91 13/08 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 39% early — — 0.27 bear_medium -1.66% +0.09 14/08 16:00
1h ↔ neutral range range strong balanced volatile_reversal range_high
31%
noisy_chop 43% late — — 0.09 bear_low -1.10% +0.28 14/08 17:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 36% early — — 0.03 range_low -0.29% +0.06 14/08 17:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 1b — 1.121×ATR p0 -0.925×ATR p48
4h ↓ down early 4b — 3.107×ATR p43 -0.023×ATR p2
1h ↓ down late 11b — 4.23×ATR p80 -0.283×ATR p18
15m ↑ up early 2b — 2.008×ATR p24 +0.253×ATR p10

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_pullback_v1 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.050967
  2. tp_price: 0.0535624
  3. atr: 0.00052616
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-15T10:00:13+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 49
  3. score: 0.6105
  4. avg_rank_8h: 6
  5. rank_velocity: -1
  6. pullback_depth_atr: 8.7
  7. trigger_price: 0.051749
  8. fip_24h: -0.25
  9. confidence: 0.917

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05225 0.05097 0.05356 1.02 0.04839
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05225
  • Stop Loss: 0.05097
  • Take Profit: 0.05356

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05097 - 0.05225 = -0.00128

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05225 - 0.05356 = -0.00131

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00131 / -0.00128 = 1.0234

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
326.5438 100 6250 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00128

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00128 = -6250

Taille de position USD = -6250 x 0.05225 = -326.56

Donc, tu peux acheter -6250 avec un stoploss a 0.05097

Avec un position size USD de -326.56$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -6250 x -0.00128 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -6250 x -0.00131 = 8.19

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.19$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -6250
  • Taille de position USD -326.56
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 8.19
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.0234

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 8.19 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.45 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
8.19 $ 2.51
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05225 0.05097 0.05356 1.02 0.04839
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05225
  • Stop Loss: 0.05097
  • Take Profit: 0.05356

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05097 - 0.05225 = -0.00128

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05225 - 0.05356 = -0.00131

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00131 / -0.00128 = 1.0234

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.05481
            [stop_loss] => 0.05097
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-15 02:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.05545
            [stop_loss] => 0.05097
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-15 02:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.05609
            [stop_loss] => 0.05097
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-15 02:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.05673
            [stop_loss] => 0.05097
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-15 02:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.05737
            [stop_loss] => 0.05097
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-15 02:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.05801
            [stop_loss] => 0.05097
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-15 02:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.05865
            [stop_loss] => 0.05097
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-15 02:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.05929
            [stop_loss] => 0.05097
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-15 02:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.05993
            [stop_loss] => 0.05097
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-15 02:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.06057
            [stop_loss] => 0.05097
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-15 02:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.06121
            [stop_loss] => 0.05097
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-15 02:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.450% (0.0013)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.706% 1.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +2.706% 1.1R -0.754% 0.3R 3.6× 24
4h +2.706% 1.1R -1.420% 0.6R 1.9× 48
8h +2.706% 1.1R -5.204% 2.1R 0.5× 96
12h ★ +2.706% 1.1R -6.308% 2.6R 0.4× 144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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