Long Trade on XPL (BosPullback)
With 5965.3 XPL at 0.0758$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07918 (4.42 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07449 (1.77 %)
Long Trade on XPL (BosPullback)
With 5965.3 XPL at 0.0758$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07918 (4.42 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07449 (1.77 %)
Position
Entry 0.07583$
Qty 5965.2969 XPL
Size 452.3425$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07918 (+4.42%)
TP $ 19.98$
SL 0.07449 (-1.77%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8281
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 5.11×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.39×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.03×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 14/08 18:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 14/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 14/08 17:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4554 | r1h: -0.714% · r4h: -1.252% · r1d: 0.71% · r3d: -3.90% · ema21_slope: 0.1280% · dist_ema21: 0.095% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4472 | rs_1h: -0.687% · rs_4h: -1.071% · rs_1d: 1.65% · rs_3d: -2.70% · beta_24h: 1.506 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2456 | rvol_20: 0.75× · zscore_50: -0.315 · trend: -30.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7496 | ADX: 30.0 (trend) · Chop: 36.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.053% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.807% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.306% | 0.7R | -0.807% | 0.5R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.961% | 1.1R | -0.807% | 0.5R | 2.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.763% | 1.6R | -0.807% | 0.5R | 3.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.991% | 1.7R | -0.807% | 0.5R | 3.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.311% | 1.9R | -0.807% | 0.5R | 4.1× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -5.26% | -0.57 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.43 | bear_medium | -1.66% | +0.08 | 14/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.39 | bear_low | -1.10% | +0.21 | 14/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_medium |
37%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.34 | range_low | -0.29% | -0.10 | 14/08 17:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 41b | — | 7.814×ATR | p91 | -0.441×ATR | p19 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 12b | — | 1.659×ATR | p0 | -0.017×ATR | p1 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.255×ATR | p41 | +0.08×ATR | p6 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 4.353×ATR | p79 | -2.006×ATR | p90 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.077425
143
0.7175
0.6593
0.2886
0.2288
0.3375
1
0.2256
0.5943
0.6545
0.832
0.7131
0.3256
0.1146
0.0495
1
0.0528
0.253
0.5
0.5
1
6
1
0.5425
0.7596
3.5632
0.5
2.6273
4.164
0.253
0.3159
0.3085
0.72
0.4908
0.5405
0.436
0.7535
0.3256
-6.3386
3.0597
1
0
0
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0.074556
0.077425
0.077425
0.074556
0.075648
0.074512
0.07508
0.8488
0.077425
0.077264
0.0773445
0.5134
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07583 | 0.07449 | 0.07918 | 2.5 | 0.08828 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07449 - 0.07583 = -0.00134
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07583 - 0.07918 = -0.00335
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00335 / -0.00134 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 452.3425 | 100 | 5965.2969 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00134 = -5970.15
Taille de position USD = -5970.15 x 0.07583 = -452.72
Donc, tu peux acheter -5970.15 avec un stoploss a 0.07449
Avec un position size USD de -452.72$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5970.15 x -0.00134 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5970.15 x -0.00335 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.42 % | 19.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.77 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -1.77 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.139 % | 121.05 % | 14 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07583 | 0.07449 | 0.07918 | 2.5 | 0.08828 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07449 - 0.07583 = -0.00134
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07583 - 0.07918 = -0.00335
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00335 / -0.00134 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.807% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.306% | 0.7R | -0.807% | 0.5R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.961% | 1.1R | -0.807% | 0.5R | 2.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.763% | 1.6R | -0.807% | 0.5R | 3.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.991% | 1.7R | -0.807% | 0.5R | 3.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.311% | 1.9R | -0.807% | 0.5R | 4.1× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
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