Short Trade on SUI (CatchTheWave)
With 6082.73 SUI at 0.682$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6796 (0.4 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6836 (0.19 %)
Short Trade on SUI (CatchTheWave)
With 6082.73 SUI at 0.682$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6796 (0.4 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6836 (0.19 %)
Position
Entry 0.6823$
Qty 6082.7251 SUI
Size 4150.0608$ (margin 100$) (leverage 42)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6796 (+0.4%)
TP $ 16.42$
SL 0.6836 (-0.19%)
SL $ 7.91$
RR 2.08
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5126
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.83×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.36×ATR |
| 1d | near | -3.76×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 14/08 20:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.536387 15m : 0.562116 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 14/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 14/08 19:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4972 | r1h: 0.682% · r4h: 0.511% · r1d: -1.00% · r3d: -1.56% · ema21_slope: -0.0380% · dist_ema21: 0.431% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5204 | rs_1h: 0.470% · rs_4h: 0.446% · rs_1d: -0.24% · rs_3d: -0.67% · beta_24h: 1.050 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1532 | rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.701 · trend: -59.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5930 | ADX: 29.5 (trend) · Chop: 57.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.523% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.154% | 0.8R | -0.279% | 1.5R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.220% | 1.2R | -0.279% | 1.5R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.220% | 1.2R | -0.906% | 4.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.220% | 1.2R | -0.906% | 4.8R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.220% | 1.2R | -0.906% | 4.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | near -3.8ATR | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -5.26% | -0.26 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.72 | bear_medium | -1.74% | +0.13 | 14/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.61 | bear_low | -0.87% | +0.04 | 14/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.08% | +0.02 | 14/08 19:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 41b | — | 4.415×ATR | p63 | -0.762×ATR | p44 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.058×ATR | p9 | -0.756×ATR | p55 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 2.12×ATR | p27 | +0.78×ATR | p57 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 4.286×ATR | p77 | +2.551×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62942.8
0.000860367
62997
0.536387
63036.5
-0.00062813
62997
0.562116
63436.1
-0.00668584
63012
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0.67479
197
0.5563
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0.2778
0.51
0.6515
0.3024
0.5068
0.5663
0.5004
0.5755
0.4168
0.0047
-0.0362
0.6667
1.0677
0.2761
0.4
0.6
1
7
0.9474
0.4969
0.3249
2.4899
0.55
0.6515
1.6221
0.2761
0.5453
0.2405
0.3
0.1806
0.5716
0.4959
0.6646
0.4168
-4.8635
3.476
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:08 | 0.68227000 | -0.004% |
| 2 | 20:14 | 0.68331000 | +0.148% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 18:00:00 | 0.67688 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 18:25:00 | 0.67969 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:05:00 | 0.67498 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 20:05:00 | 0.67968 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 20:15:00 | 0.6783 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 20:40:00 | 0.67928 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 21:50:00 | 0.67549 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 22:05:00 | 0.67758 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:20:00 | 0.67479 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 00:00:00 | 0.68374 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 07:00:00 | 0.67709 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 08:30:00 | 0.68116 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 12:00:00 | 0.67325 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 13:45:00 | 0.67819 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 0.67157 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:30:00 | 0.68081 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:00:00 | 0.67498 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 20:00:00 | 0.67968 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:15:00 | 0.67479 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 00:00:00 | 0.68374 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 0.68872 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 0.675 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:00:00 | 0.69199 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 0.69457 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 0.67984 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 00:00:00 | 0.69063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 0.67157 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:00:00 | 0.68081 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 0.67479 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 00:00:00 | 0.68374 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6823 | 0.6836 | 0.6796 | 2.08 | 0.832 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6836 - 0.6823 = 0.0013
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6823 - 0.6796 = 0.0027
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0027 / 0.0013 = 2.0769
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4150.0608 | 100 | 6082.7251 | 42.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0013 = 6153.85
Taille de position USD = 6153.85 x 0.6823 = 4198.77
Donc, tu peux acheter 6153.85 avec un stoploss a 0.6836
Avec un position size USD de 4198.77$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 6153.85 x 0.0013 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 6153.85 x 0.0027 = 16.62
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.62$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.4 % | 16.42 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.19 % | 7.91 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.91 $ | -0.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2184 % | 114.65 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6823 | 0.6836 | 0.6796 | 2.08 | 0.832 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6836 - 0.6823 = 0.0013
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6823 - 0.6796 = 0.0027
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0027 / 0.0013 = 2.0769
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.154% | 0.8R | -0.279% | 1.5R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.220% | 1.2R | -0.279% | 1.5R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.220% | 1.2R | -0.906% | 4.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.220% | 1.2R | -0.906% | 4.8R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.220% | 1.2R | -0.906% | 4.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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