Long Trade on ACE (CatchTheWave)
With 406.68 ACE at 0.242$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2817 (16.21 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2227 (8.13 %)
Long Trade on ACE (CatchTheWave)
With 406.68 ACE at 0.242$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2817 (16.21 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2227 (8.13 %)
Position
Entry 0.2424$
Qty 406.6834 ACE
Size 98.5801$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2817 (+16.21%)
TP $ 15.98$
SL 0.2227 (-8.13%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 1.99
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9634
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.82×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.28×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 14/08 20:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.199838 15m : -0.148453 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_high_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 14/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 14/08 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7815 | r1h: -12.834% · r4h: -1.984% · r1d: 150.65% · r3d: 194.52% · ema21_slope: 5.7479% · dist_ema21: 19.447% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5823 | rs_1h: -13.046% · rs_4h: -2.049% · rs_1d: 151.42% · rs_3d: 195.41% · beta_24h: -5.797 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3011 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.083 · trend: 29.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 1.0000 | ADX: 83.1 (trend) · Chop: 9.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.088% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +10.314% | 1.3R | -15.429% | 1.9R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +10.314% | 1.3R | -21.865% | 2.7R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +10.314% | 1.3R | -23.432% | 2.9R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +41.502% | 5.1R | -23.432% | 2.9R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +41.502% | 5.1R | -23.432% | 2.9R | 1.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
choppy 51% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.23 | bear_high | -5.26% | +1.00 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
choppy 60% | late | — | — | -0.01 | bear_medium | -1.74% | +1.00 | 14/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
75%
|
choppy 54% | mid | — | — | -0.07 | bear_low | -0.87% | +1.00 | 14/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.08% | +0.31 | 14/08 19:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 6.24×ATR | p64 | +5.063×ATR | p100 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 9.004×ATR | p94 | +6.022×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 2.914×ATR | p54 | +1.447×ATR | p60 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 3.823×ATR | p75 | -0.588×ATR | p11 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62938.8
0.00130455
63021
-0.199838
63037
-0.000254936
63021
-0.148453
63470.2
-0.00751865
62993
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-2.3216
6.7751
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0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:04 | 0.24240000 | 0% |
| 2 | 20:10 | 0.24190000 | -0.206% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 16:40:00 | 0.2812 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:15:00 | 0.2928 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 17:45:00 | 0.2753 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 18:10:00 | 0.319 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 18:55:00 | 0.291 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 20:20:00 | 0.316 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 20:35:00 | 0.3073 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 21:00:00 | 0.3533 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:25:00 | 0.3785 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 00:00:00 | 0.2414 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 23:45:00 | 0.1205 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 0.1386 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 13:15:00 | 0.2828 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 15:30:00 | 0.2567 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 16:15:00 | 0.3043 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 17:45:00 | 0.2753 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 18:00:00 | 0.319 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:15:00 | 0.3785 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 00:00:00 | 0.2414 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 06:00:00 | 0.1119 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 15:00:00 | 0.1196 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 00:00:00 | 0.1278 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 05:00:00 | 0.1049 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 13:00:00 | 0.105 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 05:00:00 | 0.0956 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 10:00:00 | 0.126 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 17:00:00 | 0.1073 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 07:00:00 | 0.1039 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 0.3785 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2424 | 0.2227 | 0.2817 | 1.99 | 0.1559 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2227 - 0.2424 = -0.0197
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2424 - 0.2817 = -0.0393
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0393 / -0.0197 = 1.9949
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 98.5801 | 98.5801 | 406.6834 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0197 = -406.09
Taille de position USD = -406.09 x 0.2424 = -98.44
Donc, tu peux acheter -406.09 avec un stoploss a 0.2227
Avec un position size USD de -98.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -406.09 x -0.0197 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -406.09 x -0.0393 = 15.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.96$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 16.21 % | 15.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.13 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -8.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -8.2921 % | 102.03 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2424 | 0.2227 | 0.2817 | 1.99 | 0.1559 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2227 - 0.2424 = -0.0197
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2424 - 0.2817 = -0.0393
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0393 / -0.0197 = 1.9949
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +10.314% | 1.3R | -15.429% | 1.9R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +10.314% | 1.3R | -21.865% | 2.7R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +10.314% | 1.3R | -23.432% | 2.9R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +41.502% | 5.1R | -23.432% | 2.9R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +41.502% | 5.1R | -23.432% | 2.9R | 1.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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