Long Trade on ACE (CatchTheWave)
With 383.96 ACE at 0.221$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2629 (18.85 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2004 (9.4 %)
Long Trade on ACE (CatchTheWave)
With 383.96 ACE at 0.221$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2629 (18.85 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2004 (9.4 %)
Position
Entry 0.2212$
Qty 383.9641 ACE
Size 84.9329$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2629 (+18.85%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 0.2004 (-9.4%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9634
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 4.49×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.37×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.13×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 14/08 20:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.23047 15m : -0.151115 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high_confirmed 5m_regime : bear_high |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 14/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 14/08 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7815 | r1h: -12.834% · r4h: -1.984% · r1d: 150.65% · r3d: 194.52% · ema21_slope: 5.7479% · dist_ema21: 19.447% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5823 | rs_1h: -13.046% · rs_4h: -2.049% · rs_1d: 151.42% · rs_3d: 195.41% · beta_24h: -5.797 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3011 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.083 · trend: 29.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 1.0000 | ADX: 83.1 (trend) · Chop: 9.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.088% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -14.376% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -16.094% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +9.810% | 1.0R | -16.094% | 1.7R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +55.063% | 5.9R | -16.094% | 1.7R | 3.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +55.063% | 5.9R | -29.295% | 3.1R | 1.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.25 | bear_high | -5.24% | +1.00 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | -0.01 | bear_medium | -1.52% | +1.00 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
75%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | -0.08 | bear_low | -0.84% | +1.00 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
45%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | near -0.1ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.05% | -1.00 | 14/08 20:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 3.125×ATR | p19 | +3.106×ATR | p99 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 4.623×ATR | p74 | +2.172×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 5.384×ATR | p86 | -0.866×ATR | p43 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 6.817×ATR | p92 | -2.756×ATR | p84 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62977.1
0.000394853
63002
-0.23047
63039.8
-0.000600827
63002
-0.151115
63436
-0.00676311
63007
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0.1905
0.98
5.4603
0.9169
0.6597
0.9199
0.4221
-4.061
2.9656
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 16:40:00 | 0.2812 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:15:00 | 0.2928 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 17:45:00 | 0.2753 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 18:10:00 | 0.319 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 18:55:00 | 0.291 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 20:20:00 | 0.316 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 20:35:00 | 0.3073 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 21:00:00 | 0.3533 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:25:00 | 0.3785 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 00:45:00 | 0.212 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 01:00:00 | 0.1209 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 0.1386 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 13:15:00 | 0.2828 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 15:30:00 | 0.2567 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 16:15:00 | 0.3043 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 17:45:00 | 0.2753 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 18:00:00 | 0.319 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:15:00 | 0.3785 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 00:45:00 | 0.212 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 15:00:00 | 0.1196 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 00:00:00 | 0.1278 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 05:00:00 | 0.1049 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 13:00:00 | 0.105 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 05:00:00 | 0.0956 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 10:00:00 | 0.126 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 17:00:00 | 0.1073 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 07:00:00 | 0.1039 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 0.3785 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 00:00:00 | 0.213 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2212 | 0.2004 | 0.2629 | 2 | 0.1554 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2004 - 0.2212 = -0.0208
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2212 - 0.2629 = -0.0417
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0417 / -0.0208 = 2.0048
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84.9329 | 84.9329 | 383.9641 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0208 = -384.62
Taille de position USD = -384.62 x 0.2212 = -85.08
Donc, tu peux acheter -384.62 avec un stoploss a 0.2004
Avec un position size USD de -85.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -384.62 x -0.0208 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -384.62 x -0.0417 = 16.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.04$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 18.85 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.4 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -9.40 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -14.3761 % | 152.88 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2212 | 0.2004 | 0.2629 | 2 | 0.1554 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2004 - 0.2212 = -0.0208
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2212 - 0.2629 = -0.0417
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0417 / -0.0208 = 2.0048
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -14.376% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -16.094% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +9.810% | 1.0R | -16.094% | 1.7R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +55.063% | 5.9R | -16.094% | 1.7R | 3.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +55.063% | 5.9R | -29.295% | 3.1R | 1.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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