Long Trade on ETHFI (BosPullback)
With 601.67 ETHFI at 0.455$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4884 (7.29 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4419 (2.92 %)
Long Trade on ETHFI (BosPullback)
With 601.67 ETHFI at 0.455$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4884 (7.29 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4419 (2.92 %)
Position
Entry 0.4552$
Qty 601.6693 ETHFI
Size 273.8618$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4884 (+7.29%)
TP $ 19.98$
SL 0.4419 (-2.92%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9326
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.34×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.45×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.72×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 14/08 20:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 14/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 14/08 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6454 | r1h: 0.285% · r4h: -1.749% · r1d: 1.66% · r3d: 17.95% · ema21_slope: 0.2082% · dist_ema21: 2.910% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6206 | rs_1h: 0.074% · rs_4h: -1.814% · rs_1d: 2.42% · rs_3d: 18.84% · beta_24h: -0.363 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2138 | rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -0.528 · trend: -13.24% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7170 | ADX: 32.9 (trend) · Chop: 45.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.873% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.830% | 0.3R | -0.633% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.830% | 0.3R | -0.633% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.830% | 0.3R | -2.058% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.448% | 1.9R | -2.087% | 0.7R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.399% | 2.5R | -2.087% | 0.7R | 3.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.60 | bear_high | -5.24% | +0.71 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.37 | bear_medium | -1.52% | +0.94 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.26 | bear_low | -0.84% | +0.49 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | — | 0.10 | range_low | -0.05% | -0.09 | 14/08 20:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 3.718×ATR | p33 | +1.733×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 20b | — | 5.708×ATR | p85 | +1.863×ATR | p83 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 1.539×ATR | p2 | +1.987×ATR | p84 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 16b | — | 3.675×ATR | p66 | +2.351×ATR | p90 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.44254
145
0.7601
0.5622
0.3987
0.2525
0.5183
0.4835
0.5676
0.7338
0.7126
0.3246
0.6347
0.949
0.1618
0.1398
1
1.9305
3.8772
0.6
0.4
1
5
1
0.4949
0.4177
4.1055
0.6
0.4835
1.985
3.8772
0.466
0.1677
0.36
-0.1371
0.5256
0.6235
0.7576
0.949
-0.5749
10.6925
1
1
1
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0.44254
0.46015
0.46015
0.44254
0.44022
0.42368
0.43195
0.7669
0.46015
0.45832
0.459235
0.5788
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:51 | 0.45517000 | -0.007% |
| 2 | 20:57 | 0.45517000 | -0.007% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4552 | 0.4419 | 0.4884 | 2.5 | 0.7447 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4419 - 0.4552 = -0.0133
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4552 - 0.4884 = -0.0332
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0332 / -0.0133 = 2.4962
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 273.8618 | 100 | 601.6693 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0133 = -601.5
Taille de position USD = -601.5 x 0.4552 = -273.8
Donc, tu peux acheter -601.5 avec un stoploss a 0.4419
Avec un position size USD de -273.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -601.5 x -0.0133 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -601.5 x -0.0332 = 19.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.97$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.29 % | 19.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.92 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 19.97 $ | 7.29 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.087 % | 71.43 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4552 | 0.4419 | 0.4884 | 2.5 | 0.7447 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4419 - 0.4552 = -0.0133
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4552 - 0.4884 = -0.0332
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0332 / -0.0133 = 2.4962
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.830% | 0.3R | -0.633% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.830% | 0.3R | -0.633% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.830% | 0.3R | -2.058% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.448% | 1.9R | -2.087% | 0.7R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.399% | 2.5R | -2.087% | 0.7R | 3.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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