Short Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 22.79 BCH at 206.19$ per unit. Take profit: 205.4879 (0.34 %) & Stop Loss: 206.5411 (0.17 %)
Short Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 22.79 BCH at 206.19$ per unit. Take profit: 205.4879 (0.34 %) & Stop Loss: 206.5411 (0.17 %)
Position
Entry 206.19$
Qty 22.7877 BCH
Size 4698.6003$ (margin 100$) (leverage 47)
Risk Setup
TP 205.4879 (+0.34%)
TP $ 16$
SL 206.5411 (-0.17%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7291
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.98×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.96×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.01×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 14/08 21:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.439585 15m : 0.391952 |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : bull_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 14/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 14/08 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4546 | r1h: 0.283% · r4h: 0.840% · r1d: -0.50% · r3d: -4.21% · ema21_slope: -0.0875% · dist_ema21: 0.474% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5055 | rs_1h: 0.318% · rs_4h: 0.656% · rs_1d: 0.35% · rs_3d: -3.09% · beta_24h: 1.424 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2016 | rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -0.266 · trend: -35.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7775 | ADX: 35.5 (trend) · Chop: 40.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.581% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.567% | 3.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.567% | 3.3R | -0.082% | 0.5R | 6.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.567% | 3.3R | -0.082% | 0.5R | 6.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.635% | 3.7R | -0.082% | 0.5R | 7.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.014% | 6.0R | -0.082% | 0.5R | 12.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mature_trend | bear_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 31% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.65 | bear_high | -5.24% | -0.20 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.57 | bear_medium | -1.55% | -0.26 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.59 | bear_low | -0.83% | +0.01 | 14/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_low |
36%
|
choppy 54% | late | — | — | 0.17 | range_low | -0.02% | +0.09 | 14/08 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 36b | — | 6.798×ATR | p94 | -1.334×ATR | p73 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.382×ATR | p21 | -1.096×ATR | p60 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 3.494×ATR | p53 | +0.818×ATR | p53 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 26b | — | 10.113×ATR | p100 | +3.474×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62988.4
0.000692018
63032
0.439585
63043.4
-0.000181798
63032
0.391952
63433
-0.0066212
63013
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201.58
193
0.3235
0.6414
0.4243
0.2667
0.5533
0.5044
0.4499
0.5944
0.2336
0.4372
0.6645
0.375
0.0523
-0.0789
0.3333
1.5516
-0.5591
0.3
0.7
-1
11
1
0.4666
0.5531
5.8657
0.55
0.5044
1.5927
-0.5591
0.8515
0.2416
0.4
-0.0042
0.5916
0.5582
0.5656
0.375
-10.2463
6.1478
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:37 | 206.19000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:43 | 206.01000000 | -0.087% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 17:20:00 | 203.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 18:10:00 | 201.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 18:35:00 | 202.58 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:10:00 | 201.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 21:20:00 | 203.49 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 21:25:00 | 203.84 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 203.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:20:00 | 203.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 01:30:00 | 206.3 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 03:45:00 | 205.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 05:45:00 | 206.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 09:30:00 | 204.43 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 11:30:00 | 205.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 14:15:00 | 199.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:15:00 | 203.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:00:00 | 201.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 21:15:00 | 203.84 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:15:00 | 203.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 01:30:00 | 206.3 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 06:00:00 | 212.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:00:00 | 216.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 212.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 211.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 03:00:00 | 216.05 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 09:00:00 | 215.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 204.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 01:00:00 | 207.04 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 14:00:00 | 199.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 01:00:00 | 206.18 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206.19 | 206.5411 | 205.4879 | 2 | 251.92 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 206.5411 - 206.19 = 0.3511
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 206.19 - 205.4879 = 0.7021
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.7021 / 0.3511 = 1.9997
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4698.6003 | 100 | 22.7877 | 47.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.3511 = 22.79
Taille de position USD = 22.79 x 206.19 = 4699.07
Donc, tu peux acheter 22.79 avec un stoploss a 206.5411
Avec un position size USD de 4699.07$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 22.79 x 0.3511 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 22.79 x 0.7021 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.34 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.17 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.34 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206.19 | 206.5411 | 205.4879 | 2 | 251.92 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 206.5411 - 206.19 = 0.3511
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 206.19 - 205.4879 = 0.7021
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.7021 / 0.3511 = 1.9997
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.567% | 3.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.567% | 3.3R | -0.082% | 0.5R | 6.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.567% | 3.3R | -0.082% | 0.5R | 6.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.635% | 3.7R | -0.082% | 0.5R | 7.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.014% | 6.0R | -0.082% | 0.5R | 12.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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