Short Trade on KAITO (BosPullback)
With 595.2 KAITO at 0.396$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3621 (8.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4091 (3.39 %)
Short Trade on KAITO (BosPullback)
With 595.2 KAITO at 0.396$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3621 (8.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4091 (3.39 %)
Position
Entry 0.3957$
Qty 595.2018 KAITO
Size 235.5094$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3621 (+8.49%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.4091 (-3.39%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.51
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0051
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.38×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 14/08 21:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 14/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 14/08 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2333 | r1h: -1.147% · r4h: 2.188% · r1d: -5.83% · r3d: -35.55% · ema21_slope: -0.2707% · dist_ema21: -1.732% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3081 | rs_1h: -1.113% · rs_4h: 2.004% · rs_1d: -4.98% · rs_3d: -34.43% · beta_24h: 1.427 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1941 | rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: -0.534 · trend: -57.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6239 | ADX: 40.4 (trend) · Chop: 64.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.160% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.622% | 0.2R | -0.801% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.622% | 0.2R | -1.213% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.064% | 0.3R | -1.213% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.527% | 0.8R | -1.213% | 0.4R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.427% | 1.0R | -1.213% | 0.4R | 2.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.102% | 2.4R | -1.213% | 0.4R | 6.7× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
choppy 53% | late | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.36 | bear_high | -5.24% | -1.00 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
choppy 48% | late | — | — | -0.03 | bear_medium | -1.55% | -1.00 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | -0.02 | bear_low | -0.80% | -0.33 | 14/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | 0.13 | range_low | -0.04% | +0.14 | 14/08 21:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 9.069×ATR | p83 | -3.314×ATR | p100 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 80b | — | 32.751×ATR | p100 | -3.264×ATR | p95 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.503×ATR | p0 | -1.335×ATR | p58 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.545×ATR | p35 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.40838
147
0.2099
0.5321
0.4454
0.2512
0.6042
0.7815
0.5828
0.2841
0.2139
0.1796
0.563
0.0181
-0.0847
-0.1908
0
-1.205
-4.8764
0.25
0.75
-1
6
1
0.4975
0.3856
2.8402
0.7
0.7815
2.2196
-4.8764
0.4464
0.2168
0.18
-0.1926
0.4779
0.3808
0.8915
0.0181
-39.8004
0.7352
1
0
1
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0.39
0.40838
0.40838
0.39
0.39119
0.39
0.390595
0.5691
0.41352
0.41196
0.41274
0.4634
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:51 | 0.39568000 | -0.005% |
| 2 | 21:58 | 0.39568000 | -0.005% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3957 | 0.4091 | 0.3621 | 2.51 | 0.3493 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4091 - 0.3957 = 0.0134
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3957 - 0.3621 = 0.0336
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0336 / 0.0134 = 2.5075
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 235.5094 | 100 | 595.2018 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0134 = 597.01
Taille de position USD = 597.01 x 0.3957 = 236.24
Donc, tu peux acheter 597.01 avec un stoploss a 0.4091
Avec un position size USD de 236.24$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 597.01 x 0.0134 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 597.01 x 0.0336 = 20.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.06$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.49 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.39 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20 $ | 8.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.213 % | 35.82 % | 18 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3957 | 0.4091 | 0.3621 | 2.51 | 0.3493 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4091 - 0.3957 = 0.0134
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3957 - 0.3621 = 0.0336
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0336 / 0.0134 = 2.5075
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.622% | 0.2R | -0.801% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.622% | 0.2R | -1.213% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.064% | 0.3R | -1.213% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.527% | 0.8R | -1.213% | 0.4R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.427% | 1.0R | -1.213% | 0.4R | 2.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.102% | 2.4R | -1.213% | 0.4R | 6.7× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
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