Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_score)
With 1831.52 2Z at 0.0502$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.05453 (8.71 %)
14 Aug 2026 at 23:10:05
hyperliquid
2Z
SHORT
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
14 Aug 2026 23:10
→ 02:05
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.05016$
Qty 1831.5228 2Z
Size 91.871$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 91.87$
SL 0.05453 (-8.71%)
SL $ 8$
RR
Status
loss
PnL
-0.24%
/ -0.22$
MAE -0.94%
MFE +1.25%
0.1R
expires
15 Aug 02:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 69887)
#48 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 23:00
score du 14/08/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7046
Quality Score
0.388
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 23:02
14/08 23:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#48 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.71 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#48 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.71 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.27×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.55×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.82×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 23:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 14/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 14/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.67
Snapshot évalué : 14/08 23:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3883
Score SMA
0.5677
Rank
#48
/ 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7046
Rank Norm SMA
0.6422
Calculé le
14/08/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3020 | r1h: -2.591% · r4h: -4.711% · r1d: -1.66% · r3d: -4.58% · ema21_slope: -0.1517% · dist_ema21: -3.552% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2364 | rs_1h: -2.724% · rs_4h: -5.102% · rs_1d: -1.09% · rs_3d: -3.63% · beta_24h: -4.398 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1733 | rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.400 · trend: -67.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6931 | ADX: 30.8 (trend) · Chop: 46.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.820% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -8.712%
(0.0044)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.254% | 0.1R | -0.903% | 0.1R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.254% | 0.1R | -0.937% | 0.1R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.254% | 0.1R | -0.937% | 0.1R | 1.3× | 36 |
| 4h | +1.254% | 0.1R | -0.937% | 0.1R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.783% | 0.3R | -0.987% | 0.1R | 2.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.885% | 0.3R | -1.860% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.26
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
43%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -5.24% | -0.85 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.27 | bear_medium | -1.46% | -0.12 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.07 | range_low | -0.65% | -0.88 | 14/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.02 | range_low | +0.10% | -0.39 | 14/08 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.219×ATR | p0 | -0.833×ATR | p45 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 3.218×ATR | p50 | -0.181×ATR | p11 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.336×ATR | p41 | -1.44×ATR | p79 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 4.447×ATR | p84 | -2.544×ATR | p85 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05016 | 0.05453 | 0.04891 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.05016
- Stop Loss: 0.05453
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.05453 - 0.05016 = 0.00437
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.05016 - = 0.05016
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05016 / 0.00437 = 11.4783
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91.871 | 91.871 | 1831.5228 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00437
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00437 = 1830.66
Taille de position USD = 1830.66 x 0.05016 = 91.83
Donc, tu peux acheter 1830.66 avec un stoploss a 0.05453
Avec un position size USD de 91.83$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1830.66 x 0.00437 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1830.66 x 0.05016 = 91.83
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 91.83$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1830.66
- Taille de position USD 91.83
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 91.83
- Risk-Reward Ratio 11.4783
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 91.87 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.71 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.22 $ | -0.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.937 % | 10.76 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05016 | 0.05453 | 0.04891 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.05016
- Stop Loss: 0.05453
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.05453 - 0.05016 = 0.00437
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.05016 - = 0.05016
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05016 / 0.00437 = 11.4783
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -8.712%
(0.0044)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.254% | 0.1R | -0.903% | 0.1R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.254% | 0.1R | -0.937% | 0.1R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.254% | 0.1R | -0.937% | 0.1R | 1.3× | 36 |
| 4h | +1.254% | 0.1R | -0.937% | 0.1R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.783% | 0.3R | -0.987% | 0.1R | 2.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.885% | 0.3R | -1.860% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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