14 Aug 2026 at 23:11:26 hyperliquid

Long Trade on WLFI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 8602.89 WLFI at 0.0562$ per unit. Take profit: 0.05853 (4.13 %) & Stop Loss: 0.05528 (1.65 %)

WLFI LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 14 Aug 2026 23:11 → 11:10 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.05621$

Qty 8602.8906 WLFI

Size 483.5685$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)

Risk Setup

TP 0.05853 (+4.13%)

TP $ 19.96$

SL 0.05528 (-1.65%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.49

Status win PnL +0.09% / +0.45$ MAE -0.69% MFE +2.39% 1.4R expires 15 Aug 11:11 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 69885)
#6 / 50 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8603

Quality Score
0.613
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
73 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 23:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#6 / 50 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
73 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.65 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#6 / 50 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
73 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.65 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.50×ATR
4h near -0.47×ATR
1d clear 0.70×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

14/08 23:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

14/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

14/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

14/08 22:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression 0
Operational bear transition -1
Tactical range transition 0
Micro
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.87
Transition risk : 0.13
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
Impulse :
% Positive (universe)
15m
1h
4h
24h
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m
4h
24h
Dispersion :
Universe :
Regime confidence : 0.67
Snapshot évalué : 14/08 23:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.6132
Score SMA
0.5720
Rank
#6 / 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8603
Rank Norm SMA
0.6645
Calculé le
14/08/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5906 r1h: 0.803% · r4h: 2.079% · r1d: 1.76% · r3d: -0.47% · ema21_slope: 0.0463% · dist_ema21: 1.104%
Force Relative 25% 0.5963 rs_1h: 0.669% · rs_4h: 1.687% · rs_1d: 2.33% · rs_3d: 0.49% · beta_24h: 1.439
Volume 20% 0.3705 rvol_20: 0.71× · zscore_50: 0.205 · trend: 42.27%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7526 ADX: 30.3 (trend) · Chop: 19.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.420% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.655% (0.0009)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.850% 0.5R -0.288% 0.2R 3.0× 12
2h +1.987% 1.2R -0.288% 0.2R 6.9× 24
4h +2.388% 1.4R -0.690% 0.4R 3.5× 48
8h +2.388% 1.4R -0.690% 0.4R 3.5× 96
12h ★ +2.388% 1.4R -0.690% 0.4R 3.5× 144
24h +3.921% 2.4R -0.690% 0.4R 5.7× 288

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.96
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
64%
noisy_chop 38% early 0.40 bear_high -5.24% +0.42 14/08 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
46%
noisy_chop 27% early near -0.5ATR 0.15 bear_medium -1.46% +0.20 14/08 20:00
1h ↔ neutral range range strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 37% early 0.09 range_low -0.65% +0.15 14/08 22:00
15m ↑ up range range strong balanced compression bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 45% mid near -0.2ATR 0.08 range_low +0.10% +0.00 14/08 22:45
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 6b 2.377×ATR p0 +0.429×ATR p37
4h ↓ down early 4b 0.629×ATR p0 +0.681×ATR p53
1h ↑ up early 4b 1.773×ATR p19 +0.634×ATR p40
15m ↑ up mid 7b 1.626×ATR p8 +0.969×ATR p75

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.7254
  3. reason: up_bo width=1.36×ATR dur=52b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.05528008
  5. tp_price: 0.05853479
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.72539701955171
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-15T15:11:18.405625
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.72539701955171
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.0205
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0139
  15. micro_price : 0.056105
  16. spread_pct : 0.017825
  17. mid_price : 0.056105
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.0554
  19. bid_wall_size : 1108762
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.0563
  22. ask_wall_size : 1685377
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.0207
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0006
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7179
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.0001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.055879
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.0548345
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.05535675
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1786579200
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1786762800
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    1.3624
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    52
  43. balance_zone_quality: loose
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.7254
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1786759200
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.055879
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.8654
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.4317
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    1
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    1
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    8
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    37
  59. regime : bull_high_confirmed
  60. atr_entry : 0.00076665
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
52
inside_close_ratio
0.8654
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.4317

Signaux confirmants (42)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 23:11 0.05621000 0%
2 23:17 0.05621000 0%
3 23:22 0.05615900 -0.091%
4 23:28 0.05615900 -0.091%
5 23:35 0.05615900 -0.091%
6 23:40 0.05629500 +0.151%
7 23:46 0.05629500 +0.151%
8 23:52 0.05621900 +0.016%
9 23:58 0.05621900 +0.016%
10 00:05 0.05621900 +0.016%
11 00:11 0.05659100 +0.678%
12 00:17 0.05659100 +0.678%
13 00:22 0.05642600 +0.384%
14 00:28 0.05642600 +0.384%
15 00:35 0.05642600 +0.384%
16 00:40 0.05694100 +1.3%
17 00:46 0.05694100 +1.3%
18 00:52 0.05694700 +1.311%
19 00:58 0.05694700 +1.311%
20 01:05 0.05694700 +1.311%
21 01:52 0.05640000 +0.338%
22 01:58 0.05640000 +0.338%
23 02:05 0.05640000 +0.338%
24 03:11 0.05698900 +1.386%
25 03:16 0.05698900 +1.386%
26 03:22 0.05697200 +1.356%
27 03:28 0.05697200 +1.356%
28 03:34 0.05697200 +1.356%
29 03:40 0.05665500 +0.792%
30 03:46 0.05665500 +0.792%
31 03:52 0.05676100 +0.98%
32 03:58 0.05676100 +0.98%
33 04:09 0.05676100 +0.98%
34 04:17 0.05669700 +0.866%
35 04:22 0.05664000 +0.765%
36 04:28 0.05664000 +0.765%
37 04:34 0.05664000 +0.765%
38 04:40 0.05658900 +0.674%
39 04:46 0.05658900 +0.674%
40 04:52 0.05652800 +0.566%
41 04:58 0.05652800 +0.566%
42 05:05 0.05652800 +0.566%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7179ms Confidence avant OB : 73%73%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.021
avg 0.021 ± 0.001
OBI Top 10 0.014

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.0561
Micro Price
0.0561
Spread
0.0178%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.0554
Size
1,108,762.00

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.0563
Size
1,685,377.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05621 0.05528 0.05853 2.49 0.05706
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05621
  • Stop Loss: 0.05528
  • Take Profit: 0.05853

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05528 - 0.05621 = -0.00093

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05621 - 0.05853 = -0.00232

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00232 / -0.00093 = 2.4946

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
483.5685 100 8602.8906 5.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00093

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00093 = -8602.15

Taille de position USD = -8602.15 x 0.05621 = -483.53

Donc, tu peux acheter -8602.15 avec un stoploss a 0.05528

Avec un position size USD de -483.53$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -8602.15 x -0.00093 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -8602.15 x -0.00232 = 19.96

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.96$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -8602.15
  • Taille de position USD -483.53
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.96
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4946

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.13 % 19.96 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.65 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
0.45 $ 0.09
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6903 % 41.72 % 15
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05621 0.05528 0.05853 2.49 0.05706
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05621
  • Stop Loss: 0.05528
  • Take Profit: 0.05853

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05528 - 0.05621 = -0.00093

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05621 - 0.05853 = -0.00232

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00232 / -0.00093 = 2.4946

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.655% (0.0009)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.850% 0.5R -0.288% 0.2R 3.0× 12
2h +1.987% 1.2R -0.288% 0.2R 6.9× 24
4h +2.388% 1.4R -0.690% 0.4R 3.5× 48
8h +2.388% 1.4R -0.690% 0.4R 3.5× 96
12h ★ +2.388% 1.4R -0.690% 0.4R 3.5× 144
24h +3.921% 2.4R -0.690% 0.4R 5.7× 288

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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