Short Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 10311.54 ONDO at 0.331$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3294 (0.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3317 (0.21 %)
Short Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 10311.54 ONDO at 0.331$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3294 (0.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3317 (0.21 %)
Position
Entry 0.331$
Qty 10311.5373 ONDO
Size 3412.7064$ (margin 100$) (leverage 34)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3294 (+0.48%)
TP $ 16.5$
SL 0.3317 (-0.21%)
SL $ 7.22$
RR 2.29
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3832
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.63×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.69×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.04×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 23:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.189002 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 14/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 14/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5096 | r1h: 0.551% · r4h: 2.153% · r1d: -0.82% · r3d: -1.94% · ema21_slope: -0.0691% · dist_ema21: 0.817% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5429 | rs_1h: 0.418% · rs_4h: 1.762% · rs_1d: -0.25% · rs_3d: -0.98% · beta_24h: 1.368 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1671 | rvol_20: 0.50× · zscore_50: -0.569 · trend: -46.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6483 | ADX: 32.9 (trend) · Chop: 53.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.770% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.317% | 1.5R | -0.024% | 0.1R | 13.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.659% | 3.1R | -0.036% | 0.2R | 18.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.230% | 5.8R | -0.036% | 0.2R | 33.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.692% | 8.0R | -0.036% | 0.2R | 46.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.692% | 8.0R | -0.036% | 0.2R | 46.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.63 | bear_high | -5.24% | -0.94 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.53 | bear_medium | -1.46% | -0.12 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.55 | range_low | -0.65% | -0.04 | 14/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | compression | range_low |
44%
|
ranging_calm 55% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | — | range_low | +0.10% | +0.20 | 14/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 5.637×ATR | p75 | -1.743×ATR | p82 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 1.882×ATR | p0 | -0.704×ATR | p41 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 3.49×ATR | p76 | +0.999×ATR | p59 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 2.754×ATR | p46 | +2.521×ATR | p96 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62981.7
0.00251205
63140
-0.189002
63045.3
0.00150062
63140
63425.1
-0.00451107
63139
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0.06
0.0236
0.5319
0.4853
0.5942
0.2892
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4.2709
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 20:55:00 | 0.3232 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 21:10:00 | 0.32437 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 21:50:00 | 0.32135 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 22:05:00 | 0.32379 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:25:00 | 0.32223 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 00:20:00 | 0.32971 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 00:40:00 | 0.32721 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 01:15:00 | 0.32729 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 01:25:00 | 0.32868 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 03:05:00 | 0.33128 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 06:15:00 | 0.33263 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 08:30:00 | 0.33158 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 12:00:00 | 0.32475 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 13:45:00 | 0.32932 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 0.32253 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 16:30:00 | 0.32851 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:15:00 | 0.32206 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 21:45:00 | 0.32135 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 00:15:00 | 0.32971 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 0.33128 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 0.3309 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:00:00 | 0.33841 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 07:00:00 | 0.332 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:00:00 | 0.34029 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 0.32549 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:00:00 | 0.337 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 14:00:00 | 0.33946 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 0.32998 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 21:00:00 | 0.32135 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 0.33095 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.331 | 0.3317 | 0.3294 | 2.29 | 0.4545 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3317 - 0.331 = 0.00069999999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.331 - 0.3294 = 0.0016
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0016 / 0.00069999999999998 = 2.2857
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3412.7064 | 100 | 10311.5373 | 34.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00069999999999998 = 11428.57
Taille de position USD = 11428.57 x 0.331 = 3782.86
Donc, tu peux acheter 11428.57 avec un stoploss a 0.3317
Avec un position size USD de 3782.86$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 11428.57 x 0.00069999999999998 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 11428.57 x 0.0016 = 18.29
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 18.29$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.48 % | 16.5 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.21 % | 7.22 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.5 $ | 0.48 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0363 % | 17.16 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.331 | 0.3317 | 0.3294 | 2.29 | 0.4545 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3317 - 0.331 = 0.00069999999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.331 - 0.3294 = 0.0016
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0016 / 0.00069999999999998 = 2.2857
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.317% | 1.5R | -0.024% | 0.1R | 13.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.659% | 3.1R | -0.036% | 0.2R | 18.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.230% | 5.8R | -0.036% | 0.2R | 33.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.692% | 8.0R | -0.036% | 0.2R | 46.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.692% | 8.0R | -0.036% | 0.2R | 46.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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