Long Trade on ETHFI (BosPullback)
With 927.51 ETHFI at 0.451$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4721 (4.77 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4419 (1.93 %)
Long Trade on ETHFI (BosPullback)
With 927.51 ETHFI at 0.451$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4721 (4.77 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4419 (1.93 %)
Position
Entry 0.4506$
Qty 927.5115 ETHFI
Size 417.8996$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4721 (+4.77%)
TP $ 19.94$
SL 0.4419 (-1.93%)
SL $ 8.07$
RR 2.47
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9357
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.02×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.16×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.72×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 00:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 14/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 14/08 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7166 | r1h: -0.846% · r4h: -0.016% · r1d: 3.25% · r3d: 18.49% · ema21_slope: 0.2773% · dist_ema21: 1.709% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6405 | rs_1h: -0.713% · rs_4h: -0.043% · rs_1d: 3.68% · rs_3d: 19.67% · beta_24h: -0.511 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1519 | rvol_20: 0.11× · zscore_50: -0.722 · trend: -57.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7368 | ADX: 38.3 (trend) · Chop: 48.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.793% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.113% | 0.1R | -1.059% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.113% | 0.1R | -1.087% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.470% | 1.3R | -1.087% | 0.6R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +8.495% | 4.4R | -1.087% | 0.6R | 7.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.495% | 4.4R | -1.087% | 0.6R | 7.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.60 | bear_high | -5.24% | +0.71 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.37 | bear_medium | -1.31% | +0.95 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.26 | range_low | -0.73% | +0.24 | 14/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.00% | +0.02 | 14/08 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 3.718×ATR | p33 | +1.733×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 20b | — | 5.78×ATR | p85 | +2.017×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 0.937×ATR | p2 | +0.957×ATR | p56 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 2.814×ATR | p49 | -0.483×ATR | p24 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.44254
142
0.761
0.5272
0.3893
0.247
0.5058
0.4835
0.4989
0.7547
0.7126
0.2622
0.6338
0.8911
0.1678
0.1503
1
0.9066
3.0013
0.6
0.4
1
8
1
0.5061
0.4177
4.1055
0.5
0.4835
1.985
3.0013
0.466
0.1997
0.3
-0.1767
0.514
0.5673
0.8775
0.8911
-1.3067
10.6955
1
1
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0.44254
0.46015
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0.44254
0.44022
0.42368
0.43195
0.7669
0.46015
0.45832
0.459235
0.5776
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4506 | 0.4419 | 0.4721 | 2.47 | 0.7089 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4419 - 0.4506 = -0.0087
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4506 - 0.4721 = -0.0215
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0215 / -0.0087 = 2.4713
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 417.8996 | 100 | 927.5115 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0087 = -919.54
Taille de position USD = -919.54 x 0.4506 = -414.34
Donc, tu peux acheter -919.54 avec un stoploss a 0.4419
Avec un position size USD de -414.34$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -919.54 x -0.0087 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -919.54 x -0.0215 = 19.77
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.77$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.77 % | 19.94 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.93 % | 8.07 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 19.94 $ | 4.77 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0874 % | 56.32 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4506 | 0.4419 | 0.4721 | 2.47 | 0.7089 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4419 - 0.4506 = -0.0087
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4506 - 0.4721 = -0.0215
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0215 / -0.0087 = 2.4713
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)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.113% | 0.1R | -1.059% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.113% | 0.1R | -1.087% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.470% | 1.3R | -1.087% | 0.6R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +8.495% | 4.4R | -1.087% | 0.6R | 7.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.495% | 4.4R | -1.087% | 0.6R | 7.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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