Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 3404.55 ETHFI at 0.45$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4551 (1.04 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4481 (0.51 %)
Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 3404.55 ETHFI at 0.45$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4551 (1.04 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4481 (0.51 %)
Position
Entry 0.4504$
Qty 3404.5451 ETHFI
Size 1533.4071$ (margin 100$) (leverage 15)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4551 (+1.04%)
TP $ 16$
SL 0.4481 (-0.51%)
SL $ 7.83$
RR 2.04
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9487
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.81×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.16×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.72×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 23:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.004409 15m : -0.072687 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 14/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 14/08 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7814 | r1h: 0.163% · r4h: 1.524% · r1d: 3.96% · r3d: 19.47% · ema21_slope: 0.2716% · dist_ema21: 3.107% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7065 | rs_1h: 0.029% · rs_4h: 1.133% · rs_1d: 4.54% · rs_3d: 20.43% · beta_24h: -0.409 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1650 | rvol_20: 0.21× · zscore_50: -0.643 · trend: -44.05% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7625 | ADX: 38.0 (trend) · Chop: 44.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.777% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.158% | 0.3R | -1.015% | 2.0R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.158% | 0.3R | -1.044% | 2.0R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.318% | 0.6R | -1.044% | 2.0R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +8.544% | 16.7R | -1.044% | 2.0R | 8.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.544% | 16.7R | -1.044% | 2.0R | 8.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.60 | bear_high | -5.24% | +0.71 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.37 | bear_medium | -1.31% | +0.95 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.26 | range_low | -0.59% | +0.27 | 14/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.07 | range_low | +0.12% | +0.08 | 14/08 23:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 3.718×ATR | p33 | +1.733×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 20b | — | 5.78×ATR | p85 | +2.017×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 1.221×ATR | p2 | +1.225×ATR | p66 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.279×ATR | p24 | +0.144×ATR | p8 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62987.2
0.00182135
63102
-0.004409
63044.9
0.00117413
63119
-0.072687
63425.1
-0.00451107
63139
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0.44254
192
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0.5058
0.4835
0.5454
0.7419
0.7126
0.1977
0.6258
0.9119
0.1863
0.1645
1
1.2228
3.5018
0.6
0.4
1
8
1
0.5042
0.4177
4.1055
0.5
0.4835
1.985
3.5018
0.466
0.2103
0.26
-0.2375
0.5025
0.5547
0.8773
0.9119
-1.1414
11.8179
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:21 | 0.45040000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:27 | 0.44904000 | -0.302% |
| 3 | 23:33 | 0.44836000 | -0.453% |
| 4 | 23:39 | 0.44836000 | -0.453% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 22:35:00 | 0.44601 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 23:10:00 | 0.44742 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 23:25:00 | 0.45168 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 00:05:00 | 0.44797 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 01:00:00 | 0.45898 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 01:45:00 | 0.45232 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 02:05:00 | 0.45659 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 02:20:00 | 0.45261 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 02:40:00 | 0.45602 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 03:20:00 | 0.45036 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 11:00:00 | 0.43766 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 13:30:00 | 0.42373 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 15:30:00 | 0.43643 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 16:30:00 | 0.42993 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:15:00 | 0.4381 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 18:30:00 | 0.43285 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 19:45:00 | 0.46015 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 20:45:00 | 0.44254 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 01:00:00 | 0.45898 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 03:15:00 | 0.45152 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 22:00:00 | 0.38503 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:00:00 | 0.36853 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:00:00 | 0.38724 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 0.37138 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 01:00:00 | 0.38493 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 0.37496 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 21:00:00 | 0.45149 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:00:00 | 0.42368 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 13:00:00 | 0.42373 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 19:00:00 | 0.46015 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4504 | 0.4481 | 0.4551 | 2.04 | 0.7173 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4481 - 0.4504 = -0.0023
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4504 - 0.4551 = -0.0047
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0047 / -0.0023 = 2.0435
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1533.4071 | 100 | 3404.5451 | 15.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0023 = -3478.26
Taille de position USD = -3478.26 x 0.4504 = -1566.61
Donc, tu peux acheter -3478.26 avec un stoploss a 0.4481
Avec un position size USD de -1566.61$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3478.26 x -0.0023 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3478.26 x -0.0047 = 16.35
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.35$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.04 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.51 % | 7.83 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.83 $ | -0.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6594 % | 129.12 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4504 | 0.4481 | 0.4551 | 2.04 | 0.7173 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4481 - 0.4504 = -0.0023
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4504 - 0.4551 = -0.0047
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0047 / -0.0023 = 2.0435
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.158% | 0.3R | -1.015% | 2.0R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.158% | 0.3R | -1.044% | 2.0R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.318% | 0.6R | -1.044% | 2.0R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +8.544% | 16.7R | -1.044% | 2.0R | 8.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.544% | 16.7R | -1.044% | 2.0R | 8.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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