Long Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 2021.47 NEAR at 1.635$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6429 (0.48 %) & Stop Loss: 1.631 (0.24 %)
Long Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 2021.47 NEAR at 1.635$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6429 (0.48 %) & Stop Loss: 1.631 (0.24 %)
Position
Entry 1.635$
Qty 2021.4731 NEAR
Size 3305.1085$ (margin 100$) (leverage 33)
Risk Setup
TP 1.6429 (+0.48%)
TP $ 15.97$
SL 1.631 (-0.24%)
SL $ 8.09$
RR 1.98
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7540
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.54×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.95×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.62×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 01:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.362701 15m : 0.439412 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 15/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 01:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5131 | r1h: -0.249% · r4h: -0.261% · r1d: 2.13% · r3d: -1.04% · ema21_slope: 0.0898% · dist_ema21: 1.011% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5037 | rs_1h: -0.409% · rs_4h: -0.474% · rs_1d: 2.51% · rs_3d: -0.09% · beta_24h: 1.399 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1585 | rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -1.033 · trend: -29.48% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7455 | ADX: 29.5 (trend) · Chop: 29.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.921% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.618% | 2.5R | -0.196% | 0.8R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.618% | 2.5R | -0.196% | 0.8R | 3.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.618% | 2.5R | -0.422% | 1.7R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.618% | 2.5R | -0.422% | 1.7R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.752% | 3.1R | -0.422% | 1.7R | 1.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.56 | bear_high | -5.24% | -0.63 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.60 | bear_medium | -1.30% | +0.19 | 15/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.47 | range_low | -0.57% | +0.17 | 15/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.45 | range_low | +0.08% | -0.07 | 15/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 31b | — | 6.173×ATR | p85 | -0.662×ATR | p33 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 2.113×ATR | p9 | +0.542×ATR | p33 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.006×ATR | p22 | +0.807×ATR | p42 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 5.585×ATR | p94 | -0.702×ATR | p28 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63030.5
0.00122883
63108
0.362701
63037.7
0.00111467
63108
0.439412
63411.2
-0.00434082
63136
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0.82
0.2606
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0.4295
0.6774
0.7025
-2.9564
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0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:33 | 1.63500000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:38 | 1.63250000 | -0.153% |
| 3 | 01:44 | 1.63330000 | -0.104% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 21:15:00 | 1.6239 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 21:40:00 | 1.609 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 22:40:00 | 1.625 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 00:20:00 | 1.65 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 01:25:00 | 1.6522 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 01:50:00 | 1.6378 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 1.6685 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 04:50:00 | 1.6385 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 05:30:00 | 1.635 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 09:15:00 | 1.6114 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 11:15:00 | 1.6085 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 1.5818 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:15:00 | 1.6078 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:15:00 | 1.5892 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 20:45:00 | 1.6328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 21:30:00 | 1.609 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 01:45:00 | 1.6378 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 1.6685 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:30:00 | 1.635 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 06:00:00 | 1.6173 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 14:00:00 | 1.5371 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 05:00:00 | 1.6833 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 1.6106 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 1.6141 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:00:00 | 1.6806 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 14:00:00 | 1.6726 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 23:00:00 | 1.6423 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 1.5818 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 1.6685 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.635 | 1.631 | 1.6429 | 1.98 | 4.5423 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.631 - 1.635 = -0.004
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.635 - 1.6429 = -0.0079
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0079 / -0.004 = 1.975
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3305.1085 | 100 | 2021.4731 | 33.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.004 = -2000
Taille de position USD = -2000 x 1.635 = -3270
Donc, tu peux acheter -2000 avec un stoploss a 1.631
Avec un position size USD de -3270$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2000 x -0.004 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2000 x -0.0079 = 15.8
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.8$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.48 % | 15.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.24 % | 8.09 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.97 $ | 0.48 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1957 % | 80.01 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.635 | 1.631 | 1.6429 | 1.98 | 4.5423 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.631 - 1.635 = -0.004
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.635 - 1.6429 = -0.0079
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0079 / -0.004 = 1.975
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.618% | 2.5R | -0.196% | 0.8R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.618% | 2.5R | -0.196% | 0.8R | 3.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.618% | 2.5R | -0.422% | 1.7R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.618% | 2.5R | -0.422% | 1.7R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.752% | 3.1R | -0.422% | 1.7R | 1.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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