Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 7.59 XMR at 404.81$ per unit. Take profit: 406.9178 (0.52 %) & Stop Loss: 403.7561 (0.26 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 7.59 XMR at 404.81$ per unit. Take profit: 406.9178 (0.52 %) & Stop Loss: 403.7561 (0.26 %)
Position
Entry 404.81$
Qty 7.591 XMR
Size 3072.924$ (margin 100$) (leverage 31)
Risk Setup
TP 406.9178 (+0.52%)
TP $ 16$
SL 403.7561 (-0.26%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7530
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.74×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.06×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.05×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 01:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.211765 15m : 0.187585 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 15/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 15/08 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6181 | r1h: 0.659% · r4h: 1.893% · r1d: 3.22% · r3d: 6.20% · ema21_slope: 0.0545% · dist_ema21: 1.801% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6604 | rs_1h: 0.499% · rs_4h: 1.681% · rs_1d: 3.60% · rs_3d: 7.15% · beta_24h: 0.396 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2392 | rvol_20: 0.68× · zscore_50: -0.712 · trend: -6.10% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5973 | ADX: 17.8 (weak) · Chop: 44.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.690% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.791% | 3.0R | -0.037% | 0.1R | 21.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.035% | 4.0R | -0.037% | 0.1R | 27.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.035% | 4.0R | -0.378% | 1.5R | 2.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.035% | 4.0R | -0.941% | 3.6R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.628% | 6.3R | -0.941% | 3.6R | 1.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
72%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -5.24% | +0.92 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.29 | bear_medium | -1.30% | +0.68 | 15/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.12 | range_low | -0.57% | +0.22 | 15/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_low |
48%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | near -0.2ATR | — | range_low | +0.08% | +0.12 | 15/08 01:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 1.003×ATR | p0 | +1.703×ATR | p89 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 2.334×ATR | p19 | +1.568×ATR | p84 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 4.698×ATR | p88 | +2.38×ATR | p91 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 31b | — | 8.577×ATR | p96 | +1.164×ATR | p61 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63030.3
0.000200998
63043
0.211765
63037.7
0.00109912
63107
0.187585
63410.7
-0.00477368
63108
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 13:00:00
[1] => 394.12
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 15:00:00
[1] => 400.87
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 21:00:00
[1] => 390.4
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 06:00:00
[1] => 393.18
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 11:00:00
[1] => 409.24
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 00:00:00
[1] => 392.54
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 08:00:00
[1] => 393.27
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 12:00:00
[1] => 403.11
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 19:00:00
[1] => 394.57
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 05:00:00
[1] => 408.11
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.82820808115459
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.5749550143194
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.4315837493981
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 12:30:00
[1] => 403.11
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 14:15:00
[1] => 396.15
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 15:00:00
[1] => 400.24
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 16:15:00
[1] => 396.36
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 16:45:00
[1] => 399.73
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 18:15:00
[1] => 399.83
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 19:15:00
[1] => 394.57
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 20:15:00
[1] => 398.73
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 21:30:00
[1] => 394.79
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 05:00:00
[1] => 408.11
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.49251427311264
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.8648142050204
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 32
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3739456419869
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 22:40:00
[1] => 399.32
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 23:25:00
[1] => 398.52
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 00:05:00
[1] => 401.11
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 00:40:00
[1] => 401.29
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 00:55:00
[1] => 400.2
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 02:15:00
[1] => 404.79
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 02:40:00
[1] => 403.14
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 03:25:00
[1] => 406.16
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 05:00:00
[1] => 408.11
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 05:35:00
[1] => 404.58
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.80860552302076
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.05684907805626
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.87250976321124
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
394.57
189
0.7058
0.5228
0.2871
0.2245
0.3383
0.8079
0.5456
0.4936
0.6191
0.3151
0.5296
0.8676
0.191
0.0982
1
1.346
2.1079
0.45
0.55
1
42
1
0.551
0.2911
4.5463
0.6
0.8079
2.8139
2.1079
0.7443
0.2538
0.16
0.0286
0.4915
0.5902
0.5023
0.8676
-1.6645
10.9062
1
0
2
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:40 | 404.81000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:52 | 404.80000000 | -0.002% |
| 3 | 01:59 | 404.84000000 | +0.007% |
Market Structure Score: 3
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 22:40:00 | 399.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 23:25:00 | 398.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 00:05:00 | 401.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 00:40:00 | 401.29 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 00:55:00 | 400.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 02:15:00 | 404.79 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 02:40:00 | 403.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:25:00 | 406.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:00:00 | 408.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:35:00 | 404.58 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 12:30:00 | 403.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 14:15:00 | 396.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 400.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 16:15:00 | 396.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 16:45:00 | 399.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 18:15:00 | 399.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:15:00 | 394.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 20:15:00 | 398.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 21:30:00 | 394.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 05:00:00 | 408.11 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 13:00:00 | 394.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:00:00 | 400.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 390.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 06:00:00 | 393.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 409.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:00:00 | 392.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 08:00:00 | 393.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 12:00:00 | 403.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:00:00 | 394.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 05:00:00 | 408.11 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 404.81 | 403.7561 | 406.9178 | 2 | 578.22 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 403.7561 - 404.81 = -1.0539
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 404.81 - 406.9178 = -2.1078
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.1078 / -1.0539 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3072.924 | 100 | 7.591 | 31.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.0539 = -7.59
Taille de position USD = -7.59 x 404.81 = -3072.51
Donc, tu peux acheter -7.59 avec un stoploss a 403.7561
Avec un position size USD de -3072.51$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7.59 x -1.0539 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7.59 x -2.1078 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.52 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.26 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0371 % | 14.25 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 404.81 | 403.7561 | 406.9178 | 2 | 578.22 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 403.7561 - 404.81 = -1.0539
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 404.81 - 406.9178 = -2.1078
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.1078 / -1.0539 = 2
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 406.9178
[stop_loss] => 403.7561
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-15 06:40:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 407.44475
[stop_loss] => 403.7561
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-15 06:40:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 407.9717
[stop_loss] => 403.7561
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-15 06:40:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 408.49865
[stop_loss] => 403.7561
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-15 06:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 409.0256
[stop_loss] => 403.7561
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-08-15 08:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 409.55255
[stop_loss] => 403.7561
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-15 08:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 410.0795
[stop_loss] => 403.7561
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-15 08:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 410.60645
[stop_loss] => 403.7561
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-15 08:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 411.1334
[stop_loss] => 403.7561
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-08-15 08:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 411.66035
[stop_loss] => 403.7561
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-15 08:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 412.1873
[stop_loss] => 403.7561
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-08-15 08:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.791% | 3.0R | -0.037% | 0.1R | 21.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.035% | 4.0R | -0.037% | 0.1R | 27.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.035% | 4.0R | -0.378% | 1.5R | 2.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.035% | 4.0R | -0.941% | 3.6R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.628% | 6.3R | -0.941% | 3.6R | 1.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.