Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 234.23 AVAX at 6.649$ per unit. Take profit: 6.7171 (1.03 %) & Stop Loss: 6.6146 (0.51 %)
Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 234.23 AVAX at 6.649$ per unit. Take profit: 6.7171 (1.03 %) & Stop Loss: 6.6146 (0.51 %)
Position
Entry 6.6488$
Qty 234.2286 AVAX
Size 1557.339$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 6.7171 (+1.03%)
TP $ 16$
SL 6.6146 (-0.51%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8172
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.02×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.82×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.04×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 02:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.133563 15m : 0.255715 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 15/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 15/08 02:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6234 | r1h: -0.385% · r4h: 3.255% · r1d: 4.24% · r3d: 6.46% · ema21_slope: 0.1521% · dist_ema21: 2.593% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6765 | rs_1h: -0.312% · rs_4h: 3.191% · rs_1d: 4.75% · rs_3d: 7.65% · beta_24h: 1.601 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4689 | rvol_20: 0.89× · zscore_50: 0.106 · trend: 107.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7342 | ADX: 28.1 (trend) · Chop: 11.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.030% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.284% | 0.6R | -0.215% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.284% | 0.6R | -0.609% | 1.2R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.284% | 0.6R | -1.008% | 2.0R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.284% | 0.6R | -1.486% | 2.9R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.284% | 0.6R | -2.474% | 4.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near 0.5ATR | near -1.0ATR | 0.78 | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.26 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.55 | bear_medium | -1.38% | +0.56 | 15/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.51 | range_low | -0.72% | +0.36 | 15/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.04% | +0.20 | 15/08 02:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.99×ATR | p0 | +0.676×ATR | p48 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 2.825×ATR | p49 | +1.821×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 3.521×ATR | p62 | +1.13×ATR | p66 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 5.897×ATR | p86 | -0.634×ATR | p25 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63041.1
-0.0001614
63031
0.133563
63034.9
-6.33395E-5
63031
0.255715
63416.2
-0.00609008
63030
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1.7395
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0.45
1
4
0.9474
0.563
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7.6229
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4.7916
12.7316
1.7395
0
0.3118
0.94
1.5909
0.5903
0.4801
0.5699
0.6731
-2.8472
5.863
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:18 | 6.64880000 | 0% |
| 2 | 02:24 | 6.64460000 | -0.063% |
| 3 | 02:30 | 6.64380000 | -0.075% |
| 4 | 02:36 | 6.64490000 | -0.059% |
| 5 | 03:18 | 6.63690000 | -0.179% |
| 6 | 03:30 | 6.62990000 | -0.284% |
| 7 | 03:36 | 6.62480000 | -0.361% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 01:00:00 | 6.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 01:05:00 | 6.4793 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 01:55:00 | 6.4771 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 02:10:00 | 6.5946 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 02:50:00 | 6.8771 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 03:25:00 | 6.7471 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 04:40:00 | 6.6947 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 05:05:00 | 6.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:40:00 | 6.6773 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 06:10:00 | 6.6 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 14:00:00 | 6.3996 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 6.3691 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:15:00 | 6.4896 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:15:00 | 6.3993 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 19:45:00 | 6.4537 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 6.3874 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 00:00:00 | 6.5147 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 01:45:00 | 6.4771 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 02:45:00 | 6.8771 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 06:00:00 | 6.6 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 20:00:00 | 6.4194 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 6.2932 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 04:00:00 | 6.545 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 12:00:00 | 6.5481 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 6.3635 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 01:00:00 | 6.4844 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 12:00:00 | 6.3451 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:00:00 | 6.4896 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 6.3874 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 02:00:00 | 6.8771 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.6488 | 6.6146 | 6.7171 | 2 | 11.147 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.6146 - 6.6488 = -0.034199999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.6488 - 6.7171 = -0.068300000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.068300000000001 / -0.034199999999999 = 1.9971
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1557.339 | 100 | 234.2286 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.034199999999999 = -233.92
Taille de position USD = -233.92 x 6.6488 = -1555.29
Donc, tu peux acheter -233.92 avec un stoploss a 6.6146
Avec un position size USD de -1555.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -233.92 x -0.034199999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -233.92 x -0.068300000000001 = 15.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.03 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.51 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -0.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5369 % | 104.37 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.6488 | 6.6146 | 6.7171 | 2 | 11.147 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.6146 - 6.6488 = -0.034199999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.6488 - 6.7171 = -0.068300000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.068300000000001 / -0.034199999999999 = 1.9971
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.284% | 0.6R | -0.215% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.284% | 0.6R | -0.609% | 1.2R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.284% | 0.6R | -1.008% | 2.0R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.284% | 0.6R | -1.486% | 2.9R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.284% | 0.6R | -2.474% | 4.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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