Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 160.82 LINK at 9.394$ per unit. Take profit: 9.4935 (1.06 %) & Stop Loss: 9.3443 (0.53 %)
Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 160.82 LINK at 9.394$ per unit. Take profit: 9.4935 (1.06 %) & Stop Loss: 9.3443 (0.53 %)
Position
Entry 9.394$
Qty 160.8185 LINK
Size 1510.7287$ (margin 100$) (leverage 15)
Risk Setup
TP 9.4935 (+1.06%)
TP $ 16$
SL 9.3443 (-0.53%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9558
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.55×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 2.51×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 02:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.319767 15m : 0.252895 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 15/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 15/08 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7175 | r1h: 0.487% · r4h: 1.983% · r1d: 8.10% · r3d: 9.07% · ema21_slope: 0.2948% · dist_ema21: 4.024% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7564 | rs_1h: 0.559% · rs_4h: 1.919% · rs_1d: 8.61% · rs_3d: 10.26% · beta_24h: 1.525 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4174 | rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: 0.069 · trend: 121.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8441 | ADX: 41.3 (trend) · Chop: 7.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.185% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.408% | 0.8R | -0.349% | 0.7R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.408% | 0.8R | -1.354% | 2.6R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.408% | 0.8R | -1.807% | 3.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.430% | 2.7R | -1.807% | 3.4R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.496% | 4.7R | -1.807% | 3.4R | 1.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.85 | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.78 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
70%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.74 | bear_medium | -1.38% | +0.66 | 15/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
72%
|
noisy_chop 52% | late | — | — | 0.53 | range_low | -0.72% | +0.60 | 15/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_medium |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.34 | range_low | -0.04% | +0.23 | 15/08 02:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 4.756×ATR | p53 | +3.049×ATR | p99 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 4.799×ATR | p73 | +3.207×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 2.744×ATR | p54 | +2.291×ATR | p93 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 14b | — | 4.91×ATR | p73 | +0.121×ATR | p6 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63025.9
0.0001913
63038
0.319767
63038.1
-8.18722E-5
63033
0.252895
63416.2
-0.00602825
63034
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0.94
0.7026
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0.3475
0.1896
1
1.8777
3.4196
0.8
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1
3
1
0.4698
0.6076
8.8704
0.65
35.2679
15.3304
3.4196
0
0.2546
0.9
1.3015
0.763
0.5357
0.7071
0.7852
-2.5561
9.3452
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:37 | 9.39400000 | 0% |
| 2 | 02:49 | 9.39760000 | +0.038% |
| 3 | 03:02 | 9.38780000 | -0.066% |
| 4 | 03:25 | 9.36920000 | -0.264% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 22:25:00 | 8.923 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 22:30:00 | 8.9539 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 23:20:00 | 8.999 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 23:30:00 | 8.999 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 23:55:00 | 8.9598 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 9.7456 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 04:50:00 | 9.4431 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 05:05:00 | 9.535 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:40:00 | 9.5109 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 06:35:00 | 9.3861 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 05:45:00 | 8.7973 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 06:45:00 | 8.7472 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 08:30:00 | 8.7196 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 10:00:00 | 8.8781 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 12:30:00 | 8.8804 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 8.7581 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 19:45:00 | 8.999 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:15:00 | 8.923 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 9.7456 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 06:30:00 | 9.4124 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 12:00:00 | 8.8874 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 8.6913 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 02:00:00 | 8.6142 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:00:00 | 8.8095 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 8.6711 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 8.862 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 22:00:00 | 8.9023 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 08:00:00 | 8.7196 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 8.7581 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 9.7456 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.394 | 9.3443 | 9.4935 | 2 | 13.142 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 9.3443 - 9.394 = -0.0497
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.394 - 9.4935 = -0.099499999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.099499999999999 / -0.0497 = 2.002
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1510.7287 | 100 | 160.8185 | 15.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0497 = -160.97
Taille de position USD = -160.97 x 9.394 = -1512.15
Donc, tu peux acheter -160.97 avec un stoploss a 9.3443
Avec un position size USD de -1512.15$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -160.97 x -0.0497 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -160.97 x -0.099499999999999 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.06 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.53 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.53 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8058 % | 152.3 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.394 | 9.3443 | 9.4935 | 2 | 13.142 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 9.3443 - 9.394 = -0.0497
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.394 - 9.4935 = -0.099499999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.099499999999999 / -0.0497 = 2.002
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.408% | 0.8R | -0.349% | 0.7R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.408% | 0.8R | -1.354% | 2.6R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.408% | 0.8R | -1.807% | 3.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.430% | 2.7R | -1.807% | 3.4R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.496% | 4.7R | -1.807% | 3.4R | 1.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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