Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 407.16 AVAX at 6.623$ per unit. Take profit: 6.6624 (0.59 %) & Stop Loss: 6.6035 (0.3 %)
Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 407.16 AVAX at 6.623$ per unit. Take profit: 6.6624 (0.59 %) & Stop Loss: 6.6035 (0.3 %)
Position
Entry 6.6231$
Qty 407.1568 AVAX
Size 2696.6402$ (margin 100$) (leverage 27)
Risk Setup
TP 6.6624 (+0.59%)
TP $ 16$
SL 6.6035 (-0.3%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.01
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8666
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.11×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.02×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.04×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 03:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.144688 15m : 0.245741 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 15/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 15/08 03:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5362 | r1h: -0.522% · r4h: -1.607% · r1d: 4.24% · r3d: 6.66% · ema21_slope: 0.1645% · dist_ema21: 1.761% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5643 | rs_1h: -0.487% · rs_4h: -1.476% · rs_1d: 4.12% · rs_3d: 7.66% · beta_24h: 1.819 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5768 | rvol_20: 1.45× · zscore_50: 0.544 · trend: 91.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7363 | ADX: 28.4 (trend) · Chop: 13.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.067% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.035% | 0.1R | -0.432% | 1.5R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.035% | 0.1R | -0.612% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.035% | 0.1R | -0.772% | 2.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.035% | 0.1R | -1.214% | 4.1R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.035% | 0.1R | -2.096% | 7.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near 0.5ATR | near -1.0ATR | 0.78 | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.26 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.55 | bear_medium | -1.37% | +0.52 | 15/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.51 | range_low | -0.66% | +0.37 | 15/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.00% | +0.07 | 15/08 03:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.99×ATR | p0 | +0.676×ATR | p48 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.871×ATR | p0 | +1.466×ATR | p84 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 3.669×ATR | p66 | +1.018×ATR | p60 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 0.871×ATR | p3 | -0.638×ATR | p26 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63046.9
0.000144012
63056
0.144688
63000.4
0.000881092
63056
0.245741
63394.5
-0.00529357
63059
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0.2908
0.88
1.5451
0.5845
0.4882
0.6421
0.673
-3.1152
6.4109
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (11)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:48 | 6.62310000 | 0% |
| 2 | 03:54 | 6.62370000 | +0.009% |
| 3 | 04:00 | 6.62030000 | -0.042% |
| 4 | 04:10 | 6.61940000 | -0.056% |
| 5 | 04:12 | 6.61550000 | -0.115% |
| 6 | 04:18 | 6.61840000 | -0.071% |
| 7 | 04:24 | 6.61600000 | -0.107% |
| 8 | 04:30 | 6.61070000 | -0.187% |
| 9 | 04:36 | 6.61110000 | -0.181% |
| 10 | 04:42 | 6.60320000 | -0.3% |
| 11 | 04:48 | 6.59660000 | -0.4% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 01:55:00 | 6.4771 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 02:10:00 | 6.5946 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 02:50:00 | 6.8771 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 03:25:00 | 6.7471 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 04:40:00 | 6.6947 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 05:05:00 | 6.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:40:00 | 6.6773 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 06:10:00 | 6.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 06:50:00 | 6.6677 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 07:35:00 | 6.6227 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 6.3691 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:15:00 | 6.4896 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:15:00 | 6.3993 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 19:45:00 | 6.4537 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 6.3874 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 00:00:00 | 6.5147 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 01:45:00 | 6.4771 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 02:45:00 | 6.8771 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 06:00:00 | 6.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 07:30:00 | 6.6227 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 20:00:00 | 6.4194 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 6.2932 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 04:00:00 | 6.545 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 12:00:00 | 6.5481 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 6.3635 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 01:00:00 | 6.4844 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 12:00:00 | 6.3451 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:00:00 | 6.4896 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 6.3874 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 02:00:00 | 6.8771 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.6231 | 6.6035 | 6.6624 | 2.01 | 11.172 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.6035 - 6.6231 = -0.0196
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.6231 - 6.6624 = -0.0393
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0393 / -0.0196 = 2.0051
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2696.6402 | 100 | 407.1568 | 27.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0196 = -408.16
Taille de position USD = -408.16 x 6.6231 = -2703.28
Donc, tu peux acheter -408.16 avec un stoploss a 6.6035
Avec un position size USD de -2703.28$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -408.16 x -0.0196 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -408.16 x -0.0393 = 16.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.04$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.59 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.3 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.98 $ | -0.30 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3488 % | 117.88 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.6231 | 6.6035 | 6.6624 | 2.01 | 11.172 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.6035 - 6.6231 = -0.0196
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.6231 - 6.6624 = -0.0393
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0393 / -0.0196 = 2.0051
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.035% | 0.1R | -0.432% | 1.5R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.035% | 0.1R | -0.612% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.035% | 0.1R | -0.772% | 2.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.035% | 0.1R | -1.214% | 4.1R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.035% | 0.1R | -2.096% | 7.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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