Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 188.97 LINK at 9.323$ per unit. Take profit: 9.4075 (0.91 %) & Stop Loss: 9.2805 (0.45 %)
Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 188.97 LINK at 9.323$ per unit. Take profit: 9.4075 (0.91 %) & Stop Loss: 9.2805 (0.45 %)
Position
Entry 9.3228$
Qty 188.9655 LINK
Size 1761.688$ (margin 100$) (leverage 18)
Risk Setup
TP 9.4075 (+0.91%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 9.2805 (-0.45%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9767
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.35×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.14×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.51×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 03:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.283903 15m : 0.253977 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 15/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 15/08 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5754 | r1h: -0.890% · r4h: -3.351% · r1d: 7.26% · r3d: 7.67% · ema21_slope: 0.3051% · dist_ema21: 2.636% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5589 | rs_1h: -0.855% · rs_4h: -3.219% · rs_1d: 7.14% · rs_3d: 8.68% · beta_24h: 1.906 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4748 | rvol_20: 0.87× · zscore_50: 0.436 · trend: 89.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8496 | ADX: 41.9 (trend) · Chop: 11.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.188% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.334% | 0.7R | -0.619% | 1.4R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.334% | 0.7R | -1.057% | 2.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.632% | 1.4R | -1.057% | 2.3R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.204% | 4.9R | -1.057% | 2.3R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.279% | 7.2R | -1.057% | 2.3R | 3.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.85 | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.78 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.73 | bear_medium | -1.37% | +0.63 | 15/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
72%
|
noisy_chop 52% | late | — | — | 0.53 | range_low | -0.66% | +0.51 | 15/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.00% | -0.26 | 15/08 03:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 4.756×ATR | p53 | +3.049×ATR | p99 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 2.081×ATR | p3 | +2.893×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 3.545×ATR | p77 | +1.491×ATR | p84 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 18b | — | 6.169×ATR | p85 | -0.641×ATR | p28 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63046.9
0.000159559
63057
0.283903
63000.5
0.00089665
63057
0.253977
63394.5
-0.00529357
63059
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195
0.8483
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0.2704
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15.3304
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0.88
1.0416
0.7542
0.5332
0.7438
0.7531
-3.0929
9.4324
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:49 | 9.32280000 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:02 | 9.31300000 | -0.105% |
| 3 | 04:11 | 9.32760000 | +0.051% |
| 4 | 04:37 | 9.28600000 | -0.395% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 23:30:00 | 8.999 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 23:55:00 | 8.9598 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 9.7456 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 04:50:00 | 9.4431 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 05:05:00 | 9.535 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:40:00 | 9.5109 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 07:00:00 | 9.3612 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 07:45:00 | 9.3183 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 07:00:00 | 8.7728 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 08:30:00 | 8.7196 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 10:00:00 | 8.8781 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 12:30:00 | 8.8804 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 8.7581 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 19:45:00 | 8.999 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:15:00 | 8.923 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 9.7456 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 07:45:00 | 9.3183 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 12:00:00 | 8.8874 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 8.6913 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 02:00:00 | 8.6142 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:00:00 | 8.8095 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 8.6711 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 8.862 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 22:00:00 | 8.9023 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 08:00:00 | 8.7196 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 8.7581 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 9.7456 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.3228 | 9.2805 | 9.4075 | 2 | 12.94 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 9.2805 - 9.3228 = -0.042300000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.3228 - 9.4075 = -0.0847
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0847 / -0.042300000000001 = 2.0024
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1761.688 | 100 | 188.9655 | 18.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.042300000000001 = -189.13
Taille de position USD = -189.13 x 9.3228 = -1763.22
Donc, tu peux acheter -189.13 avec un stoploss a 9.2805
Avec un position size USD de -1763.22$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -189.13 x -0.042300000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -189.13 x -0.0847 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.91 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.45 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.45 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6007 % | 132.4 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.3228 | 9.2805 | 9.4075 | 2 | 12.94 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 9.2805 - 9.3228 = -0.042300000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.3228 - 9.4075 = -0.0847
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0847 / -0.042300000000001 = 2.0024
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.334% | 0.7R | -0.619% | 1.4R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.334% | 0.7R | -1.057% | 2.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.632% | 1.4R | -1.057% | 2.3R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.204% | 4.9R | -1.057% | 2.3R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.279% | 7.2R | -1.057% | 2.3R | 3.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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