Short Trade on CRV

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15 Aug 2026 at 04:00:12 hyperliquid

Short Trade on CRV (momentum_pullback_v1)

With 1559.45 CRV at 0.239$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2364 (1.13 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2442 (2.13 %)

CRV SHORT momentum_pullback_v1 hyperliquid 15 Aug 2026 04:00 → 15:50 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.2391$

Qty 1559.4542 CRV

Size 372.8187$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2364 (+1.13%)

TP $ 4.21$

SL 0.2442 (-2.13%)

SL $ 7.95$

RR 0.53

Status loss PnL -0.52% / -1.93$ MAE -1.62% MFE +0.04% 0.0R expires 15 Aug 16:00 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 70049)

#47 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 15/08/2026 03:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1161

Quality Score

0.394

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

1 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

5.7M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
15/08 03:45

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#47 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.13 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#47 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.13 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	2.41×ATR
4h	near	0.11×ATR
1d	clear	1.83×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 03:00 Score : +1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

15/08 03:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 15/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 15/08 03:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

14/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

15/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

15/08 03:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)

range compression range_breakdown_risk

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	bear	transition	—	+1
Tactical	range	transition	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.87

Transition risk : 0.13

Score contribution (this trade) +1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.67

Snapshot évalué : 15/08 04:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.3944

Score SMA

0.4509

Rank

#47 / 49

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1161

Rank Norm SMA

0.1638

Calculé le

15/08/2026 03:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3400	r1h: -0.079% · r4h: -0.866% · r1d: -4.72% · r3d: -12.06% · ema21_slope: -0.1556% · dist_ema21: -0.751%
Force Relative	25%	0.3303	rs_1h: -0.044% · rs_4h: -0.735% · rs_1d: -4.84% · rs_3d: -11.06% · beta_24h: 1.883
Volume	20%	0.1384	rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.924 · trend: -57.18%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5479	ADX: 33.3 (trend) · Chop: 66.6 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.187% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.133% (0.0051)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.359%	0.6R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.510%	0.7R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.623%	0.8R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.623%	0.8R	0.0×	96
12h ★	+0.042%	0.0R	-1.623%	0.8R	0.0×	144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.01

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	69%	noisy_chop 40%	early	—	—	0.66	bear_high	-5.14%	+0.94	14/08 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 41%	late	near 0.1ATR	—	0.36	bear_medium	-1.37%	-0.75	15/08 00:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 39%	mid	—	—	0.22	range_low	-0.66%	-0.33	15/08 03:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bear_medium	56%	noisy_chop 41%	late	near -0.5ATR	—	—	range_low	+0.00%	-0.18	15/08 03:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	3b	—	3.221×ATR	p25	+0.766×ATR	p52
4h	↓ down	late	18b	—	5.888×ATR	p94	-1.129×ATR	p67
1h	↓ down	mid	5b	—	1.681×ATR	p10	-1.455×ATR	p66
15m	↓ down	late	5b	—	3.439×ATR	p69	-2.053×ATR	p90

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_pullback_v1 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.2442
tp_price: 0.23637466
atr: 0.00107814
expires_at: 2026-08-15T20:00:12+00:00

Details

rank: 46
total: 49
score: 0.34
avg_rank_8h: 45.5
rank_velocity: 0.5
pullback_depth_atr: 5.82
trigger_price: 0.24129
fip_24h: -0.333
confidence: 0.938

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	04:00	0.23907000	-0.013%
2	04:15	0.24050000	+0.586%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2391	0.2442	0.2364	0.53	0.3623

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2391
Stop Loss: 0.2442
Take Profit: 0.2364

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.2442 - 0.2391 = 0.0051
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2391 - 0.2364 = 0.0027
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0027 / 0.0051 = 0.5294

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
372.8187	100	1559.4542	4.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0051

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0051 = 1568.63

Taille de position USD = 1568.63 x 0.2391 = 375.06

Donc, tu peux acheter 1568.63 avec un stoploss a 0.2442

Avec un position size USD de 375.06$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1568.63 x 0.0051 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1568.63 x 0.0027 = 4.24

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.24$

Résumé

Taille de position 1568.63
Taille de position USD 375.06
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.24
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5294

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
1.13 %	4.21 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
2.13 %	7.95 $

PNL	PNL %
-1.93 $	-0.52

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.6228 %	76.08 %	4

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2391	0.2442	0.2364	0.53	0.3623

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2391
Stop Loss: 0.2442
Take Profit: 0.2364

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.2442 - 0.2391 = 0.0051
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2391 - 0.2364 = 0.0027
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0027 / 0.0051 = 0.5294

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.133% (0.0051)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.359%	0.6R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.510%	0.7R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.623%	0.8R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.623%	0.8R	0.0×	96
12h ★	+0.042%	0.0R	-1.623%	0.8R	0.0×	144

computed 1 month ago

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