Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 7.6 XMR at 404.49$ per unit. Take profit: 406.5943 (0.52 %) & Stop Loss: 403.4378 (0.26 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 7.6 XMR at 404.49$ per unit. Take profit: 406.5943 (0.52 %) & Stop Loss: 403.4378 (0.26 %)
Position
Entry 404.49$
Qty 7.6035 XMR
Size 3075.5292$ (margin 100$) (leverage 31)
Risk Setup
TP 406.5943 (+0.52%)
TP $ 16$
SL 403.4378 (-0.26%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7724
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.17×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.79×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.34×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 04:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.129193 15m : 0.173784 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 15/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 15/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5594 | r1h: -0.258% · r4h: 0.350% · r1d: 2.62% · r3d: 2.01% · ema21_slope: 0.0854% · dist_ema21: 1.149% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5542 | rs_1h: -0.210% · rs_4h: 0.316% · rs_1d: 2.38% · rs_3d: 3.19% · beta_24h: 0.379 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2010 | rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: -0.811 · trend: -24.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6441 | ADX: 19.8 (weak) · Chop: 40.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.708% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.319% | 1.2R | -0.299% | 1.2R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.319% | 1.2R | -0.299% | 1.2R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.519% | 2.0R | -0.319% | 1.2R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.627% | 6.3R | -0.863% | 3.3R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.319% | 8.9R | -0.863% | 3.3R | 2.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
72%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.94 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.27 | bear_medium | -1.39% | +0.62 | 15/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.12 | range_low | -0.69% | +0.08 | 15/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | normal | bull_low |
49%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | — | range_low | -0.06% | +0.02 | 15/08 04:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 0.684×ATR | p0 | +1.904×ATR | p91 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 2.132×ATR | p7 | +1.198×ATR | p73 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 4.279×ATR | p77 | +1.536×ATR | p74 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.185×ATR | p23 | +0.419×ATR | p33 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63056.7
-0.000551489
63022
0.129193
62980.7
0.0006547
63022
0.173784
63382.7
-0.00565991
63024
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394.57
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0.5511
0.9149
0.1961
0.1131
1
1.4794
2.5273
0.45
0.55
1
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1
0.5674
0.2911
4.5463
0.6
0.8079
2.8139
2.5273
0.7443
0.2525
0
-0.121
0.4633
0.5663
0.7639
0.9149
-1.1391
12.239
1
0
2
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:35 | 404.49000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:40 | 404.09000000 | -0.099% |
| 3 | 04:47 | 403.92000000 | -0.141% |
| 4 | 04:52 | 403.83000000 | -0.163% |
| 5 | 04:58 | 403.41000000 | -0.267% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 02:40:00 | 403.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:25:00 | 406.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:00:00 | 408.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:35:00 | 404.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 06:45:00 | 409 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 07:20:00 | 406.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 07:25:00 | 407.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:00:00 | 405.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 08:25:00 | 406.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:30:00 | 404.49 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 16:15:00 | 396.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 16:45:00 | 399.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 18:15:00 | 399.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:15:00 | 394.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 20:15:00 | 398.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 21:30:00 | 394.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 05:00:00 | 408.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:30:00 | 404.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 06:45:00 | 409 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:30:00 | 404.49 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 13:00:00 | 394.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:00:00 | 400.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 390.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 06:00:00 | 393.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 409.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:00:00 | 392.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 08:00:00 | 393.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 12:00:00 | 403.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:00:00 | 394.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 06:00:00 | 409 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 404.49 | 403.4378 | 406.5943 | 2 | 565.14 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 403.4378 - 404.49 = -1.0522
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 404.49 - 406.5943 = -2.1043
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.1043 / -1.0522 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3075.5292 | 100 | 7.6035 | 31.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.0522 = -7.6
Taille de position USD = -7.6 x 404.49 = -3074.12
Donc, tu peux acheter -7.6 avec un stoploss a 403.4378
Avec un position size USD de -3074.12$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7.6 x -1.0522 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7.6 x -2.1043 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.52 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.26 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2991 % | 114.99 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 404.49 | 403.4378 | 406.5943 | 2 | 565.14 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 403.4378 - 404.49 = -1.0522
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 404.49 - 406.5943 = -2.1043
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.1043 / -1.0522 = 1.9999
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.319% | 1.2R | -0.299% | 1.2R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.319% | 1.2R | -0.299% | 1.2R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.519% | 2.0R | -0.319% | 1.2R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.627% | 6.3R | -0.863% | 3.3R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.319% | 8.9R | -0.863% | 3.3R | 2.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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