Long Trade on XMR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1.04 XMR at 405.25$ per unit. Take profit: 424.5362 (4.76 %) & Stop Loss: 397.5355 (1.9 %)
15 Aug 2026 at 04:41:03
hyperliquid
XMR
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
15 Aug 2026 04:41
→ 16:40
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 405.25$
Qty 1.037 XMR
Size 420.2496$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 424.5362 (+4.76%)
TP $ 20$
SL 397.5355 (-1.9%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+1.93%
/ +8.1$
MAE -1.05%
MFE +2.13%
1.1R
expires
15 Aug 16:40
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 70135)
#12 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 15/08/2026 04:00
score du 15/08/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7724
Quality Score
0.543
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
15/08 04:32
15/08 04:32
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#12 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#12 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.17×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.79×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.34×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 04:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 15/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 15/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5432
Score SMA
0.5245
Rank
#12
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7724
Rank Norm SMA
0.5784
Calculé le
15/08/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5594 | r1h: -0.258% · r4h: 0.350% · r1d: 2.62% · r3d: 2.01% · ema21_slope: 0.0854% · dist_ema21: 1.149% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5542 | rs_1h: -0.210% · rs_4h: 0.316% · rs_1d: 2.38% · rs_3d: 3.19% · beta_24h: 0.379 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2010 | rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: -0.811 · trend: -24.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6441 | ADX: 19.8 (weak) · Chop: 40.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.708% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.904%
(7.7145)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.131% | 0.1R | -0.486% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.178% | 0.1R | -0.486% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.331% | 0.2R | -0.506% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.436% | 0.8R | -1.049% | 0.6R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.127% | 1.1R | -1.049% | 0.6R | 2.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.784% | 1.5R | -1.049% | 0.6R | 2.7× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.29
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
72%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.94 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.27 | bear_medium | -1.39% | +0.62 | 15/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.12 | range_low | -0.69% | +0.08 | 15/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | normal | bull_low |
49%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | — | range_low | -0.06% | +0.02 | 15/08 04:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 0.684×ATR | p0 | +1.904×ATR | p91 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 2.132×ATR | p7 | +1.198×ATR | p73 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 4.279×ATR | p77 | +1.536×ATR | p74 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.185×ATR | p23 | +0.419×ATR | p33 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8643
- reason: up_bo width=2.93×ATR dur=68b phase=extending|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
- stop_price: 397.5355364
- tp_price: 424.53615899
- atr:
- score: 0.79427450983406
- expires_at: 2026-08-15T20:40:56.157787
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.79427450983406
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1697
- obi_top10 : 0.1487
- micro_price : 404.025
- spread_pct : 0.047027
- mid_price : 404.115
- bid_wall_price : 403
- bid_wall_size : 695.092
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 406
- ask_wall_size : 555.08
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1674
- obi_top5_std : 0.0017
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6920
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
401.99
- balance_zone_bottom:
393.65
- balance_zone_mid:
397.82
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786539600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786780800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9318
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
68
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7943
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786755600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
401.99
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7059
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
7
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.146
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
8
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 2.84463597 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
68
inside_close_ratio
0.7059
bars_since_breakout
7
distance_to_edge_atr
1.146
Signaux confirmants (13)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:41 | 405.25000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:47 | 405.25000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 04:52 | 404.23000000 | -0.252% |
| 4 | 04:59 | 404.23000000 | -0.252% |
| 5 | 05:06 | 404.23000000 | -0.252% |
| 6 | 05:22 | 404.38000000 | -0.215% |
| 7 | 05:28 | 404.38000000 | -0.215% |
| 8 | 05:35 | 404.38000000 | -0.215% |
| 9 | 05:40 | 405.09000000 | -0.039% |
| 10 | 05:47 | 405.09000000 | -0.039% |
| 11 | 05:52 | 404.73000000 | -0.128% |
| 12 | 05:58 | 404.73000000 | -0.128% |
| 13 | 06:06 | 404.73000000 | -0.128% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6920ms
Confidence avant OB :
79%
→
86%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.170
avg 0.167
± 0.002
OBI Top 10
0.149
Microstructure
Mid Price
404.1150
Micro Price
404.0250
Spread
0.0470%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
403.0000
Size
695.09
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
406.0000
Size
555.08
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 405.25 | 397.5355 | 424.5362 | 2.5 | 556.39 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 405.25
- Stop Loss: 397.5355
- Take Profit: 424.5362
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 397.5355 - 405.25 = -7.7145
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 405.25 - 424.5362 = -19.2862
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -19.2862 / -7.7145 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 420.2496 | 100 | 1.037 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -7.7145
Taille de position = 8 / -7.7145 = -1.04
Taille de position USD = -1.04 x 405.25 = -421.46
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.04 avec un stoploss a 397.5355
Avec un position size USD de -421.46$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.04 x -7.7145 = 8.02
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.04 x -19.2862 = 20.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.06$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.04
- Taille de position USD -421.46
- Perte potentielle 8.02
- Gain potentiel 20.06
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.76 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.9 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 8.1 $ | 1.93 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0487 % | 55.09 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 405.25 | 397.5355 | 424.5362 | 2.5 | 556.39 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 405.25
- Stop Loss: 397.5355
- Take Profit: 424.5362
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 397.5355 - 405.25 = -7.7145
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 405.25 - 424.5362 = -19.2862
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -19.2862 / -7.7145 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.904%
(7.7145)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.131% | 0.1R | -0.486% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.178% | 0.1R | -0.486% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.331% | 0.2R | -0.506% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.436% | 0.8R | -1.049% | 0.6R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.127% | 1.1R | -1.049% | 0.6R | 2.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.784% | 1.5R | -1.049% | 0.6R | 2.7× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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