Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 202.79 LINK at 9.287$ per unit. Take profit: 9.3655 (0.85 %) & Stop Loss: 9.2472 (0.42 %)
Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 202.79 LINK at 9.287$ per unit. Take profit: 9.3655 (0.85 %) & Stop Loss: 9.2472 (0.42 %)
Position
Entry 9.2866$
Qty 202.7917 LINK
Size 1883.2452$ (margin 100$) (leverage 19)
Risk Setup
TP 9.3655 (+0.85%)
TP $ 16$
SL 9.2472 (-0.42%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9765
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.78×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.52×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.51×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 04:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.323284 15m : 0.261842 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 15/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5938 | r1h: -0.573% · r4h: -2.278% · r1d: 6.81% · r3d: 7.01% · ema21_slope: 0.3110% · dist_ema21: 2.035% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5803 | rs_1h: -0.526% · rs_4h: -2.313% · rs_1d: 6.57% · rs_3d: 8.19% · beta_24h: 1.862 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3340 | rvol_20: 0.48× · zscore_50: -0.042 · trend: 52.63% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8517 | ADX: 42.2 (trend) · Chop: 12.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.152% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.158% | 0.4R | -0.671% | 1.6R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.825% | 1.9R | -0.671% | 1.6R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.753% | 4.1R | -0.671% | 1.6R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.341% | 7.9R | -0.671% | 1.6R | 5.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.682% | 8.7R | -0.671% | 1.6R | 5.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.85 | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.78 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.73 | bear_medium | -1.39% | +0.66 | 15/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
71%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | 0.53 | range_low | -0.69% | +0.46 | 15/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.32 | range_low | -0.06% | -0.29 | 15/08 04:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 4.756×ATR | p53 | +3.049×ATR | p99 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 2.506×ATR | p29 | +2.397×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 3.987×ATR | p85 | +1.111×ATR | p71 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 22b | — | 7.808×ATR | p88 | -1.192×ATR | p54 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63053.2
-0.000939972
62994
0.323284
62980.5
0.000499067
63012
0.261842
63382.7
-0.00565991
63024
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9.7456
194
0.8393
0.6659
0.4129
0.2799
0.5217
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0.29
0.6237
0.8288
0.916
0.7115
0.7213
0.2164
0.1519
1
0.9954
2.7165
0.8
0.2
1
5
1
0.4402
0.6076
8.8704
0.55
35.2679
15.3304
2.7165
0
0.2094
0.86
0.869
0.77
0.5299
0.7761
0.7213
-3.6799
9.5231
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:43 | 9.28660000 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:49 | 9.29230000 | +0.061% |
| 3 | 04:55 | 9.27430000 | -0.132% |
| 4 | 05:13 | 9.27150000 | -0.163% |
| 5 | 05:19 | 9.26570000 | -0.225% |
| 6 | 05:25 | 9.25670000 | -0.322% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 00:35:00 | 9.015 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 9.7456 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 04:50:00 | 9.4431 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 05:05:00 | 9.535 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:40:00 | 9.5109 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 07:00:00 | 9.3612 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 08:00:00 | 9.3085 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 08:40:00 | 9.2651 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 08:30:00 | 8.7196 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 10:00:00 | 8.8781 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 12:30:00 | 8.8804 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 8.7581 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 19:45:00 | 8.999 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:15:00 | 8.923 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 9.7456 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:00:00 | 9.3085 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 8.6913 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 02:00:00 | 8.6142 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:00:00 | 8.8095 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 8.6711 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 8.862 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 22:00:00 | 8.9023 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 08:00:00 | 8.7196 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 8.7581 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 9.7456 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:00:00 | 9.3085 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.2866 | 9.2472 | 9.3655 | 2 | 12.229 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 9.2472 - 9.2866 = -0.039400000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.2866 - 9.3655 = -0.078900000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.078900000000001 / -0.039400000000001 = 2.0025
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1883.2452 | 100 | 202.7917 | 19.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.039400000000001 = -203.05
Taille de position USD = -203.05 x 9.2866 = -1885.64
Donc, tu peux acheter -203.05 avec un stoploss a 9.2472
Avec un position size USD de -1885.64$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -203.05 x -0.039400000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -203.05 x -0.078900000000001 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.85 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.42 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4576 % | 107.85 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.2866 | 9.2472 | 9.3655 | 2 | 12.229 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 9.2472 - 9.2866 = -0.039400000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.2866 - 9.3655 = -0.078900000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.078900000000001 / -0.039400000000001 = 2.0025
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.158% | 0.4R | -0.671% | 1.6R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.825% | 1.9R | -0.671% | 1.6R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.753% | 4.1R | -0.671% | 1.6R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.341% | 7.9R | -0.671% | 1.6R | 5.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.682% | 8.7R | -0.671% | 1.6R | 5.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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