Long Trade on ACE (CatchTheWave)
With 278.76 ACE at 0.203$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2604 (28.28 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1743 (14.14 %)
Long Trade on ACE (CatchTheWave)
With 278.76 ACE at 0.203$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2604 (28.28 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1743 (14.14 %)
Position
Entry 0.203$
Qty 278.7566 ACE
Size 56.5876$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2604 (+28.28%)
TP $ 16$
SL 0.1743 (-14.14%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9454
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.20×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.73×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.50×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 05:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.038188 15m : -0.074708 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high_confirmed 5m_regime : bear_high_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 15/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7818 | r1h: -18.270% · r4h: -0.409% · r1d: 38.73% · r3d: 93.47% · ema21_slope: 0.3056% · dist_ema21: -8.853% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6204 | rs_1h: -18.172% · rs_4h: -0.219% · rs_1d: 38.63% · rs_3d: 94.69% · beta_24h: -16.605 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8105 | rvol_20: 2.25× · zscore_50: 1.952 · trend: 149.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9311 | ADX: 51.7 (trend) · Chop: 29.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 19.138% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +15.862% | 1.1R | -5.025% | 0.4R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +15.862% | 1.1R | -6.010% | 0.4R | 2.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +15.862% | 1.1R | -22.956% | 1.6R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +15.862% | 1.1R | -22.956% | 1.6R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +15.862% | 1.1R | -22.956% | 1.6R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.25 | bear_high | -5.14% | +1.00 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | -0.02 | bear_medium | -1.39% | +1.00 | 15/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | -0.06 | bear_low | -0.76% | -0.89 | 15/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near 0.0ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.11% | +0.87 | 15/08 04:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 2.904×ATR | p12 | +2.244×ATR | p94 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 2.45×ATR | p11 | +2.003×ATR | p85 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.428×ATR | p25 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 2.857×ATR | p51 | -0.855×ATR | p16 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63045.2
-0.0020497
62916
0.038188
62958.5
-0.000676081
62916
-0.074708
63382
-0.00621671
62988
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2
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 03:45:00 | 0.1935 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 04:35:00 | 0.2429 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 04:40:00 | 0.203 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 05:45:00 | 0.343 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 06:05:00 | 0.2344 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 07:05:00 | 0.3073 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 07:30:00 | 0.2555 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 08:10:00 | 0.2897 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:25:00 | 0.2077 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 0.2018 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 08:15:00 | 0.1479 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 13:15:00 | 0.2828 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 15:30:00 | 0.2567 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 16:15:00 | 0.3043 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 17:45:00 | 0.2753 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 18:00:00 | 0.319 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:15:00 | 0.3785 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 02:30:00 | 0.1856 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 05:45:00 | 0.343 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 0.2018 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 00:00:00 | 0.1278 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 05:00:00 | 0.1049 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 13:00:00 | 0.105 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 05:00:00 | 0.0956 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 10:00:00 | 0.126 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 17:00:00 | 0.1073 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 07:00:00 | 0.1039 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 0.3785 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 02:00:00 | 0.1856 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 05:00:00 | 0.343 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.203 | 0.1743 | 0.2604 | 2 | 0.1794 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1743 - 0.203 = -0.0287
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.203 - 0.2604 = -0.0574
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0574 / -0.0287 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56.5876 | 56.5876 | 278.7566 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0287 = -278.75
Taille de position USD = -278.75 x 0.203 = -56.59
Donc, tu peux acheter -278.75 avec un stoploss a 0.1743
Avec un position size USD de -56.59$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -278.75 x -0.0287 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -278.75 x -0.0574 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 28.28 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 14.14 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -14.14 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -17.6847 % | 125.09 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.203 | 0.1743 | 0.2604 | 2 | 0.1794 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1743 - 0.203 = -0.0287
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.203 - 0.2604 = -0.0574
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0574 / -0.0287 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +15.862% | 1.1R | -5.025% | 0.4R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +15.862% | 1.1R | -6.010% | 0.4R | 2.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +15.862% | 1.1R | -22.956% | 1.6R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +15.862% | 1.1R | -22.956% | 1.6R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +15.862% | 1.1R | -22.956% | 1.6R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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