Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 8.36 XMR at 403.66$ per unit. Take profit: 405.5741 (0.47 %) & Stop Loss: 402.703 (0.24 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 8.36 XMR at 403.66$ per unit. Take profit: 405.5741 (0.47 %) & Stop Loss: 402.703 (0.24 %)
Position
Entry 403.66$
Qty 8.3591 XMR
Size 3374.2427$ (margin 100$) (leverage 34)
Risk Setup
TP 405.5741 (+0.47%)
TP $ 16$
SL 402.703 (-0.24%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7835
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.77×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.79×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.34×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 05:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.065188 15m : 0.172285 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 15/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 15/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5269 | r1h: -0.536% · r4h: -0.585% · r1d: 2.44% · r3d: 1.57% · ema21_slope: 0.0908% · dist_ema21: 0.496% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5258 | rs_1h: -0.438% · rs_4h: -0.395% · rs_1d: 2.33% · rs_3d: 2.78% · beta_24h: 0.485 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1569 | rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -1.008 · trend: -33.05% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6413 | ADX: 19.2 (weak) · Chop: 40.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.720% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.525% | 2.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.689% | 2.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.726% | 3.1R | -0.456% | 1.9R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.836% | 7.7R | -0.659% | 2.8R | 2.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.529% | 10.7R | -0.659% | 2.8R | 3.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
72%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.94 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.27 | bear_medium | -1.39% | +0.62 | 15/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.12 | bear_low | -0.76% | +0.04 | 15/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | range_low |
43%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.13 | range_low | -0.05% | -0.03 | 15/08 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 0.684×ATR | p0 | +1.904×ATR | p91 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 2.132×ATR | p7 | +1.198×ATR | p73 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.639×ATR | p8 | +0.736×ATR | p44 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 4.057×ATR | p89 | -1.368×ATR | p69 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63045.2
-0.0020497
62916
0.065188
62958.5
-0.000676081
62916
0.172285
63367.3
-0.00742201
62897
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Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 02:40:00 | 403.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:25:00 | 406.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:00:00 | 408.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:35:00 | 404.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 06:45:00 | 409 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 07:20:00 | 406.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 07:25:00 | 407.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:00:00 | 405.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 08:25:00 | 406.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:55:00 | 403.28 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 16:15:00 | 396.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 16:45:00 | 399.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 18:15:00 | 399.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:15:00 | 394.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 20:15:00 | 398.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 21:30:00 | 394.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 05:00:00 | 408.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:30:00 | 404.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 06:45:00 | 409 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:45:00 | 403.28 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 15:00:00 | 400.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 390.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 06:00:00 | 393.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 409.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:00:00 | 392.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 08:00:00 | 393.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 12:00:00 | 403.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:00:00 | 394.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 06:00:00 | 409 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:00:00 | 403.56 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 403.66 | 402.703 | 405.5741 | 2 | 549.08 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 402.703 - 403.66 = -0.95700000000005
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 403.66 - 405.5741 = -1.9141
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.9141 / -0.95700000000005 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3374.2427 | 100 | 8.3591 | 34.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.95700000000005 = -8.36
Taille de position USD = -8.36 x 403.66 = -3374.6
Donc, tu peux acheter -8.36 avec un stoploss a 402.703
Avec un position size USD de -3374.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -8.36 x -0.95700000000005 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -8.36 x -1.9141 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.47 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.24 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.47 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 403.66 | 402.703 | 405.5741 | 2 | 549.08 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 402.703 - 403.66 = -0.95700000000005
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 403.66 - 405.5741 = -1.9141
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.9141 / -0.95700000000005 = 2.0001
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.525% | 2.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.689% | 2.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.726% | 3.1R | -0.456% | 1.9R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.836% | 7.7R | -0.659% | 2.8R | 2.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.529% | 10.7R | -0.659% | 2.8R | 3.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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