Long Trade on BNB (CatchTheWave)
With 15.11 BNB at 609.94$ per unit. Take profit: 610.999 (0.17 %) & Stop Loss: 609.4105 (0.087 %)
Long Trade on BNB (CatchTheWave)
With 15.11 BNB at 609.94$ per unit. Take profit: 610.999 (0.17 %) & Stop Loss: 609.4105 (0.087 %)
Position
Entry 609.94$
Qty 15.1087 BNB
Size 9215.4207$ (margin 100$) (leverage 92)
Risk Setup
TP 610.999 (+0.17%)
TP $ 16$
SL 609.4105 (-0.087%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5720
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.24×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.05×ATR |
| 1d | near | -2.03×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 05:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.274237 15m : 0.454762 |
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+2) 15/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 04:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5077 | r1h: -0.026% · r4h: -0.080% · r1d: 0.45% · r3d: 0.09% · ema21_slope: 0.0257% · dist_ema21: 0.344% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5205 | rs_1h: 0.072% · rs_4h: 0.110% · rs_1d: 0.34% · rs_3d: 1.31% · beta_24h: 0.618 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3497 | rvol_20: 1.39× · zscore_50: -0.206 · trend: -33.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6823 | ADX: 25.5 (trend) · Chop: 41.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8437 | ATR%: 0.253% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.321% | 3.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.321% | 3.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.438% | 5.0R | -0.007% | 0.1R | 66.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.438% | 5.0R | -0.230% | 2.6R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.438% | 5.0R | -0.230% | 2.6R | 1.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near -2.0ATR | 0.83 | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.75 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.76 | bear_medium | -1.39% | +0.09 | 15/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.58 | bear_low | -0.76% | +0.07 | 15/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | range_low |
41%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.11% | +0.02 | 15/08 04:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 22b | — | 4.49×ATR | p58 | +1.301×ATR | p73 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.239×ATR | p3 | +0.745×ATR | p51 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 18b | — | 5.329×ATR | p87 | +1.567×ATR | p80 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.734×ATR | p11 | +0.313×ATR | p12 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63040.4
-0.00229078
62896
0.274237
62958.1
-0.000987466
62896
0.454762
63367.3
-0.00742201
62897
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612.1
194
0.5849
0.5809
0.3793
0.2807
0.46
0.9496
0.2815
0.5245
0.3416
0.0807
0.6048
0.5456
0.1618
0.0633
1
0.6796
0.8419
0.4
0.6
-1
19
1
0.4386
0.4187
5.9706
0.55
0.9496
5.0892
0.8419
0.3705
0.2386
0.04
-0.215
0.521
0.5447
0.6997
0.5456
-7.5488
9.0644
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 04:25:00 | 610.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 04:40:00 | 612.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:40:00 | 610.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 06:25:00 | 611.68 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 07:00:00 | 611.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 07:40:00 | 610.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 08:00:00 | 611.77 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:25:00 | 610.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 08:50:00 | 611.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 609.81 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 12:30:00 | 605.58 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 14:15:00 | 602.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:30:00 | 607.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 18:00:00 | 605.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 19:30:00 | 604.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 607.04 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 01:00:00 | 608.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 04:30:00 | 612.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 07:00:00 | 611.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 609.81 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 12:00:00 | 615.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 15:00:00 | 608.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 612.01 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 05:00:00 | 614.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 605.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 03:00:00 | 612.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 14:00:00 | 602.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:00:00 | 607.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 04:00:00 | 612.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 609.84 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 609.94 | 609.4105 | 610.999 | 2 | 766.27 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 609.4105 - 609.94 = -0.5295000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 609.94 - 610.999 = -1.059
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.059 / -0.5295000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9215.4207 | 100 | 15.1087 | 92.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.5295000000001 = -15.11
Taille de position USD = -15.11 x 609.94 = -9216.19
Donc, tu peux acheter -15.11 avec un stoploss a 609.4105
Avec un position size USD de -9216.19$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -15.11 x -0.5295000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -15.11 x -1.059 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.17 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.087 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.17 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 609.94 | 609.4105 | 610.999 | 2 | 766.27 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 609.4105 - 609.94 = -0.5295000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 609.94 - 610.999 = -1.059
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.059 / -0.5295000000001 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.321% | 3.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.321% | 3.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.438% | 5.0R | -0.007% | 0.1R | 66.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.438% | 5.0R | -0.230% | 2.6R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.438% | 5.0R | -0.230% | 2.6R | 1.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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