Long Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1299.63 NIL at 0.05$ per unit. Take profit: 0.05126 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04385 (12.32 %)
15 Aug 2026 at 07:10:04
hyperliquid
NIL
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
15 Aug 2026 07:10
→ 13:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.05001$
Qty 1299.6275 NIL
Size 64.9918$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.05126 (+2.5%)
TP $ 1.62$
SL 0.04385 (-12.32%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.2
Status
loss
PnL
-3.68%
/ -2.39$
MAE -6.86%
MFE +1.30%
0.1R
expires
15 Aug 13:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 70271)
#2 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 15/08/2026 07:00
score du 15/08/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6745
Quality Score
0.694
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
15/08 07:02
15/08 07:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#2 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
12.32 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#2 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
12.32 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.79×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.54×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 07:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 15/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 06:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1542
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.67
Snapshot évalué :
15/08 07:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
15/08/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.6942
Score SMA
0.5915
Rank
#2
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6745
Rank Norm SMA
0.6569
Calculé le
15/08/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7500 | r1h: 2.572% · r4h: -5.709% · r1d: 14.15% · r3d: 21.07% · ema21_slope: 0.7199% · dist_ema21: 4.620% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7404 | rs_1h: 2.565% · rs_4h: -5.591% · rs_1d: 13.81% · rs_3d: 22.78% · beta_24h: -5.617 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7057 | rvol_20: 1.83× · zscore_50: 1.403 · trend: 230.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7921 | ADX: 35.1 (trend) · Chop: 27.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2413 | ATR%: 5.276% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -12.318%
(0.0062)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.442% | 0.0R | -5.621% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.442% | 0.0R | -6.865% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.756% | 0.1R | -6.865% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.300% | 0.1R | -6.865% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.729% | 0.3R | -6.865% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.521% | 0.4R | -8.702% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.31
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.26 | bear_medium | -1.49% | +0.99 | 15/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.01 | range_low | -0.68% | +0.88 | 15/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | -0.06 | range_low | -0.04% | +0.18 | 15/08 06:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 1.818×ATR | p0 | +1.342×ATR | p76 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.15×ATR | p0 | +0.705×ATR | p36 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.92×ATR | p9 | -0.283×ATR | p17 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05001 | 0.04385 | 0.05126 | 0.2 | 0.1333 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.05001
- Stop Loss: 0.04385
- Take Profit: 0.05126
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04385 - 0.05001 = -0.00616
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.05001 - 0.05126 = -0.00125
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00125 / -0.00616 = 0.2029
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64.9918 | 64.9918 | 1299.6275 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00616
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00616 = -1298.7
Taille de position USD = -1298.7 x 0.05001 = -64.95
Donc, tu peux acheter -1298.7 avec un stoploss a 0.04385
Avec un position size USD de -64.95$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1298.7 x -0.00616 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1298.7 x -0.00125 = 1.62
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.62$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1298.7
- Taille de position USD -64.95
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 1.62
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2029
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 1.62 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 12.32 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.39 $ | -3.68 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -6.8646 % | 55.73 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05001 | 0.04385 | 0.05126 | 0.2 | 0.1333 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.05001
- Stop Loss: 0.04385
- Take Profit: 0.05126
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04385 - 0.05001 = -0.00616
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.05001 - 0.05126 = -0.00125
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00125 / -0.00616 = 0.2029
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -12.318%
(0.0062)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.442% | 0.0R | -5.621% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.442% | 0.0R | -6.865% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.756% | 0.1R | -6.865% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.300% | 0.1R | -6.865% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.729% | 0.3R | -6.865% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.521% | 0.4R | -8.702% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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