15 Aug 2026 at 07:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on LINK (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 32.55 LINK at 9.332$ per unit. Take profit: 9.5653 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 9.0862 (2.63 %)

LINK LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 15 Aug 2026 07:10 → 12:25 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 9.332$

Qty 32.546 LINK

Size 303.7188$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 9.5653 (+2.5%)

TP $ 7.59$

SL 9.0862 (-2.63%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.95

Status win PnL +2.50% / +7.59$ MAE -0.61% MFE +3.09% 1.2R expires 15 Aug 13:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 70244)
#4 / 48 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 15/08/2026 07:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9471

Quality Score
0.639
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
19.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
15/08 07:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#4 / 48 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.63 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#4 / 48 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.63 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 3.66×ATR
4h clear 1.32×ATR
1d clear 2.51×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late OK
4h ↓ down late OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

15/08 07:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

14/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

15/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

15/08 06:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1542
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational bear transition — -1
Tactical range transition — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.87
Transition risk : 0.13
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.67
Snapshot évalué : 15/08 07:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 15/08/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.6388
Score SMA
0.6377
Rank
#4 / 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9471
Rank Norm SMA
0.8563
Calculé le
15/08/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6832 r1h: 0.345% · r4h: -0.765% · r1d: 6.36% · r3d: 6.17% · ema21_slope: 0.3160% · dist_ema21: 1.473%
Force Relative 25% 0.6417 rs_1h: 0.337% · rs_4h: -0.647% · rs_1d: 6.03% · rs_3d: 7.89% · beta_24h: 2.087
Volume 20% 0.2486 rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.253 · trend: -0.94%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8246 ADX: 38.9 (trend) · Chop: 18.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.110% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.634% (0.2458)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.330% 0.1R -0.612% 0.2R 0.5× 12
2h +1.685% 0.6R -0.612% 0.2R 2.8× 24
4h +2.104% 0.8R -0.612% 0.2R 3.4× 48
6h ★ +3.092% 1.2R -0.612% 0.2R 5.1× 72
8h +3.177% 1.2R -0.612% 0.2R 5.2× 96
12h +3.177% 1.2R -0.612% 0.2R 5.2× 144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.67
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate fading expansion bull_high_confirmed
65%
noisy_chop 38% late — — 0.85 bear_high -5.14% +0.78 14/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.73 bear_medium -1.49% +0.68 15/08 04:00
1h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong explosive expansion_after_compression bull_high
72%
noisy_chop 53% late — — 0.53 range_low -0.68% +0.52 15/08 06:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_medium
62%
noisy_chop 45% early — — — range_low -0.04% -0.16 15/08 06:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 14b — 4.756×ATR p53 +3.049×ATR p99
4h ↓ down late 2b — 2.26×ATR p12 +2.418×ATR p96
1h ↓ down late 7b — 3.862×ATR p85 +1.05×ATR p69
15m ↑ up early 4b — 2.244×ATR p24 -0.069×ATR p2

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 9.08619371
  2. tp_price: 9.5653
  3. atr: 0.09832252
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-15T17:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 48
  3. score: 0.6832
  4. delta_2h: 0.0569
  5. extension_atr: 1.03
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9471
  9. confidence: 0.986

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
9.332 9.0862 9.5653 0.95 14.011
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 9.332
  • Stop Loss: 9.0862
  • Take Profit: 9.5653

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 9.0862 - 9.332 = -0.2458

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 9.332 - 9.5653 = -0.2333

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2333 / -0.2458 = 0.9491

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
303.7188 100 32.546 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.2458

Taille de position = 8 / -0.2458 = -32.55

Taille de position USD = -32.55 x 9.332 = -303.76

Donc, tu peux acheter -32.55 avec un stoploss a 9.0862

Avec un position size USD de -303.76$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -32.55 x -0.2458 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -32.55 x -0.2333 = 7.59

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.59$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -32.55
  • Taille de position USD -303.76
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 7.59
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9491

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 7.59 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.63 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
7.59 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6119 % 23.23 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
9.332 9.0862 9.5653 0.95 14.011
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 9.332
  • Stop Loss: 9.0862
  • Take Profit: 9.5653

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 9.0862 - 9.332 = -0.2458

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 9.332 - 9.5653 = -0.2333

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2333 / -0.2458 = 0.9491

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

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Extra SL data

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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.634% (0.2458)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.330% 0.1R -0.612% 0.2R 0.5× 12
2h +1.685% 0.6R -0.612% 0.2R 2.8× 24
4h +2.104% 0.8R -0.612% 0.2R 3.4× 48
6h ★ +3.092% 1.2R -0.612% 0.2R 5.1× 72
8h +3.177% 1.2R -0.612% 0.2R 5.2× 96
12h +3.177% 1.2R -0.612% 0.2R 5.2× 144

computed 1 month ago

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