Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 10.5 XMR at 403.89$ per unit. Take profit: 405.4134 (0.38 %) & Stop Loss: 403.1283 (0.19 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 10.5 XMR at 403.89$ per unit. Take profit: 405.4134 (0.38 %) & Stop Loss: 403.1283 (0.19 %)
Position
Entry 403.89$
Qty 10.5025 XMR
Size 4241.8504$ (margin 100$) (leverage 42)
Risk Setup
TP 405.4134 (+0.38%)
TP $ 16$
SL 403.1283 (-0.19%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7885
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.24×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.78×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.34×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 07:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.134182 15m : 0.20106 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 15/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 15/08 07:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5525 | r1h: 0.284% · r4h: -0.429% · r1d: 1.60% · r3d: 2.48% · ema21_slope: 0.0979% · dist_ema21: 0.803% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5558 | rs_1h: 0.276% · rs_4h: -0.312% · rs_1d: 1.27% · rs_3d: 4.19% · beta_24h: 0.748 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1044 | rvol_20: 0.17× · zscore_50: -1.435 · trend: -56.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6317 | ADX: 17.9 (weak) · Chop: 40.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.687% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.198% | 1.1R | -0.171% | 0.9R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.198% | 1.1R | -0.716% | 3.8R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.040% | 5.5R | -0.716% | 3.8R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.134% | 11.3R | -0.716% | 3.8R | 3.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.130% | 16.6R | -0.716% | 3.8R | 4.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
72%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.94 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.27 | bear_medium | -1.43% | +0.62 | 15/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.13 | range_low | -0.68% | +0.19 | 15/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_low |
46%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near -0.4ATR | — | range_low | -0.05% | +0.01 | 15/08 07:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 0.684×ATR | p0 | +1.904×ATR | p91 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 2.081×ATR | p3 | +1.171×ATR | p71 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 0.989×ATR | p0 | +1.434×ATR | p71 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 3.217×ATR | p71 | +0.98×ATR | p57 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63028.9
-0.000299881
63010
0.134182
62970.7
0.000655523
63012
0.20106
63377.8
-0.0057722
63012
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409
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0.6041
0.3078
0.2297
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0.5526
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0.6061
0.8723
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0.0827
1
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1.7659
0.45
0.55
1
5
1
0.5407
0.4417
4.8831
0.6
1.6897
4.4121
1.7659
0.3174
0.2829
0
-0.2127
0.4476
0.525
0.892
0.8723
-1.7164
11.7225
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (8)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:40 | 403.89000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 07:47 | 404.32000000 | +0.106% |
| 3 | 07:52 | 404.42000000 | +0.131% |
| 4 | 08:10 | 403.89000000 | 0% |
| 5 | 08:22 | 404.04000000 | +0.037% |
| 6 | 08:28 | 403.37000000 | -0.129% |
| 7 | 08:35 | 403.38000000 | -0.126% |
| 8 | 09:05 | 402.53000000 | -0.337% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 06:45:00 | 409 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 07:20:00 | 406.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 07:25:00 | 407.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:00:00 | 405.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 08:25:00 | 406.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:55:00 | 403.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 09:25:00 | 405.78 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:55:00 | 404.49 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 11:25:00 | 406.59 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 11:40:00 | 403.89 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 16:45:00 | 399.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 18:15:00 | 399.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:15:00 | 394.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 20:15:00 | 398.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 21:30:00 | 394.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 05:00:00 | 408.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:30:00 | 404.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 06:45:00 | 409 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:45:00 | 403.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 11:15:00 | 406.59 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 15:00:00 | 400.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 390.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 06:00:00 | 393.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 409.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:00:00 | 392.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 08:00:00 | 393.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 12:00:00 | 403.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:00:00 | 394.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 06:00:00 | 409 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:00:00 | 403.28 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 403.89 | 403.1283 | 405.4134 | 2 | 558.19 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 403.1283 - 403.89 = -0.76169999999996
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 403.89 - 405.4134 = -1.5234
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5234 / -0.76169999999996 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4241.8504 | 100 | 10.5025 | 42.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.76169999999996 = -10.5
Taille de position USD = -10.5 x 403.89 = -4240.85
Donc, tu peux acheter -10.5 avec un stoploss a 403.1283
Avec un position size USD de -4240.85$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -10.5 x -0.76169999999996 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -10.5 x -1.5234 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.38 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.19 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5125 % | 271.74 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 403.89 | 403.1283 | 405.4134 | 2 | 558.19 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 403.1283 - 403.89 = -0.76169999999996
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 403.89 - 405.4134 = -1.5234
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5234 / -0.76169999999996 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.198% | 1.1R | -0.171% | 0.9R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.198% | 1.1R | -0.716% | 3.8R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.040% | 5.5R | -0.716% | 3.8R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.134% | 11.3R | -0.716% | 3.8R | 3.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.130% | 16.6R | -0.716% | 3.8R | 4.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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