Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 233.22 LINK at 9.282$ per unit. Take profit: 9.3506 (0.74 %) & Stop Loss: 9.2477 (0.37 %)
Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 233.22 LINK at 9.282$ per unit. Take profit: 9.3506 (0.74 %) & Stop Loss: 9.2477 (0.37 %)
Position
Entry 9.282$
Qty 233.2239 LINK
Size 2164.7844$ (margin 100$) (leverage 22)
Risk Setup
TP 9.3506 (+0.74%)
TP $ 16$
SL 9.2477 (-0.37%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9471
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.70×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.36×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.51×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 07:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.111588 15m : 0.194807 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 15/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 07:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6832 | r1h: 0.345% · r4h: -0.765% · r1d: 6.36% · r3d: 6.17% · ema21_slope: 0.3160% · dist_ema21: 1.473% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6417 | rs_1h: 0.337% · rs_4h: -0.647% · rs_1d: 6.03% · rs_3d: 7.89% · beta_24h: 2.087 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2486 | rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.253 · trend: -0.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8246 | ADX: 38.9 (trend) · Chop: 18.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.110% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.804% | 4.9R | -0.036% | 0.1R | 50.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.232% | 6.0R | -0.036% | 0.1R | 62.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.654% | 7.2R | -0.036% | 0.1R | 74.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.733% | 10.1R | -0.036% | 0.1R | 104.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.733% | 10.1R | -0.036% | 0.1R | 104.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.85 | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.78 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.73 | bear_medium | -1.43% | +0.67 | 15/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
73%
|
noisy_chop 52% | mid | — | — | 0.53 | range_low | -0.68% | +0.49 | 15/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.29 | range_low | -0.05% | -0.07 | 15/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 4.756×ATR | p53 | +3.049×ATR | p99 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 2.304×ATR | p12 | +2.38×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 1.288×ATR | p5 | +1.009×ATR | p67 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.197×ATR | p17 | -0.335×ATR | p18 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63028.9
-0.000284329
63011
0.111588
62970.7
0.000655523
63012
0.194807
63377.8
-0.0057722
63012
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1
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 05:05:00 | 9.535 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:40:00 | 9.5109 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 07:00:00 | 9.3612 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 08:00:00 | 9.3085 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 08:40:00 | 9.2651 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 09:40:00 | 9.2243 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 10:05:00 | 9.3632 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 10:50:00 | 9.3218 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 11:05:00 | 9.3817 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 11:40:00 | 9.2818 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 10:45:00 | 8.7838 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 12:30:00 | 8.8804 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 8.7581 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 19:45:00 | 8.999 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:15:00 | 8.923 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 9.7456 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:30:00 | 9.2243 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 11:00:00 | 9.3817 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 11:30:00 | 9.3078 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 8.6913 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 02:00:00 | 8.6142 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:00:00 | 8.8095 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 8.6711 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 8.862 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 22:00:00 | 8.9023 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 08:00:00 | 8.7196 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 8.7581 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 9.7456 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 9.2243 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.282 | 9.2477 | 9.3506 | 2 | 13.694 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 9.2477 - 9.282 = -0.0343
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.282 - 9.3506 = -0.0686
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0686 / -0.0343 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2164.7844 | 100 | 233.2239 | 22.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0343 = -233.24
Taille de position USD = -233.24 x 9.282 = -2164.93
Donc, tu peux acheter -233.24 avec un stoploss a 9.2477
Avec un position size USD de -2164.93$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -233.24 x -0.0343 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -233.24 x -0.0686 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.74 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.37 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.74 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0356 % | 9.63 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.282 | 9.2477 | 9.3506 | 2 | 13.694 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 9.2477 - 9.282 = -0.0343
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.282 - 9.3506 = -0.0686
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0686 / -0.0343 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.804% | 4.9R | -0.036% | 0.1R | 50.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.232% | 6.0R | -0.036% | 0.1R | 62.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.654% | 7.2R | -0.036% | 0.1R | 74.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.733% | 10.1R | -0.036% | 0.1R | 104.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.733% | 10.1R | -0.036% | 0.1R | 104.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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