Long Trade on AVAX (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 54.74 AVAX at 6.562$ per unit. Take profit: 6.9268 (5.57 %) & Stop Loss: 6.4154 (2.23 %)
15 Aug 2026 at 09:48:42
hyperliquid
AVAX
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
15 Aug 2026 09:48
→ 18:35
· 8 hours
Position
Entry 6.5615$
Qty 54.7445 AVAX
Size 359.2058$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 6.9268 (+5.57%)
TP $ 20$
SL 6.4154 (-2.23%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-2.23%
/ -8$
MAE -5.17%
MFE +0.25%
0.1R
expires
15 Aug 21:48
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 70330)
#4 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 15/08/2026 09:00
score du 15/08/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8883
Quality Score
0.587
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
15/08 09:45
15/08 09:45
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#4 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.23 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.23 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.96×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.80×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.68×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 09:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 15/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 09:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
15/08/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.5866
Score SMA
0.5737
Rank
#4
/ 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8883
Rank Norm SMA
0.7391
Calculé le
15/08/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5996 | r1h: 0.289% · r4h: -0.082% · r1d: 3.30% · r3d: 2.68% · ema21_slope: 0.1750% · dist_ema21: 0.437% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5884 | rs_1h: 0.394% · rs_4h: -0.126% · rs_1d: 2.97% · rs_3d: 4.50% · beta_24h: 1.813 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2580 | rvol_20: 0.67× · zscore_50: 0.005 · trend: -26.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7199 | ADX: 26.4 (trend) · Chop: 23.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.826% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.227%
(0.1461)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.253% | 0.1R | -0.140% | 0.1R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.253% | 0.1R | -0.287% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.253% | 0.1R | -1.177% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.253% | 0.1R | -1.177% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.253% | 0.1R | -5.170% | 2.3R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.253% | 0.1R | -5.170% | 2.3R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.84
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near 0.1ATR | near -0.7ATR | 0.78 | bear_high | -5.28% | +0.12 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.54 | bear_medium | -1.35% | +0.58 | 15/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.51 | range_low | -0.66% | +0.18 | 15/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | near -0.5ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.05% | -0.08 | 15/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.626×ATR | p0 | +0.343×ATR | p26 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 2.636×ATR | p36 | +0.878×ATR | p63 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 5.973×ATR | p92 | +0.002×ATR | p0 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 2.02×ATR | p22 | -2.142×ATR | p77 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8078
- reason: up_bo width=2.51×ATR dur=46b phase=extending
- stop_price: 6.41536652
- tp_price: 6.92683369
- atr:
- score: 0.80776343782366
- expires_at: 2026-08-16T01:48:35.398717
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.80776343782366
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0353
- obi_top10 : 0.0674
- micro_price : 6.55277347
- spread_pct : 0.015263
- mid_price : 6.5525
- bid_wall_price : 6.44
- bid_wall_size : 101813.8
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0359
- obi_top5_std : 0.002
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6785
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
6.487
- balance_zone_bottom:
6.3543
- balance_zone_mid:
6.42065
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786636800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786798800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.5116
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
46
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8078
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786759200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
6.487
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7174
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
11
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.4101
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.05283477 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
46
inside_close_ratio
0.7174
bars_since_breakout
11
distance_to_edge_atr
1.4101
Signaux confirmants (18)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:48 | 6.56150000 | 0% |
| 2 | 09:54 | 6.56150000 | 0% |
| 3 | 10:00 | 6.56150000 | 0% |
| 4 | 10:36 | 6.55910000 | -0.037% |
| 5 | 10:42 | 6.55910000 | -0.037% |
| 6 | 10:48 | 6.55400000 | -0.114% |
| 7 | 10:54 | 6.55400000 | -0.114% |
| 8 | 11:00 | 6.55400000 | -0.114% |
| 9 | 11:06 | 6.55540000 | -0.093% |
| 10 | 11:12 | 6.55540000 | -0.093% |
| 11 | 11:18 | 6.54820000 | -0.203% |
| 12 | 11:24 | 6.54820000 | -0.203% |
| 13 | 11:30 | 6.54820000 | -0.203% |
| 14 | 12:06 | 6.55440000 | -0.108% |
| 15 | 12:12 | 6.55440000 | -0.108% |
| 16 | 12:18 | 6.53960000 | -0.334% |
| 17 | 12:24 | 6.53960000 | -0.334% |
| 18 | 12:30 | 6.53960000 | -0.334% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6785ms
Confidence avant OB :
81%
→
81%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.035
avg -0.036
± 0.002
OBI Top 10
0.067
Microstructure
Mid Price
6.5525
Micro Price
6.5528
Spread
0.0153%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
6.4400
Size
101,813.80
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5615 | 6.4154 | 6.9268 | 2.5 | 10.926 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 6.5615
- Stop Loss: 6.4154
- Take Profit: 6.9268
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.4154 - 6.5615 = -0.1461
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.5615 - 6.9268 = -0.3653
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3653 / -0.1461 = 2.5003
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 359.2058 | 100 | 54.7445 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.1461
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1461 = -54.76
Taille de position USD = -54.76 x 6.5615 = -359.31
Donc, tu peux acheter -54.76 avec un stoploss a 6.4154
Avec un position size USD de -359.31$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -54.76 x -0.1461 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -54.76 x -0.3653 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -54.76
- Taille de position USD -359.31
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5003
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.57 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.23 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5147 % | 112.94 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5615 | 6.4154 | 6.9268 | 2.5 | 10.926 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 6.5615
- Stop Loss: 6.4154
- Take Profit: 6.9268
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.4154 - 6.5615 = -0.1461
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.5615 - 6.9268 = -0.3653
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3653 / -0.1461 = 2.5003
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.227%
(0.1461)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.253% | 0.1R | -0.140% | 0.1R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.253% | 0.1R | -0.287% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.253% | 0.1R | -1.177% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.253% | 0.1R | -1.177% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.253% | 0.1R | -5.170% | 2.3R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.253% | 0.1R | -5.170% | 2.3R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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