Long Trade on NIL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1880.7 NIL at 0.0482$ per unit. Take profit: 0.05885 (22.04 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04397 (8.81 %)
15 Aug 2026 at 09:52:05
hyperliquid
NIL
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
15 Aug 2026 09:52
→ 21:50
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.04822$
Qty 1880.6979 NIL
Size 90.6873$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.05885 (+22.04%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 0.04397 (-8.81%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-2.97%
/ -2.7$
MAE -5.31%
MFE +8.40%
1.0R
expires
15 Aug 21:51
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 70365)
#8 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 15/08/2026 09:00
score du 15/08/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8734
Quality Score
0.561
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
15/08 09:46
15/08 09:46
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#8 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#8 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.96×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.76×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.62×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 09:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 15/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
15/08/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.5610
Score SMA
0.5897
Rank
#8
/ 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8734
Rank Norm SMA
0.6579
Calculé le
15/08/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6835 | r1h: -1.534% · r4h: -9.036% · r1d: 13.50% · r3d: 12.72% · ema21_slope: 0.6881% · dist_ema21: 1.735% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5616 | rs_1h: -1.429% · rs_4h: -9.080% · rs_1d: 13.17% · rs_3d: 14.54% · beta_24h: -5.485 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3882 | rvol_20: 0.36× · zscore_50: -0.177 · trend: 122.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7819 | ADX: 33.8 (trend) · Chop: 32.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2059 | ATR%: 5.382% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -8.814%
(0.0043)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.773% | 0.2R | -1.707% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +5.060% | 0.6R | -1.707% | 0.2R | 3.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +5.060% | 0.6R | -1.707% | 0.2R | 3.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +8.401% | 1.0R | -5.313% | 0.6R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +8.401% | 1.0R | -5.313% | 0.6R | 1.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.401% | 1.0R | -9.666% | 1.1R | 0.9× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.38
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -1.6ATR | 0.33 | bear_high | -5.28% | +0.99 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.26 | bear_medium | -1.35% | +0.99 | 15/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.01 | range_low | -0.66% | +0.90 | 15/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | near 0.3ATR | — | -0.07 | range_low | -0.05% | -0.73 | 15/08 09:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.41×ATR | p0 | +1.5×ATR | p70 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.044×ATR | p8 | +1.019×ATR | p66 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 0.862×ATR | p0 | +0.453×ATR | p19 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 2.133×ATR | p17 | -0.659×ATR | p39 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7214
- reason: up_bo width=2.58×ATR dur=45b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
- stop_price: 0.04396626
- tp_price: 0.05885434
- atr:
- score: 0.65141313916116
- expires_at: 2026-08-16T01:51:57.700936
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.65141313916116
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2044
- obi_top10 : 0.1176
- micro_price : 0.04785288
- spread_pct : 0.041806
- mid_price : 0.04785
- bid_wall_price : 0.0468
- bid_wall_size : 605600.4
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0492
- ask_wall_size : 353048
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.2374
- obi_top5_std : 0.0334
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6976
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.047435
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.040997
- balance_zone_mid:
0.044216
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786640400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786798800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.5779
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
45
- balance_zone_quality: loose
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.6514
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786788000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.047435
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7778
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
3
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3143
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
8
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00249738 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
45
inside_close_ratio
0.7778
bars_since_breakout
3
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3143
Signaux confirmants (13)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:52 | 0.04822000 | 0% |
| 2 | 09:58 | 0.04822000 | 0% |
| 3 | 10:04 | 0.04822000 | 0% |
| 4 | 10:09 | 0.04800300 | -0.45% |
| 5 | 10:15 | 0.04800300 | -0.45% |
| 6 | 10:21 | 0.04777200 | -0.929% |
| 7 | 10:27 | 0.04777200 | -0.929% |
| 8 | 10:34 | 0.04777200 | -0.929% |
| 9 | 10:39 | 0.04792300 | -0.616% |
| 10 | 10:46 | 0.04792300 | -0.616% |
| 11 | 10:51 | 0.04840000 | +0.373% |
| 12 | 10:57 | 0.04840000 | +0.373% |
| 13 | 11:05 | 0.04840000 | +0.373% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6976ms
Confidence avant OB :
65%
→
72%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.204
avg 0.237
± 0.033
OBI Top 10
0.118
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0479
Micro Price
0.0479
Spread
0.0418%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0468
Size
605,600.40
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0492
Size
353,048.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04822 | 0.04397 | 0.05885 | 2.5 | 0.1028 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04822
- Stop Loss: 0.04397
- Take Profit: 0.05885
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04397 - 0.04822 = -0.00425
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04822 - 0.05885 = -0.01063
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.01063 / -0.00425 = 2.5012
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90.6873 | 90.6873 | 1880.6979 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00425
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00425 = -1882.35
Taille de position USD = -1882.35 x 0.04822 = -90.77
Donc, tu peux acheter -1882.35 avec un stoploss a 0.04397
Avec un position size USD de -90.77$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1882.35 x -0.00425 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1882.35 x -0.01063 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1882.35
- Taille de position USD -90.77
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.01
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5012
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 22.04 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.81 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.7 $ | -2.97 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.3131 % | 60.28 % | 20 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04822 | 0.04397 | 0.05885 | 2.5 | 0.1028 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04822
- Stop Loss: 0.04397
- Take Profit: 0.05885
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04397 - 0.04822 = -0.00425
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04822 - 0.05885 = -0.01063
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.01063 / -0.00425 = 2.5012
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -8.814%
(0.0043)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.773% | 0.2R | -1.707% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +5.060% | 0.6R | -1.707% | 0.2R | 3.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +5.060% | 0.6R | -1.707% | 0.2R | 3.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +8.401% | 1.0R | -5.313% | 0.6R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +8.401% | 1.0R | -5.313% | 0.6R | 1.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.401% | 1.0R | -9.666% | 1.1R | 0.9× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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