Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 974.03 AVAX at 6.554$ per unit. Take profit: 6.5705 (0.25 %) & Stop Loss: 6.5459 (0.13 %)
Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 974.03 AVAX at 6.554$ per unit. Take profit: 6.5705 (0.25 %) & Stop Loss: 6.5459 (0.13 %)
Position
Entry 6.5541$
Qty 974.0287 AVAX
Size 6383.8818$ (margin 100$) (leverage 64)
Risk Setup
TP 6.5705 (+0.25%)
TP $ 15.97$
SL 6.5459 (-0.13%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8732
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 4.00×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.88×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.68×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 10:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.218076 15m : 0.289299 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 15/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 10:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5715 | r1h: -0.392% · r4h: -0.433% · r1d: 2.70% · r3d: 3.24% · ema21_slope: 0.1675% · dist_ema21: 0.002% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5408 | rs_1h: -0.350% · rs_4h: -0.421% · rs_1d: 2.13% · rs_3d: 4.52% · beta_24h: 1.990 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2276 | rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.154 · trend: -21.59% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7143 | ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 27.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.805% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.166% | 1.3R | -0.174% | 1.4R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.256% | 2.1R | -1.065% | 8.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.256% | 2.1R | -1.065% | 8.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.256% | 2.1R | -2.405% | 19.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.256% | 2.1R | -5.063% | 40.5R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near 0.1ATR | near -0.7ATR | 0.78 | bear_high | -5.28% | +0.12 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.54 | bear_medium | -1.40% | +0.57 | 15/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.51 | range_low | -0.63% | +0.20 | 15/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | range_low |
41%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near 0.0ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.04% | -0.04 | 15/08 10:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.626×ATR | p0 | +0.343×ATR | p26 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.716×ATR | p43 | +0.766×ATR | p56 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 6.112×ATR | p92 | +0.104×ATR | p8 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 0.648×ATR | p4 | -1.702×ATR | p66 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63005.3
0.000137035
63014
0.218076
62955.8
0.000860543
63010
0.289299
63388.8
-0.00597629
63010
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0.5842
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1.1905
0.55
0.45
1
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0.9474
0.4824
0.8771
7.6229
0.65
4.7916
12.7316
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0.2737
0.62
0.1367
0.5214
0.3916
0.6077
0.5842
-6.9687
9.7912
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:42 | 6.55410000 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:48 | 6.55300000 | -0.017% |
| 3 | 11:00 | 6.55240000 | -0.026% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 09:25:00 | 6.5826 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 09:35:00 | 6.597 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 10:25:00 | 6.5802 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 10:45:00 | 6.5961 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 11:45:00 | 6.583 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 12:05:00 | 6.5665 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 12:45:00 | 6.5947 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 13:45:00 | 6.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 14:15:00 | 6.5781 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 14:40:00 | 6.553 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 19:15:00 | 6.3993 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 19:45:00 | 6.4537 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 6.3874 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 00:00:00 | 6.5147 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 01:45:00 | 6.4771 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 02:45:00 | 6.8771 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 06:00:00 | 6.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 12:00:00 | 6.5665 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 12:45:00 | 6.5947 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 13:45:00 | 6.55 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 6.2932 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 04:00:00 | 6.545 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 12:00:00 | 6.5481 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 6.3635 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 01:00:00 | 6.4844 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 12:00:00 | 6.3451 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:00:00 | 6.4896 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 6.3874 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 02:00:00 | 6.8771 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 6.55 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5541 | 6.5459 | 6.5705 | 2 | 10.935 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.5459 - 6.5541 = -0.0082000000000004
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.5541 - 6.5705 = -0.0164
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0164 / -0.0082000000000004 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6383.8818 | 100 | 974.0287 | 64.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0082000000000004 = -975.61
Taille de position USD = -975.61 x 6.5541 = -6394.25
Donc, tu peux acheter -975.61 avec un stoploss a 6.5459
Avec un position size USD de -6394.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -975.61 x -0.0082000000000004 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -975.61 x -0.0164 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.25 % | 15.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.13 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1419 % | 113.43 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5541 | 6.5459 | 6.5705 | 2 | 10.935 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.5459 - 6.5541 = -0.0082000000000004
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.5541 - 6.5705 = -0.0164
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0164 / -0.0082000000000004 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.166% | 1.3R | -0.174% | 1.4R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.256% | 2.1R | -1.065% | 8.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.256% | 2.1R | -1.065% | 8.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.256% | 2.1R | -2.405% | 19.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.256% | 2.1R | -5.063% | 40.5R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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