Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 2028.02 ETHFI at 0.475$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4833 (1.66 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4714 (0.84 %)
Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 2028.02 ETHFI at 0.475$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4833 (1.66 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4714 (0.84 %)
Position
Entry 0.4754$
Qty 2028.0222 ETHFI
Size 964.1015$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4833 (+1.66%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 0.4714 (-0.84%)
SL $ 8.11$
RR 1.98
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9835
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.07×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 11:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.0793 15m : -0.03422 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 15/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7882 | r1h: -1.265% · r4h: 1.170% · r1d: 10.36% · r3d: 27.65% · ema21_slope: 0.3929% · dist_ema21: 3.753% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7188 | rs_1h: -1.257% · rs_4h: 1.194% · rs_1d: 9.70% · rs_3d: 28.16% · beta_24h: -2.356 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2138 | rvol_20: 0.42× · zscore_50: -0.615 · trend: -8.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9000 | ADX: 49.1 (trend) · Chop: 39.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.025% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.248% | 0.3R | -1.321% | 1.6R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.879% | 1.1R | -1.321% | 1.6R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.140% | 1.4R | -1.321% | 1.6R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.260% | 1.5R | -1.321% | 1.6R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.348% | 1.6R | -1.321% | 1.6R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -5.28% | +0.91 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
choppy 45% | late | — | — | 0.34 | bear_medium | -1.40% | +0.99 | 15/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.22 | range_low | -0.63% | +0.74 | 15/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.03% | -0.06 | 15/08 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 4.389×ATR | p61 | +2.537×ATR | p100 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 23b | — | 7.469×ATR | p93 | +2.625×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 3.526×ATR | p71 | +1.772×ATR | p79 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.473×ATR | p3 | +0.144×ATR | p8 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63011.1
9.32423E-5
63017
0.0793
62959.3
0.000915065
63017
-0.03422
63388.9
-0.00589896
63015
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0.892
0.6777
0.9264
0.2186
0.162
1
1.5898
3.5798
0.65
0.35
1
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1
0.5222
0.4968
1.9538
0.6
0.8078
1.5783
3.5798
0.623
0.2717
0.82
0.5032
0.6345
0.5485
0.7781
0.9264
-0.8584
10.8031
1
1
2
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:03 | 0.47539000 | -0.002% |
| 2 | 11:08 | 0.47502000 | -0.08% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 06:45:00 | 0.44699 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 09:30:00 | 0.4872 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 10:15:00 | 0.48888 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 10:20:00 | 0.47367 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 11:00:00 | 0.47425 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 12:05:00 | 0.48757 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 12:40:00 | 0.47625 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 13:40:00 | 0.48695 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 13:45:00 | 0.47896 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 15:00:00 | 0.47534 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 18:30:00 | 0.43285 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 19:45:00 | 0.46015 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 20:45:00 | 0.44254 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 01:00:00 | 0.45898 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:15:00 | 0.4457 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 10:15:00 | 0.48888 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 12:00:00 | 0.48757 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 12:30:00 | 0.47625 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 13:30:00 | 0.48695 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 15:00:00 | 0.47534 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 12:00:00 | 0.38724 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 0.37138 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 01:00:00 | 0.38493 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 0.37496 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 21:00:00 | 0.45149 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:00:00 | 0.42368 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 13:00:00 | 0.42373 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 19:00:00 | 0.46015 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:00:00 | 0.4457 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 10:00:00 | 0.48888 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4754 | 0.4714 | 0.4833 | 1.98 | 0.7111 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4714 - 0.4754 = -0.004
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4754 - 0.4833 = -0.0079
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0079 / -0.004 = 1.975
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 964.1015 | 100 | 2028.0222 | 10.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.004 = -2000
Taille de position USD = -2000 x 0.4754 = -950.8
Donc, tu peux acheter -2000 avec un stoploss a 0.4714
Avec un position size USD de -950.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2000 x -0.004 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2000 x -0.0079 = 15.8
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.8$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.66 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.84 % | 8.11 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.11 $ | -0.84 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8919 % | 106 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4754 | 0.4714 | 0.4833 | 1.98 | 0.7111 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4714 - 0.4754 = -0.004
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4754 - 0.4833 = -0.0079
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0079 / -0.004 = 1.975
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.248% | 0.3R | -1.321% | 1.6R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.879% | 1.1R | -1.321% | 1.6R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.140% | 1.4R | -1.321% | 1.6R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.260% | 1.5R | -1.321% | 1.6R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.348% | 1.6R | -1.321% | 1.6R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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