Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 553.04 AVAX at 6.501$ per unit. Take profit: 6.5295 (0.44 %) & Stop Loss: 6.4861 (0.22 %)
Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 553.04 AVAX at 6.501$ per unit. Take profit: 6.5295 (0.44 %) & Stop Loss: 6.4861 (0.22 %)
Position
Entry 6.5006$
Qty 553.0431 AVAX
Size 3595.1117$ (margin 100$) (leverage 36)
Risk Setup
TP 6.5295 (+0.44%)
TP $ 15.98$
SL 6.4861 (-0.22%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 1.99
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8668
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 4.83×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 3.19×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.68×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 12:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.194689 15m : 0.249458 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : bear_low_confirmed 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 15/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 15/08 12:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5567 | r1h: 0.061% · r4h: -0.155% · r1d: 1.93% · r3d: 2.95% · ema21_slope: 0.0911% · dist_ema21: 0.002% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5420 | rs_1h: -0.058% · rs_4h: -0.301% · rs_1d: 1.74% · rs_3d: 3.48% · beta_24h: 2.473 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2966 | rvol_20: 0.80× · zscore_50: 0.113 · trend: -19.43% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6991 | ADX: 23.9 (weak) · Chop: 30.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.751% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.237% | 1.1R | -0.045% | 0.2R | 5.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.237% | 1.1R | -0.135% | 0.6R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.237% | 1.1R | -0.215% | 1.0R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.237% | 1.1R | -4.281% | 19.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.237% | 1.1R | -4.281% | 19.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near 0.1ATR | near -0.7ATR | 0.78 | bear_high | -5.28% | +0.12 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.54 | bear_medium | -1.33% | +0.52 | 15/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bull_medium |
66%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.51 | range_low | -0.54% | +0.15 | 15/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion_after_compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.24 | range_low | +0.08% | -0.13 | 15/08 12:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.626×ATR | p0 | +0.343×ATR | p26 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 3.014×ATR | p55 | +0.604×ATR | p46 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 7.051×ATR | p98 | -0.427×ATR | p32 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 4.216×ATR | p68 | -3.666×ATR | p97 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63026.1
0.00101322
63090
0.194689
63014.3
0.00120045
63090
0.249458
63350.6
-0.00458807
63060
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0.7601
0.55
0.45
1
14
0.9474
0.4532
0.8771
7.6229
0.65
4.7916
12.7316
0.7601
0
0.2462
0.54
0.0741
0.5408
0.3977
0.4943
0.5587
-8.1545
10.3242
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (12)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:30 | 6.50060000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:36 | 6.50270000 | +0.032% |
| 3 | 12:42 | 6.50550000 | +0.075% |
| 4 | 12:48 | 6.50450000 | +0.06% |
| 5 | 12:54 | 6.50690000 | +0.097% |
| 6 | 13:00 | 6.50750000 | +0.106% |
| 7 | 13:18 | 6.50750000 | +0.106% |
| 8 | 13:24 | 6.50320000 | +0.04% |
| 9 | 13:30 | 6.50130000 | +0.011% |
| 10 | 13:36 | 6.49860000 | -0.031% |
| 11 | 13:42 | 6.49530000 | -0.082% |
| 12 | 13:48 | 6.49920000 | -0.022% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 10:25:00 | 6.5802 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 10:45:00 | 6.5961 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 11:45:00 | 6.583 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 12:05:00 | 6.5665 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 12:45:00 | 6.5947 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 13:45:00 | 6.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 14:15:00 | 6.5781 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 15:10:00 | 6.5427 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 15:45:00 | 6.5709 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 16:15:00 | 6.4843 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 19:45:00 | 6.4537 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 6.3874 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 00:00:00 | 6.5147 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 01:45:00 | 6.4771 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 02:45:00 | 6.8771 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 06:00:00 | 6.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 12:00:00 | 6.5665 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 12:45:00 | 6.5947 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 15:45:00 | 6.5709 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 16:15:00 | 6.4843 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 6.2932 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 04:00:00 | 6.545 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 12:00:00 | 6.5481 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 6.3635 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 01:00:00 | 6.4844 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 12:00:00 | 6.3451 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:00:00 | 6.4896 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 6.3874 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 02:00:00 | 6.8771 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 16:00:00 | 6.5396 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5006 | 6.4861 | 6.5295 | 1.99 | 11.162 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.4861 - 6.5006 = -0.0145
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.5006 - 6.5295 = -0.028899999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.028899999999999 / -0.0145 = 1.9931
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3595.1117 | 100 | 553.0431 | 36.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0145 = -551.72
Taille de position USD = -551.72 x 6.5006 = -3586.51
Donc, tu peux acheter -551.72 avec un stoploss a 6.4861
Avec un position size USD de -3586.51$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -551.72 x -0.0145 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -551.72 x -0.028899999999999 = 15.94
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.94$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.44 % | 15.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.22 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -0.22 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2323 % | 104.12 % | 20 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5006 | 6.4861 | 6.5295 | 1.99 | 11.162 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.4861 - 6.5006 = -0.0145
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.5006 - 6.5295 = -0.028899999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.028899999999999 / -0.0145 = 1.9931
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.237% | 1.1R | -0.045% | 0.2R | 5.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.237% | 1.1R | -0.135% | 0.6R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.237% | 1.1R | -0.215% | 1.0R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.237% | 1.1R | -4.281% | 19.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.237% | 1.1R | -4.281% | 19.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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