Long Trade on WLD (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 877.95 WLD at 0.35$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3727 (6.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3408 (2.63 %)
15 Aug 2026 at 13:07:35
hyperliquid
WLD
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
15 Aug 2026 13:07
→ 01:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.35$
Qty 877.9545 WLD
Size 307.2489$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3727 (+6.49%)
TP $ 19.93$
SL 0.3408 (-2.63%)
SL $ 8.08$
RR 2.47
Status
loss
PnL
-0.83%
/ -2.56$
MAE -1.10%
MFE +1.36%
0.5R
expires
16 Aug 01:07
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 70520)
#13 / 42
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 15/08/2026 13:00
score du 15/08/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6297
Quality Score
0.560
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
15/08 13:00
15/08 13:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#13 / 42
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#13 / 42
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.25×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.47×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 10.28×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 13:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 15/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 12:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1548
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.67
Snapshot évalué :
15/08 13:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
15/08/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.5596
Score SMA
0.5236
Rank
#13
/ 42
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6297
Rank Norm SMA
0.6429
Calculé le
15/08/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6258 | r1h: 1.120% · r4h: 1.896% · r1d: 2.01% · r3d: 3.81% · ema21_slope: 0.0684% · dist_ema21: 1.564% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6482 | rs_1h: 1.126% · rs_4h: 1.830% · rs_1d: 2.09% · rs_3d: 4.44% · beta_24h: 0.779 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2339 | rvol_20: 0.67× · zscore_50: -0.546 · trend: -17.87% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4203 | ADX: 14.6 (weak) · Chop: 63.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.147% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.629%
(0.0092)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.457% | 0.2R | -0.706% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.460% | 0.2R | -0.909% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.357% | 0.5R | -0.909% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.357% | 0.5R | -1.097% | 0.4R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.357% | 0.5R | -1.097% | 0.4R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.126% | 2.3R | -2.106% | 0.8R | 2.9× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.11
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -5.28% | +0.01 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.44 | bear_medium | -1.33% | +0.49 | 15/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | near -1.3ATR | 0.42 | range_low | -0.52% | +0.16 | 15/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_medium |
64%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | near 0.4ATR | — | range_low | +0.05% | +0.12 | 15/08 12:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.248×ATR | p0 | +0.464×ATR | p17 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 13b | — | 0.882×ATR | p0 | +0.74×ATR | p50 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 2.159×ATR | p29 | +1.406×ATR | p83 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 1.875×ATR | p21 | +1.926×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.96
- reason: up_bo width=2.83×ATR dur=42b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)|ob:obi_moderate(+0.05)
- stop_price: 0.34084791
- tp_price: 0.37274023
- atr:
- score: 0.83995738083614
- expires_at: 2026-08-16T05:07:28.008396
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.83995738083614
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.4448
- obi_top10 : 0.0966
- micro_price : 0.34930206
- spread_pct : 0.028629
- mid_price : 0.34935
- bid_wall_price : 0.344
- bid_wall_size : 1912780.4
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.354
- ask_wall_size : 1170731.8
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.3746
- obi_top5_std : 0.1054
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7124
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.34706
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.335455
- balance_zone_mid:
0.3412575
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786665600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786813200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8333
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
42
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.84
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786809600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.34706
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.881
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.708
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
9
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00409594 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
42
inside_close_ratio
0.881
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.708
Signaux confirmants (50)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:07 | 0.34996000 | -0.011% |
| 2 | 13:13 | 0.34996000 | -0.011% |
| 3 | 13:19 | 0.35004000 | +0.011% |
| 4 | 13:25 | 0.35004000 | +0.011% |
| 5 | 13:32 | 0.35004000 | +0.011% |
| 6 | 13:37 | 0.35048000 | +0.137% |
| 7 | 13:43 | 0.35048000 | +0.137% |
| 8 | 13:49 | 0.35043000 | +0.123% |
| 9 | 13:55 | 0.35043000 | +0.123% |
| 10 | 14:02 | 0.35043000 | +0.123% |
| 11 | 14:07 | 0.34981000 | -0.054% |
| 12 | 14:13 | 0.34981000 | -0.054% |
| 13 | 14:19 | 0.34858000 | -0.406% |
| 14 | 14:25 | 0.34858000 | -0.406% |
| 15 | 14:31 | 0.34858000 | -0.406% |
| 16 | 14:37 | 0.35074000 | +0.211% |
| 17 | 14:43 | 0.35074000 | +0.211% |
| 18 | 14:49 | 0.35063000 | +0.18% |
| 19 | 14:55 | 0.35063000 | +0.18% |
| 20 | 15:02 | 0.35063000 | +0.18% |
| 21 | 15:07 | 0.35092000 | +0.263% |
| 22 | 15:13 | 0.35092000 | +0.263% |
| 23 | 15:19 | 0.35078000 | +0.223% |
| 24 | 15:25 | 0.35078000 | +0.223% |
| 25 | 15:32 | 0.35078000 | +0.223% |
| 26 | 15:37 | 0.34982000 | -0.051% |
| 27 | 15:43 | 0.34982000 | -0.051% |
| 28 | 15:49 | 0.35109000 | +0.311% |
| 29 | 15:55 | 0.35109000 | +0.311% |
| 30 | 16:02 | 0.35109000 | +0.311% |
| 31 | 16:07 | 0.35182000 | +0.52% |
| 32 | 16:13 | 0.35182000 | +0.52% |
| 33 | 16:19 | 0.35236000 | +0.674% |
| 34 | 16:25 | 0.35236000 | +0.674% |
| 35 | 16:32 | 0.35236000 | +0.674% |
| 36 | 16:37 | 0.35204000 | +0.583% |
| 37 | 16:43 | 0.35204000 | +0.583% |
| 38 | 16:49 | 0.35300000 | +0.857% |
| 39 | 16:55 | 0.35300000 | +0.857% |
| 40 | 17:02 | 0.35300000 | +0.857% |
| 41 | 17:07 | 0.35050000 | +0.143% |
| 42 | 17:13 | 0.35050000 | +0.143% |
| 43 | 17:19 | 0.35010000 | +0.029% |
| 44 | 17:25 | 0.35010000 | +0.029% |
| 45 | 17:32 | 0.35010000 | +0.029% |
| 46 | 17:37 | 0.34939000 | -0.174% |
| 47 | 17:43 | 0.34939000 | -0.174% |
| 48 | 17:49 | 0.34977000 | -0.066% |
| 49 | 17:55 | 0.34977000 | -0.066% |
| 50 | 18:02 | 0.34977000 | -0.066% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7124ms
Confidence avant OB :
84%
→
96%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.445
avg 0.375
± 0.105
OBI Top 10
0.097
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.3494
Micro Price
0.3493
Spread
0.0286%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.3440
Size
1,912,780.40
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.3540
Size
1,170,731.80
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.35 | 0.3408 | 0.3727 | 2.47 | 0.4887 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.35
- Stop Loss: 0.3408
- Take Profit: 0.3727
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3408 - 0.35 = -0.0092
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.35 - 0.3727 = -0.0227
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0227 / -0.0092 = 2.4674
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 307.2489 | 100 | 877.9545 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0092
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0092 = -869.57
Taille de position USD = -869.57 x 0.35 = -304.35
Donc, tu peux acheter -869.57 avec un stoploss a 0.3408
Avec un position size USD de -304.35$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -869.57 x -0.0092 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -869.57 x -0.0227 = 19.74
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.74$
Résumé
- Taille de position -869.57
- Taille de position USD -304.35
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.74
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4674
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.49 % | 19.93 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.63 % | 8.08 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.56 $ | -0.83 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0971 % | 41.74 % | 40 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.35 | 0.3408 | 0.3727 | 2.47 | 0.4887 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.35
- Stop Loss: 0.3408
- Take Profit: 0.3727
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3408 - 0.35 = -0.0092
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.35 - 0.3727 = -0.0227
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0227 / -0.0092 = 2.4674
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.629%
(0.0092)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.457% | 0.2R | -0.706% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.460% | 0.2R | -0.909% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.357% | 0.5R | -0.909% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.357% | 0.5R | -1.097% | 0.4R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.357% | 0.5R | -1.097% | 0.4R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.126% | 2.3R | -2.106% | 0.8R | 2.9× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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