Short Trade on CRV

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15 Aug 2026 at 13:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on CRV (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1371.57 CRV at 0.241$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2352 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2471 (2.45 %)

CRV SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 15 Aug 2026 13:10 → 19:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.2412$

Qty 1371.5657 CRV

Size 330.8902$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2352 (+2.49%)

TP $ 8.23$

SL 0.2471 (-2.45%)

SL $ 8.09$

RR 1.02

Status loss PnL -0.06% / -0.21$ MAE -0.14% MFE +0.91% 0.4R expires 15 Aug 19:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 70515)

#40 / 42 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 15/08/2026 13:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0448

Quality Score

0.417

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

1 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

3.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
15/08 13:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#40 / 42 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.45 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#40 / 42 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.45 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	3.08×ATR
4h	near	-0.12×ATR
1d	clear	1.77×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	early	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 13:00 Score : +1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

15/08 13:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 15/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 15/08 12:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

14/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

15/08 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

15/08 12:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1548

range compression range_breakdown_risk

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	bear	transition	—	+1
Tactical	range	compression	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.87

Transition risk : 0.13

Score contribution (this trade) +1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.67

Snapshot évalué : 15/08 13:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 15/08/2026 13:00

Score brut

0.4167

Score SMA

0.4307

Rank

#40 / 42

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0448

Rank Norm SMA

0.0861

Calculé le

15/08/2026 13:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3467	r1h: -1.188% · r4h: -0.725% · r1d: -2.09% · r3d: -12.05% · ema21_slope: -0.0534% · dist_ema21: -1.040%
Force Relative	25%	0.3139	rs_1h: -1.182% · rs_4h: -0.790% · rs_1d: -2.02% · rs_3d: -11.41% · beta_24h: 2.258
Volume	20%	0.3617	rvol_20: 1.55× · zscore_50: -0.101 · trend: -52.26%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4126	ADX: 28.4 (trend) · Chop: 78.2 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.000% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.446% (0.0059)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.912%	0.4R	-0.120%	0.1R	7.6×	12
2h	+0.912%	0.4R	-0.120%	0.1R	7.6×	24
4h	+0.912%	0.4R	-0.124%	0.1R	7.3×	48
6h ★	+0.912%	0.4R	-0.141%	0.1R	6.5×	72
8h	+0.912%	0.4R	-0.593%	0.2R	1.5×	96
12h	+0.912%	0.4R	-0.593%	0.2R	1.5×	144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 4.76

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	69%	noisy_chop 40%	early	—	—	0.66	bear_high	-5.28%	+0.94	14/08 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 43%	late	near -0.1ATR	—	0.36	bear_medium	-1.33%	-0.81	15/08 12:00
1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 37%	early	—	—	0.21	range_low	-0.52%	-0.09	15/08 12:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	normal	bear_low_confirmed	49%	noisy_chop 46%	late	near -0.3ATR	—	—	range_low	+0.05%	-0.07	15/08 12:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	3b	—	3.278×ATR	p25	+0.718×ATR	p49
4h	↓ down	late	21b	—	6.927×ATR	p97	-1.252×ATR	p72
1h	↑ up	early	9b	—	0.234×ATR	p0	-1.253×ATR	p58
15m	↓ down	late	4b	—	4.183×ATR	p84	-2.621×ATR	p97

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.24708275
tp_price: 0.23521875
atr: 0.0023331
expires_at: 2026-08-15T23:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 44
total: 45
score: 0.3467
delta_2h: -0.0724
extension_atr: -0.27
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0448
confidence: 0.977

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2412	0.2471	0.2352	1.02	0.3851

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2412
Stop Loss: 0.2471
Take Profit: 0.2352

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.2471 - 0.2412 = 0.0059
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2412 - 0.2352 = 0.006
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.006 / 0.0059 = 1.0169

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
330.8902	100	1371.5657	3.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0059

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0059 = 1355.93

Taille de position USD = 1355.93 x 0.2412 = 327.05

Donc, tu peux acheter 1355.93 avec un stoploss a 0.2471

Avec un position size USD de 327.05$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1355.93 x 0.0059 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1355.93 x 0.006 = 8.14

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.14$

Résumé

Taille de position 1355.93
Taille de position USD 327.05
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 8.14
Risk-Reward Ratio 1.0169

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.49 %	8.23 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
2.45 %	8.09 $

PNL	PNL %
-0.21 $	-0.06

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.141 %	5.76 %	10

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2412	0.2471	0.2352	1.02	0.3851

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2412
Stop Loss: 0.2471
Take Profit: 0.2352

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.2471 - 0.2412 = 0.0059
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2412 - 0.2352 = 0.006
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.006 / 0.0059 = 1.0169

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.446% (0.0059)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.912%	0.4R	-0.120%	0.1R	7.6×	12
2h	+0.912%	0.4R	-0.120%	0.1R	7.6×	24
4h	+0.912%	0.4R	-0.124%	0.1R	7.3×	48
6h ★	+0.912%	0.4R	-0.141%	0.1R	6.5×	72
8h	+0.912%	0.4R	-0.593%	0.2R	1.5×	96
12h	+0.912%	0.4R	-0.593%	0.2R	1.5×	144

computed 1 month ago

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