Short Trade on KAITO

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15 Aug 2026 at 13:15:10 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_pullback_v1)

With 1075.27 KAITO at 0.384$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3758 (2.21 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3917 (1.93 %)

KAITO SHORT momentum_pullback_v1 hyperliquid 15 Aug 2026 13:15 → 16:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.3843$

Qty 1075.2688 KAITO

Size 413.2366$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3758 (+2.21%)

TP $ 9.14$

SL 0.3917 (-1.93%)

SL $ 7.96$

RR 1.15

Status win PnL +2.21% / +9.14$ MAE -0.31% MFE +12.28% 6.4R expires 16 Aug 01:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 70536)

#41 / 42 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 15/08/2026 13:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0265

Quality Score

0.393

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

1 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

4.2M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
15/08 13:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#41 / 42 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+7 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

1.93 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#41 / 42 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+7 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

1.93 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	clear	—
1d	near	0.25×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	late	BLOCKED

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 13:00 Score : +1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

15/08 13:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 15/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 15/08 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

14/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

15/08 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

15/08 12:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1548

range compression range_breakdown_risk

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	bear	transition	—	+1
Tactical	range	compression	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.87

Transition risk : 0.13

Score contribution (this trade) +1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.67

Snapshot évalué : 15/08 13:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 15/08/2026 13:00

Score brut

0.3929

Score SMA

0.3732

Rank

#41 / 42

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0265

Rank Norm SMA

0.0114

Calculé le

15/08/2026 13:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2547	r1h: -0.494% · r4h: 0.416% · r1d: -3.89% · r3d: -16.33% · ema21_slope: -0.2103% · dist_ema21: -1.633%
Force Relative	25%	0.3143	rs_1h: -0.488% · rs_4h: 0.351% · rs_1d: -3.81% · rs_3d: -15.70% · beta_24h: 2.322
Volume	20%	0.2385	rvol_20: 0.87× · zscore_50: -0.534 · trend: -38.67%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6012	ADX: 38.3 (trend) · Chop: 65.1 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.808% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.926% (0.0074)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.859%	0.5R	-0.307%	0.2R	2.8×	12
2h	+1.733%	0.9R	-0.307%	0.2R	5.6×	24
4h	+3.409%	1.8R	-0.307%	0.2R	11.1×	48
8h	+5.376%	2.8R	-0.307%	0.2R	17.5×	96
12h ★	+12.280%	6.4R	-0.307%	0.2R	40.0×	144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 50

ML Pullback Score: 8

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	53%	choppy 53%	late	near 0.2ATR	—	0.36	bear_high	-5.28%	-1.00	14/08 20:00
4h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	49%	noisy_chop 40%	late	—	—	-0.05	bear_medium	-1.33%	-0.98	15/08 12:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	—	—	-0.03	range_low	-0.52%	-0.15	15/08 12:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 40%	early	near -0.2ATR	—	—	range_low	+0.05%	-0.05	15/08 12:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	late	17b	—	9.076×ATR	p83	-3.393×ATR	p100
4h	↓ down	late	84b	—	39.947×ATR	p100	-3.328×ATR	p94
1h	↓ down	mid	17b	—	3.153×ATR	p78	-1.064×ATR	p49
15m	↓ down	early	1b	—	1.698×ATR	p6	-0.249×ATR	p12

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_pullback_v1 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.39175
tp_price: 0.37578351
atr: 0.0034106
expires_at: 2026-08-16T05:15:10+00:00

Details

rank: 45
total: 45
score: 0.2547
avg_rank_8h: 45.4
rank_velocity: -0.4
pullback_depth_atr: 2.95
trigger_price: 0.38534
fip_24h: -0.417
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	13:15	0.38431000	+0.003%
2	13:30	0.38354000	-0.198%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.3843	0.3917	0.3758	1.15	0.3372

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.3843
Stop Loss: 0.3917
Take Profit: 0.3758

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3917 - 0.3843 = 0.0074
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.3843 - 0.3758 = 0.0085
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0085 / 0.0074 = 1.1486

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
413.2366	100	1075.2688	4.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0074

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0074 = 1081.08

Taille de position USD = 1081.08 x 0.3843 = 415.46

Donc, tu peux acheter 1081.08 avec un stoploss a 0.3917

Avec un position size USD de 415.46$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1081.08 x 0.0074 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1081.08 x 0.0085 = 9.19

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 9.19$

Résumé

Taille de position 1081.08
Taille de position USD 415.46
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 9.19
Risk-Reward Ratio 1.1486

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.21 %	9.14 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
1.93 %	7.96 $

PNL	PNL %
9.14 $	2.21

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.3071 %	15.95 %	5

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.3843	0.3917	0.3758	1.15	0.3372

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.3843
Stop Loss: 0.3917
Take Profit: 0.3758

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3917 - 0.3843 = 0.0074
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.3843 - 0.3758 = 0.0085
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0085 / 0.0074 = 1.1486

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3695
            [stop_loss] => 0.3917
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-15 21:40:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3658
            [stop_loss] => 0.3917
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-15 22:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.926% (0.0074)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.859%	0.5R	-0.307%	0.2R	2.8×	12
2h	+1.733%	0.9R	-0.307%	0.2R	5.6×	24
4h	+3.409%	1.8R	-0.307%	0.2R	11.1×	48
8h	+5.376%	2.8R	-0.307%	0.2R	17.5×	96
12h ★	+12.280%	6.4R	-0.307%	0.2R	40.0×	144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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