Long Trade on NIL (CatchTheWave)
With 7861.4 NIL at 0.0473$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04933 (4.29 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04628 (2.16 %)
Long Trade on NIL (CatchTheWave)
With 7861.4 NIL at 0.0473$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04933 (4.29 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04628 (2.16 %)
Position
Entry 0.0473$
Qty 7861.4035 NIL
Size 371.8287$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04933 (+4.29%)
TP $ 15.96$
SL 0.04628 (-2.16%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 1.99
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9262
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.57×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.49×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.07×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 16:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.017366 15m : -0.057224 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high_confirmed 5m_regime : bear_high_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 15/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9326 | r1h: -0.127% · r4h: 5.863% · r1d: 20.45% · r3d: 20.96% · ema21_slope: 0.4921% · dist_ema21: 6.452% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8627 | rs_1h: -0.219% · rs_4h: 5.847% · rs_1d: 20.24% · rs_3d: 21.48% · beta_24h: -13.454 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2167 | rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.380 · trend: -18.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6781 | ADX: 33.8 (trend) · Chop: 50.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5058 | ATR%: 4.483% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.687% | 0.3R | -3.472% | 1.6R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.687% | 0.3R | -3.472% | 1.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.687% | 0.3R | -3.472% | 1.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.687% | 0.3R | -7.586% | 3.5R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.687% | 0.3R | -7.909% | 3.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.33 | bear_high | -5.13% | +0.99 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
68%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.26 | bear_medium | -1.27% | +0.94 | 15/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.01 | range_low | -0.51% | +0.65 | 15/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | near -0.4ATR | — | -0.02 | range_low | +0.02% | +0.04 | 15/08 16:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.545×ATR | p0 | +1.606×ATR | p73 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 0.778×ATR | p0 | +1.764×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.132×ATR | p0 | +0.34×ATR | p15 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 3.315×ATR | p67 | -1.007×ATR | p55 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63037.9
0.000540805
63072
-0.017366
63023.8
0.000779127
63073
-0.057224
63252.8
-0.00314406
63054
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0.052271
198
0.6485
0.4717
0.363
0.2587
0.4483
1
0.2742
0.5521
0.7039
0.904
0.662
0.6741
0.0706
0.0634
0.6667
-0.1784
0.7093
0.65
0.35
1
1
1
0.4826
0.4047
2.4274
0.55
1.5
2.28
0.7093
0.4056
0.1996
0.84
0.7176
0.6556
0.5921
0.8152
0.6741
-2.2913
4.7393
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 13:45:00 | 0.048307 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 14:25:00 | 0.047397 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 15:45:00 | 0.05066 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 16:15:00 | 0.047721 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 16:45:00 | 0.048687 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 16:50:00 | 0.047888 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 18:50:00 | 0.051875 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 19:10:00 | 0.049949 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 19:55:00 | 0.052271 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 20:45:00 | 0.046976 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 02:45:00 | 0.043185 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 07:45:00 | 0.054116 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:00:00 | 0.049053 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 09:45:00 | 0.045583 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 11:00:00 | 0.050373 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 0.046577 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 15:45:00 | 0.05066 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 16:15:00 | 0.047721 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 19:45:00 | 0.052271 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 20:45:00 | 0.046976 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 00:00:00 | 0.043738 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 09:00:00 | 0.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 13:00:00 | 0.043332 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 17:00:00 | 0.04026 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 06:00:00 | 0.041206 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 07:00:00 | 0.04375 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 16:00:00 | 0.040997 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 07:00:00 | 0.054116 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 19:00:00 | 0.052271 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 20:00:00 | 0.047239 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0473 | 0.04628 | 0.04933 | 1.99 | 0.08713 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04628 - 0.0473 = -0.00102
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0473 - 0.04933 = -0.00203
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00203 / -0.00102 = 1.9902
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 371.8287 | 100 | 7861.4035 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00102 = -7843.14
Taille de position USD = -7843.14 x 0.0473 = -370.98
Donc, tu peux acheter -7843.14 avec un stoploss a 0.04628
Avec un position size USD de -370.98$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7843.14 x -0.00102 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7843.14 x -0.00203 = 15.92
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.92$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.29 % | 15.96 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.16 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -2.16 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.4715 % | 160.99 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0473 | 0.04628 | 0.04933 | 1.99 | 0.08713 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04628 - 0.0473 = -0.00102
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0473 - 0.04933 = -0.00203
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00203 / -0.00102 = 1.9902
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.687% | 0.3R | -3.472% | 1.6R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.687% | 0.3R | -3.472% | 1.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.687% | 0.3R | -3.472% | 1.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.687% | 0.3R | -7.586% | 3.5R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.687% | 0.3R | -7.909% | 3.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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