Long Trade on NIL (CatchTheWave)
With 7640.44 NIL at 0.0467$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04877 (4.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04563 (2.23 %)
Long Trade on NIL (CatchTheWave)
With 7640.44 NIL at 0.0467$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04877 (4.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04563 (2.23 %)
Position
Entry 0.04667$
Qty 7640.4409 NIL
Size 356.6176$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04877 (+4.5%)
TP $ 16.04$
SL 0.04563 (-2.23%)
SL $ 7.95$
RR 2.02
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9260
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.57×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.49×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.07×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 17:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.01633 15m : -0.054765 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high_confirmed 5m_regime : bear_high_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 15/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6550 | r1h: -8.017% · r4h: -1.767% · r1d: 8.68% · r3d: 10.99% · ema21_slope: 0.3783% · dist_ema21: -0.814% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5430 | rs_1h: -7.949% · rs_4h: -1.723% · rs_1d: 8.42% · rs_3d: 11.83% · beta_24h: -9.421 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6862 | rvol_20: 1.90× · zscore_50: 1.897 · trend: 51.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6626 | ADX: 32.8 (trend) · Chop: 51.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2393 | ATR%: 5.282% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.046% | 0.9R | -2.168% | 1.0R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.046% | 0.9R | -2.168% | 1.0R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.046% | 0.9R | -2.168% | 1.0R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.046% | 0.9R | -6.338% | 2.8R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.046% | 0.9R | -6.666% | 3.0R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.33 | bear_high | -5.13% | +0.99 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
68%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.26 | bear_medium | -1.27% | +0.94 | 15/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.01 | range_low | -0.51% | +0.65 | 15/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | near -0.4ATR | — | -0.02 | range_low | +0.02% | +0.04 | 15/08 16:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.545×ATR | p0 | +1.606×ATR | p73 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 0.778×ATR | p0 | +1.764×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.132×ATR | p0 | +0.34×ATR | p15 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 3.315×ATR | p67 | -1.007×ATR | p55 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63037.9
0.000556379
63073
-0.01633
63020.9
0.000826315
63073
-0.054765
63252.8
-0.00314406
63054
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0.052271
198
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0.2587
0.4483
1
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0.5521
0.7039
0.904
0.662
0.6741
0.0706
0.0634
0.6667
-0.1784
0.7093
0.65
0.35
1
1
1
0.4826
0.4047
2.4274
0.55
1.5
2.28
0.7093
0.4056
0.1996
0.84
0.7176
0.6556
0.5921
0.8152
0.6741
-2.2913
4.7393
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 13:45:00 | 0.048307 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 14:25:00 | 0.047397 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 15:45:00 | 0.05066 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 16:15:00 | 0.047721 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 16:45:00 | 0.048687 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 16:50:00 | 0.047888 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 18:50:00 | 0.051875 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 19:10:00 | 0.049949 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 19:55:00 | 0.052271 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 21:00:00 | 0.046395 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 02:45:00 | 0.043185 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 07:45:00 | 0.054116 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:00:00 | 0.049053 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 09:45:00 | 0.045583 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 11:00:00 | 0.050373 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 0.046577 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 15:45:00 | 0.05066 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 16:15:00 | 0.047721 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 19:45:00 | 0.052271 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 21:00:00 | 0.046395 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 00:00:00 | 0.043738 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 09:00:00 | 0.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 13:00:00 | 0.043332 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 17:00:00 | 0.04026 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 06:00:00 | 0.041206 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 07:00:00 | 0.04375 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 16:00:00 | 0.040997 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 07:00:00 | 0.054116 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 19:00:00 | 0.052271 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 20:00:00 | 0.047239 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04667 | 0.04563 | 0.04877 | 2.02 | 0.08951 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04563 - 0.04667 = -0.00104
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04667 - 0.04877 = -0.0021
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0021 / -0.00104 = 2.0192
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 356.6176 | 100 | 7640.4409 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00104 = -7692.31
Taille de position USD = -7692.31 x 0.04667 = -359
Donc, tu peux acheter -7692.31 avec un stoploss a 0.04563
Avec un position size USD de -359$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7692.31 x -0.00104 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7692.31 x -0.0021 = 16.15
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.15$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.5 % | 16.04 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.23 % | 7.95 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.95 $ | -2.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.4703 % | 245.48 % | 28 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04667 | 0.04563 | 0.04877 | 2.02 | 0.08951 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04563 - 0.04667 = -0.00104
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04667 - 0.04877 = -0.0021
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0021 / -0.00104 = 2.0192
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.046% | 0.9R | -2.168% | 1.0R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.046% | 0.9R | -2.168% | 1.0R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.046% | 0.9R | -2.168% | 1.0R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.046% | 0.9R | -6.338% | 2.8R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.046% | 0.9R | -6.666% | 3.0R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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