Short Trade on ACE (momentum_rotation_score)
With 97.34 ACE at 0.161$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2432 (51.06 %)
Short Trade on ACE (momentum_rotation_score)
With 97.34 ACE at 0.161$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2432 (51.06 %)
Position
Entry 0.161$
Qty 97.337 ACE
Size 15.6713$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 15.67$
SL 0.2432 (-51.06%)
SL $ 8$
RR
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0145
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.61×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.36×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.83×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 17:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 15/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 15/08 16:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2849 | r1h: -3.150% · r4h: -9.814% · r1d: -49.33% · r3d: 45.63% · ema21_slope: -1.5919% · dist_ema21: -18.040% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2500 | rs_1h: -3.082% · rs_4h: -9.770% · rs_1d: -49.59% · rs_3d: 46.47% · beta_24h: -20.818 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1827 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.364 · trend: -44.78% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6453 | ADX: 24.6 (weak) · Chop: 45.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 17.176% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +5.901% | 0.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +6.832% | 0.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +8.075% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 36 |
| 4h | +8.075% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +19.193% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +19.193% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.24 | bear_high | -5.13% | +1.00 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | -0.02 | bear_medium | -1.27% | +1.00 | 15/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | -0.06 | range_low | -0.51% | -0.99 | 15/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.02% | -0.80 | 15/08 16:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 4.274×ATR | p46 | +0.95×ATR | p54 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.188×ATR | p11 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 14b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -1.342×ATR | p60 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 25b | — | 3.781×ATR | p69 | -2.028×ATR | p60 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.161 | 0.2432 | 0.1797 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2432 - 0.161 = 0.0822
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.161 - = 0.161
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.161 / 0.0822 = 1.9586
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.6713 | 15.6713 | 97.337 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0822 = 97.32
Taille de position USD = 97.32 x 0.161 = 15.67
Donc, tu peux acheter 97.32 avec un stoploss a 0.2432
Avec un position size USD de 15.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 97.32 x 0.0822 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 97.32 x 0.161 = 15.67
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.67$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 15.67 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 51.06 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.95 $ | 6.09 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.161 | 0.2432 | 0.1797 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2432 - 0.161 = 0.0822
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.161 - = 0.161
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.161 / 0.0822 = 1.9586
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +5.901% | 0.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +6.832% | 0.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +8.075% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 36 |
| 4h | +8.075% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +19.193% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +19.193% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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