Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 86.22 HYPE at 56.756$ per unit. Take profit: 56.9416 (0.33 %) & Stop Loss: 56.6632 (0.16 %)
Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 86.22 HYPE at 56.756$ per unit. Take profit: 56.9416 (0.33 %) & Stop Loss: 56.6632 (0.16 %)
Position
Entry 56.756$
Qty 86.2175 HYPE
Size 4893.3624$ (margin 100$) (leverage 49)
Risk Setup
TP 56.9416 (+0.33%)
TP $ 16$
SL 56.6632 (-0.16%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7760
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.71×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.12×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.95×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 19:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.250861 15m : 0.373775 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 15/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 15/08 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5259 | r1h: 0.021% · r4h: -0.023% · r1d: 1.10% · r3d: 1.65% · ema21_slope: 0.0653% · dist_ema21: 0.606% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5238 | rs_1h: 0.037% · rs_4h: -0.180% · rs_1d: 0.68% · rs_3d: 2.10% · beta_24h: 1.423 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1500 | rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.992 · trend: -37.91% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6481 | ADX: 24.1 (weak) · Chop: 44.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.595% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.416% | 2.5R | -0.055% | 0.3R | 7.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.515% | 3.2R | -0.074% | 0.5R | 7.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.929% | 5.7R | -0.074% | 0.5R | 12.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.929% | 5.7R | -0.074% | 0.5R | 12.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.394% | 8.5R | -0.074% | 0.5R | 18.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -5.13% | -0.07 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.52 | bear_medium | -1.21% | +0.10 | 15/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.54 | range_low | -0.40% | +0.04 | 15/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
43%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.07% | -0.07 | 15/08 19:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 2.308×ATR | p0 | +0.319×ATR | p22 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.889×ATR | p0 | +0.6×ATR | p36 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.577×ATR | p5 | +0.52×ATR | p30 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 3.887×ATR | p74 | -1.431×ATR | p61 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63077.5
0.000356392
63100
-0.250861
63028.6
0.00113239
63100
0.373775
63264.2
-0.00251728
63105
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 23:00:00
[1] => 55.896
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 15:00:00
[1] => 58.5
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 20:00:00
[1] => 57
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 01:00:00
[1] => 57.601
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 19:00:00
[1] => 55.302
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 03:00:00
[1] => 56.729
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 05:00:00
[1] => 55.81
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 11:00:00
[1] => 55.822
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 19:00:00
[1] => 57.35
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 23:00:00
[1] => 56.741
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.90148212728858
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.16214025131739
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0732979679597
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 03:00:00
[1] => 56.729
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 05:30:00
[1] => 55.81
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 08:00:00
[1] => 56.48
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 11:00:00
[1] => 55.822
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 13:30:00
[1] => 56.59
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 14:45:00
[1] => 56.222
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 17:00:00
[1] => 57.2
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 18:30:00
[1] => 56.855
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 19:45:00
[1] => 57.35
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 23:00:00
[1] => 56.741
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.9380993897123
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.12512997656016
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0732979679597
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 17:00:00
[1] => 57.2
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 17:30:00
[1] => 56.893
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 18:10:00
[1] => 57.155
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 18:30:00
[1] => 56.855
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 19:50:00
[1] => 57.35
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 21:00:00
[1] => 56.972
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 21:40:00
[1] => 57.121
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 21:50:00
[1] => 56.982
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 22:10:00
[1] => 57.088
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 23:10:00
[1] => 56.741
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.58155829596413
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.02643591054088
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.61155073051233
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
57.35
195
0.7187
0.5617
0.3547
0.2189
0.4658
1
0.1799
0.6085
0.6857
0.1115
0.5988
0.65
0.1351
0.0733
1
0.5092
1.0854
0.7
0.3
1
4
1
0.5621
0.4507
4.16
0.55
2.3222
4.4588
1.0854
0
0.3398
0
-0.1327
0.4674
0.5417
0.7394
0.65
-5.561
10.328
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 17:00:00 | 57.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 17:30:00 | 56.893 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 18:10:00 | 57.155 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 18:30:00 | 56.855 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 19:50:00 | 57.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 21:00:00 | 56.972 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 21:40:00 | 57.121 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 21:50:00 | 56.982 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 22:10:00 | 57.088 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 23:10:00 | 56.741 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 56.729 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:30:00 | 55.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 08:00:00 | 56.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 11:00:00 | 55.822 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 13:30:00 | 56.59 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 14:45:00 | 56.222 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 17:00:00 | 57.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 18:30:00 | 56.855 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 19:45:00 | 57.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 23:00:00 | 56.741 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 23:00:00 | 55.896 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 58.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 20:00:00 | 57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 01:00:00 | 57.601 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:00:00 | 55.302 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 56.729 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:00:00 | 55.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 11:00:00 | 55.822 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 19:00:00 | 57.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 23:00:00 | 56.741 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.756 | 56.6632 | 56.9416 | 2 | 90.187 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 56.6632 - 56.756 = -0.092799999999997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 56.756 - 56.9416 = -0.1856
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1856 / -0.092799999999997 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4893.3624 | 100 | 86.2175 | 49.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.092799999999997 = -86.21
Taille de position USD = -86.21 x 56.756 = -4892.93
Donc, tu peux acheter -86.21 avec un stoploss a 56.6632
Avec un position size USD de -4892.93$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -86.21 x -0.092799999999997 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -86.21 x -0.1856 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.33 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.16 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.756 | 56.6632 | 56.9416 | 2 | 90.187 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 56.6632 - 56.756 = -0.092799999999997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 56.756 - 56.9416 = -0.1856
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1856 / -0.092799999999997 = 2
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 56.9416
[stop_loss] => 56.6632
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-15 23:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 56.988
[stop_loss] => 56.6632
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-15 23:35:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 57.0344
[stop_loss] => 56.6632
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 01:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 57.0808
[stop_loss] => 56.6632
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 01:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 57.1272
[stop_loss] => 56.6632
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 02:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 57.1736
[stop_loss] => 56.6632
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 02:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 57.22
[stop_loss] => 56.6632
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 02:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 57.2664
[stop_loss] => 56.6632
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 02:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.416% | 2.5R | -0.055% | 0.3R | 7.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.515% | 3.2R | -0.074% | 0.5R | 7.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.929% | 5.7R | -0.074% | 0.5R | 12.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.929% | 5.7R | -0.074% | 0.5R | 12.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.394% | 8.5R | -0.074% | 0.5R | 18.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.