Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 77.66 HYPE at 56.75$ per unit. Take profit: 56.956 (0.36 %) & Stop Loss: 56.647 (0.18 %)
Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 77.66 HYPE at 56.75$ per unit. Take profit: 56.956 (0.36 %) & Stop Loss: 56.647 (0.18 %)
Position
Entry 56.75$
Qty 77.6643 HYPE
Size 4407.4486$ (margin 100$) (leverage 44)
Risk Setup
TP 56.956 (+0.36%)
TP $ 16$
SL 56.647 (-0.18%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7619
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.95×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.31×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.95×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 20:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.27949 15m : 0.368701 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 15/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 15/08 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5080 | r1h: -0.037% · r4h: -0.677% · r1d: 0.74% · r3d: 1.55% · ema21_slope: 0.0703% · dist_ema21: 0.398% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5124 | rs_1h: -0.002% · rs_4h: -0.657% · rs_1d: 0.66% · rs_3d: 2.16% · beta_24h: 1.747 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2174 | rvol_20: 0.76× · zscore_50: -0.610 · trend: -38.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6476 | ADX: 23.8 (weak) · Chop: 44.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.585% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.525% | 2.9R | -0.063% | 0.4R | 8.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.622% | 3.4R | -0.063% | 0.4R | 9.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.939% | 5.2R | -0.063% | 0.4R | 14.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.286% | 7.1R | -0.063% | 0.4R | 20.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.404% | 7.7R | -0.063% | 0.4R | 22.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -5.13% | -0.07 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -1.3ATR | 0.52 | bear_medium | -1.29% | +0.18 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.51 | range_low | -0.49% | +0.10 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.39 | range_low | -0.02% | -0.05 | 15/08 20:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 2.308×ATR | p0 | +0.319×ATR | p22 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.124×ATR | p3 | +0.685×ATR | p40 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.82×ATR | p19 | +0.252×ATR | p16 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.793×ATR | p10 | -1.518×ATR | p63 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63079.6
-0.00056478
63044
0.27949
63048.1
-4.94084E-5
63045
0.368701
63248.6
-0.00323574
63044
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57.35
194
0.7124
0.5617
0.3472
0.2072
0.4617
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0.6129
0.6857
0.0823
0.5963
0.6351
0.093
0.0589
1
0.239
0.827
0.7
0.3
1
5
1
0.5856
0.4507
4.16
0.55
2.3222
4.4588
0.827
0
0.3384
0
-0.1765
0.4345
0.5403
0.8162
0.6351
-5.9115
10.289
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:20 | 56.75000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 20:33 | 56.73100000 | -0.033% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 18:10:00 | 57.155 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 18:30:00 | 56.855 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 19:50:00 | 57.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 21:00:00 | 56.972 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 21:40:00 | 57.121 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 21:50:00 | 56.982 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 22:10:00 | 57.088 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 23:10:00 | 56.741 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 23:35:00 | 56.992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:15:00 | 56.725 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 56.729 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:30:00 | 55.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 08:00:00 | 56.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 11:00:00 | 55.822 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 13:30:00 | 56.59 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 14:45:00 | 56.222 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 17:00:00 | 57.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 18:30:00 | 56.855 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 19:45:00 | 57.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:15:00 | 56.725 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 23:00:00 | 55.896 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 58.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 20:00:00 | 57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 01:00:00 | 57.601 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:00:00 | 55.302 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 56.729 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:00:00 | 55.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 11:00:00 | 55.822 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 19:00:00 | 57.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 23:00:00 | 56.741 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.75 | 56.647 | 56.956 | 2 | 88.806 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 56.647 - 56.75 = -0.103
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 56.75 - 56.956 = -0.206
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.206 / -0.103 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4407.4486 | 100 | 77.6643 | 44.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.103 = -77.67
Taille de position USD = -77.67 x 56.75 = -4407.77
Donc, tu peux acheter -77.67 avec un stoploss a 56.647
Avec un position size USD de -4407.77$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -77.67 x -0.103 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -77.67 x -0.206 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.36 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.18 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.36 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0634 % | 34.93 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.75 | 56.647 | 56.956 | 2 | 88.806 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 56.647 - 56.75 = -0.103
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 56.75 - 56.956 = -0.206
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.206 / -0.103 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.525% | 2.9R | -0.063% | 0.4R | 8.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.622% | 3.4R | -0.063% | 0.4R | 9.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.939% | 5.2R | -0.063% | 0.4R | 14.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.286% | 7.1R | -0.063% | 0.4R | 20.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.404% | 7.7R | -0.063% | 0.4R | 22.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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