Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 305.41 LINK at 9.434$ per unit. Take profit: 9.4866 (0.56 %) & Stop Loss: 9.408 (0.28 %)
Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 305.41 LINK at 9.434$ per unit. Take profit: 9.4866 (0.56 %) & Stop Loss: 9.408 (0.28 %)
Position
Entry 9.4342$
Qty 305.4115 LINK
Size 2881.3129$ (margin 100$) (leverage 29)
Risk Setup
TP 9.4866 (+0.56%)
TP $ 16$
SL 9.408 (-0.28%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9057
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.26×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.76×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.67×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 20:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.241158 15m : 0.174508 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 15/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6216 | r1h: -0.637% · r4h: -1.160% · r1d: 5.67% · r3d: 9.26% · ema21_slope: 0.1943% · dist_ema21: 0.401% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6032 | rs_1h: -0.602% · rs_4h: -1.140% · rs_1d: 5.58% · rs_3d: 9.86% · beta_24h: 6.378 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2394 | rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.304 · trend: -18.64% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6711 | ADX: 34.0 (trend) · Chop: 52.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.929% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.441% | 1.6R | -0.129% | 0.5R | 3.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.728% | 2.6R | -0.129% | 0.5R | 5.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.824% | 3.0R | -0.706% | 2.5R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.824% | 3.0R | -1.170% | 4.2R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.824% | 3.0R | -1.170% | 4.2R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.85 | bear_high | -5.07% | +0.87 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
71%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.72 | bear_medium | -1.29% | +0.69 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.51 | range_low | -0.49% | +0.00 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_low |
36%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near -1.7ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.02% | -0.13 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 5.1×ATR | p77 | +3.045×ATR | p98 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 1.44×ATR | p0 | +1.979×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.12×ATR | p27 | +0.184×ATR | p13 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 18b | — | 4.095×ATR | p75 | -2.504×ATR | p91 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63079.6
-0.000549241
63045
0.241158
63048.1
-4.94084E-5
63045
0.174508
63248.6
-0.00323574
63044
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0.1707
1
0.0963
2.9631
0.75
0.25
1
21
1
0.5031
0.4673
8.8704
0.5
0.7754
3.7633
2.9631
0.7954
0.2118
0.48
-0.5015
0.4023
0.5067
0.8819
0.7918
-4.0114
15.2548
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:25 | 9.43420000 | 0% |
| 2 | 20:31 | 9.44760000 | +0.142% |
| 3 | 20:37 | 9.43070000 | -0.037% |
| 4 | 20:49 | 9.43220000 | -0.021% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 17:20:00 | 9.6285 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 18:35:00 | 9.5918 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 19:05:00 | 9.5329 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 19:40:00 | 9.5918 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 20:15:00 | 9.5509 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 20:45:00 | 9.5918 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 21:00:00 | 9.5422 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 21:50:00 | 9.5843 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 22:30:00 | 9.5865 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:15:00 | 9.4216 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 11:30:00 | 9.2749 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 14:15:00 | 9.5283 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 15:15:00 | 9.4164 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 17:15:00 | 9.6285 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 18:30:00 | 9.5082 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 19:30:00 | 9.5918 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 20:45:00 | 9.5918 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 21:00:00 | 9.5422 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 22:30:00 | 9.5865 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:15:00 | 9.4216 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 05:00:00 | 8.8095 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 8.6711 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 8.862 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 22:00:00 | 8.9023 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 08:00:00 | 8.7196 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 8.7581 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 9.7456 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 9.2243 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 17:00:00 | 9.6285 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 9.4481 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.4342 | 9.408 | 9.4866 | 2 | 14.266 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 9.408 - 9.4342 = -0.026200000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.4342 - 9.4866 = -0.052399999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.052399999999999 / -0.026200000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2881.3129 | 100 | 305.4115 | 29.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.026200000000001 = -305.34
Taille de position USD = -305.34 x 9.4342 = -2880.64
Donc, tu peux acheter -305.34 avec un stoploss a 9.408
Avec un position size USD de -2880.64$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -305.34 x -0.026200000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -305.34 x -0.052399999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.56 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.28 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.56 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1293 % | 46.56 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.4342 | 9.408 | 9.4866 | 2 | 14.266 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 9.408 - 9.4342 = -0.026200000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.4342 - 9.4866 = -0.052399999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.052399999999999 / -0.026200000000001 = 2
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Array
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)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.441% | 1.6R | -0.129% | 0.5R | 3.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.728% | 2.6R | -0.129% | 0.5R | 5.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.824% | 3.0R | -0.706% | 2.5R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.824% | 3.0R | -1.170% | 4.2R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.824% | 3.0R | -1.170% | 4.2R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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