Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 6.29 XMR at 408.86$ per unit. Take profit: 411.4038 (0.62 %) & Stop Loss: 407.5881 (0.31 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 6.29 XMR at 408.86$ per unit. Take profit: 411.4038 (0.62 %) & Stop Loss: 407.5881 (0.31 %)
Position
Entry 408.86$
Qty 6.2898 XMR
Size 2571.6652$ (margin 100$) (leverage 26)
Risk Setup
TP 411.4038 (+0.62%)
TP $ 16$
SL 407.5881 (-0.31%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8713
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.44×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.54×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.73×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 20:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.010375 15m : 0.133226 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 15/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5629 | r1h: 0.244% · r4h: -0.383% · r1d: 2.58% · r3d: 4.27% · ema21_slope: 0.0887% · dist_ema21: 0.880% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5759 | rs_1h: 0.279% · rs_4h: -0.363% · rs_1d: 2.50% · rs_3d: 4.87% · beta_24h: 1.769 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3530 | rvol_20: 0.83× · zscore_50: -0.120 · trend: 30.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6175 | ADX: 14.5 (weak) · Chop: 38.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.814% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.878% | 2.8R | -0.142% | 0.5R | 6.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.003% | 3.2R | -0.142% | 0.5R | 7.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.257% | 4.0R | -0.142% | 0.5R | 8.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.257% | 4.0R | -0.142% | 0.5R | 8.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.612% | 5.2R | -0.333% | 1.1R | 4.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
72%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -5.07% | +0.95 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late_trend | bull_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -1.5ATR | 0.27 | bear_medium | -1.29% | +0.48 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.12 | range_low | -0.49% | +0.11 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bull_low |
51%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.02% | +0.04 | 15/08 20:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 2.437×ATR | p5 | +2.003×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 2.885×ATR | p32 | +1.533×ATR | p83 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.747×ATR | p18 | +0.94×ATR | p52 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 1.288×ATR | p0 | +0.257×ATR | p22 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63077.1
-0.000526006
63044
-0.010375
63052.8
-0.000140928
63044
0.133226
63248.4
-0.00335973
63036
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 21:00:00
[1] => 390.4
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 06:00:00
[1] => 393.18
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 11:00:00
[1] => 409.24
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 00:00:00
[1] => 392.54
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 08:00:00
[1] => 393.27
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 12:00:00
[1] => 403.11
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 19:00:00
[1] => 394.57
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 06:00:00
[1] => 409
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 13:00:00
[1] => 401
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 21:00:00
[1] => 416.53
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.3612464888483
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4588528678304
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.8728179551122
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 06:45:00
[1] => 409
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 08:45:00
[1] => 403.28
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 11:15:00
[1] => 406.59
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 13:30:00
[1] => 401
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 17:00:00
[1] => 411.4
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 18:00:00
[1] => 405.37
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 21:15:00
[1] => 416.53
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 21:45:00
[1] => 408.92
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 00:00:00
[1] => 412.17
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 00:30:00
[1] => 407.77
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.80306669578087
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.26730755082523
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0790396547073
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 17:10:00
[1] => 411.4
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 18:10:00
[1] => 405.37
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 19:20:00
[1] => 408.87
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 20:35:00
[1] => 413.87
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 21:20:00
[1] => 416.53
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 21:55:00
[1] => 408.92
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 22:25:00
[1] => 410.79
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 22:40:00
[1] => 409.35
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 00:00:00
[1] => 412.17
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 00:30:00
[1] => 407.77
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.80306669578087
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.26730755082523
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0790396547073
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
416.53
196
0.7101
0.564
0.3222
0.2883
0.35
1
0.4322
0.5294
0.6447
0.8185
0.6355
0.8629
0.1215
0.0935
1
0.9525
2.1229
0.5
0.5
1
3
1
0.4235
0.3916
4.8831
0.55
1.9412
5.7516
2.1229
0.4619
0.2468
0.74
0.2618
0.6594
0.4978
0.8265
0.8629
-1.7241
10.8495
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:34 | 408.86000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 20:39 | 408.55000000 | -0.076% |
| 3 | 20:45 | 408.29000000 | -0.139% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 17:10:00 | 411.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 18:10:00 | 405.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 19:20:00 | 408.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 20:35:00 | 413.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 21:20:00 | 416.53 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 21:55:00 | 408.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 22:25:00 | 410.79 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 22:40:00 | 409.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 412.17 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:30:00 | 407.77 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 06:45:00 | 409 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:45:00 | 403.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 11:15:00 | 406.59 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 13:30:00 | 401 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 17:00:00 | 411.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 18:00:00 | 405.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 21:15:00 | 416.53 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 21:45:00 | 408.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 412.17 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:30:00 | 407.77 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 390.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 06:00:00 | 393.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 409.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:00:00 | 392.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 08:00:00 | 393.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 12:00:00 | 403.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:00:00 | 394.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 06:00:00 | 409 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 401 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 21:00:00 | 416.53 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 408.86 | 407.5881 | 411.4038 | 2 | 543.51 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 407.5881 - 408.86 = -1.2719
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 408.86 - 411.4038 = -2.5438
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.5438 / -1.2719 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2571.6652 | 100 | 6.2898 | 26.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.2719 = -6.29
Taille de position USD = -6.29 x 408.86 = -2571.73
Donc, tu peux acheter -6.29 avec un stoploss a 407.5881
Avec un position size USD de -2571.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -6.29 x -1.2719 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -6.29 x -2.5438 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.62 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.31 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.62 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1419 % | 45.61 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 408.86 | 407.5881 | 411.4038 | 2 | 543.51 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 407.5881 - 408.86 = -1.2719
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 408.86 - 411.4038 = -2.5438
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.5438 / -1.2719 = 2
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 411.4038
[stop_loss] => 407.5881
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 00:50:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 412.03975
[stop_loss] => 407.5881
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 00:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 412.6757
[stop_loss] => 407.5881
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 01:50:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 413.31165
[stop_loss] => 407.5881
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 03:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 413.9476
[stop_loss] => 407.5881
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 03:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.878% | 2.8R | -0.142% | 0.5R | 6.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.003% | 3.2R | -0.142% | 0.5R | 7.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.257% | 4.0R | -0.142% | 0.5R | 8.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.257% | 4.0R | -0.142% | 0.5R | 8.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.612% | 5.2R | -0.333% | 1.1R | 4.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.