Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 199.04 VVV at 12.025$ per unit. Take profit: 12.1054 (0.67 %) & Stop Loss: 11.9848 (0.33 %)
Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 199.04 VVV at 12.025$ per unit. Take profit: 12.1054 (0.67 %) & Stop Loss: 11.9848 (0.33 %)
Position
Entry 12.025$
Qty 199.0405 VVV
Size 2393.4623$ (margin 100$) (leverage 24)
Risk Setup
TP 12.1054 (+0.67%)
TP $ 16$
SL 11.9848 (-0.33%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6839
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.64×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.33×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.17×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 20:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.174486 15m : 0.116206 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 15/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 20:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5225 | r1h: -1.243% · r4h: 0.734% · r1d: -0.88% · r3d: 3.86% · ema21_slope: 0.0792% · dist_ema21: 0.916% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4905 | rs_1h: -1.208% · rs_4h: 0.755% · rs_1d: -0.97% · rs_3d: 4.47% · beta_24h: 2.345 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2872 | rvol_20: 0.80× · zscore_50: -0.368 · trend: -2.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6563 | ADX: 24.9 (weak) · Chop: 44.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.058% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.322% | 4.0R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.322% | 4.0R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.322% | 4.0R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.663% | 5.0R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.921% | 5.8R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
35%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.43 | bear_high | -5.07% | -0.57 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.45 | bear_medium | -1.29% | +0.46 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.33 | range_low | -0.49% | +0.22 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | range_medium |
36%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.02% | +0.06 | 15/08 20:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 21b | — | 3.519×ATR | p43 | +0.207×ATR | p10 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 1.777×ATR | p0 | +0.376×ATR | p22 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.393×ATR | p2 | +0.814×ATR | p49 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.594×ATR | p74 | -0.251×ATR | p11 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63077.1
-0.000526006
63044
0.174486
63052.8
-0.000140928
63044
0.116206
63248.6
-0.00323574
63044
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12.249
197
0.6816
0.53
0.3242
0.2509
0.3842
1
0.1748
0.5952
0.6043
0.242
0.5934
0.5087
0.1146
0.0457
1
0.8333
0.9991
0.45
0.55
1
2
1
0.4983
0.3344
4.239
0.6
1.1328
4.4409
0.9991
0.0879
0.2089
0.18
-0.099
0.5539
0.4697
0.854
0.5087
-5.9045
6.1142
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 19:40:00 | 11.954 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 19:55:00 | 12.006 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 20:15:00 | 11.946 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 20:45:00 | 12.074 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 21:35:00 | 11.972 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 22:00:00 | 12.062 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 22:40:00 | 12.249 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 23:10:00 | 12.093 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 00:05:00 | 12.099 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:30:00 | 12.025 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 05:45:00 | 11.727 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 07:15:00 | 11.854 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 10:15:00 | 11.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 13:45:00 | 12.071 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 17:30:00 | 12.052 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 18:45:00 | 11.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 20:15:00 | 11.946 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 20:45:00 | 12.074 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 22:30:00 | 12.249 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:30:00 | 12.025 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 08:00:00 | 12.783 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 12.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 19:00:00 | 12.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 12.451 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 08:00:00 | 11.573 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:00:00 | 12.133 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 23:00:00 | 12.187 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 10:00:00 | 11.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 12.071 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 22:00:00 | 12.249 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.025 | 11.9848 | 12.1054 | 2 | 28.145 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.9848 - 12.025 = -0.0402
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.025 - 12.1054 = -0.080399999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.080399999999999 / -0.0402 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2393.4623 | 100 | 199.0405 | 24.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0402 = -199
Taille de position USD = -199 x 12.025 = -2392.98
Donc, tu peux acheter -199 avec un stoploss a 11.9848
Avec un position size USD de -2392.98$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -199 x -0.0402 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -199 x -0.080399999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.67 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.33 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9647 % | 288.57 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.025 | 11.9848 | 12.1054 | 2 | 28.145 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.9848 - 12.025 = -0.0402
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.025 - 12.1054 = -0.080399999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.080399999999999 / -0.0402 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.322% | 4.0R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.322% | 4.0R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.322% | 4.0R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.663% | 5.0R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.921% | 5.8R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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